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Hurricane Ivan now up to 160mph winds

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout' started by Saint Louis, Sep 8, 2004.

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  1. Saint Louis

    Saint Louis Member

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    Florida in the cross-hairs of Ivan

    The five day tracking map, posted at www.noaa.gov, has Ivan sitting almost on Sarasota, FL at 8:00 PM on Monday. Just about the same spot that Charley made land fall.
     
  2. VooDooPope

    VooDooPope Contributing Member
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    26 posts since June of 99?

    I bet more than 26 hurricanes have threatened Florida since June of 99.
     
  3. Xenon

    Xenon Contributing Member
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    and heading straight for Jamaica and Cuba. :(

    Is it possible to send every airliner in America to airlift everyone out of Jamaica? 160mph winds making a direct hit would be something that hasn't been seen since Camille and I don't think Jamaica can survive something like this. Seriously, I see like 10's and even 100's of thousands of deaths possible here. What can be done? This is an absolute catastophe about to happen in slow motion.
     
  4. tim562

    tim562 Contributing Member

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    Yeah, no joke, Texas may very well be in Ivan's path also. That is something we don't need. That damn thing is just too big and powerful. Ivan is going to destroy everything in its path. It would be castrophic if it hits Floriday though. Oh, man I would feel sorry for the State of Florida if it hits there.
     
  5. m_cable

    m_cable Contributing Member

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    Quit teasing the Junior Member.
     
  6. MadMax

    MadMax Contributing Member

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    is this thing cat 5 yet?? what was the last cat 5 hurricane? i know gilbert hit cat 5 back in 88...but don't know of any since. andrew??
     
  7. coma

    coma Contributing Member

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    Yes, this thing is currently Cat 5. Hopefully it loses power the closer it gets to the US.
     
  8. Jeff

    Jeff Clutch Crew

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    Texas isn't in its path. Every forecast model has it turning northwest within 48 hours and then north and even northeast within 120 hours.

    I know the local news likes to say things like "If it stays on this path, it could be a threat to the Texas coast!" to scare the crap out of people, but there is a large trough moving over Texas, the central US and the Gulf of Mexico that will act like a force field and steer this hurricane away from the western gulf coast.

    At this point, anyone from Jackson, Mississippi to the western Bahamas definitely needs to keep an eye on it. It probably will not remain a cat. 5. There is a pretty decent wind shear ahead and some cooler water, but no doubt it will stay cat. 3 and above. If it interacts with the mountains in central Cuba, that will also have an effect.

    It is a seriously impressive storm and I wouldn't want to be in Jamaica right now.
     
  9. Jeff

    Jeff Clutch Crew

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    There have actually been quite a few cat. 5 hurricanes. Most of them don't hit the US coastline. In fact, it is fairly rare for cat. 5 hurricanes to intersect major land masses.

    The Atlantic, Carribbean and Gulf do not offer the consistently calm, warm and deep waters needed to produce the massive typhoons you see in the Pacific. And, there are a multitude of small land masses, changes in current, coastal mountain ranges that produce sheer, etc. There also isn't the broad stretch of open water to give them time to build strength. There have been typhoons with 200+ mph winds compared to the biggest cat. 5 hurricanes that max out around 175 mph.
     
  10. MadMax

    MadMax Contributing Member

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    yeah, i understand that there are cat 5 storms that develop that never hit shore. i was really talking about those that actually make landfall. any since gilbert slammed into mexico from the atlantic?? not taking into account pacific storms...
     
  11. Jeff

    Jeff Clutch Crew

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    Just merged the two threads on this.
     
  12. Jeff

    Jeff Clutch Crew

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    Here's the list of all of them...

    http://lwf.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/satellite/satelliteseye/educational/cat5hur.html

    Note that only Camille back in 1969 and an un-named storm in the 30's have made landfall as a cat. 5. in the US and only a handful of others made landfall at all including Gilbert. Andrew was never a cat. 5.
     
  13. RocketMan Tex

    RocketMan Tex Contributing Member

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    This year's hurricane season has been unbelievable. I pray that the people of Florida do not get hammered again by Ivan.
     
  14. Jeff

    Jeff Clutch Crew

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    The irony is that it has been quieter than expected. They downgraded this season in August because there were so few storms.

    This has just been a bad year for hurricanes hitting the US coast, or should I say, Florida more specifically.
     
  15. MadMax

    MadMax Contributing Member

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    thanks for the info!!! yeah, i couldn't remember if andrew was a 5 or not...just remember that it did a crap-load of damage.
     
  16. Fatty FatBastard

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    Call me a sadist, but I'm actually wanting Ivan to hit Florida.

    I look at it as God's way of tackling the Medicare issues. He's trying to wipe the whole lot of 'em out.

    Or....

    I look at it as God making sure there's no election problems this year.

    :)
     
  17. MadMax

    MadMax Contributing Member

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    one more question, Jeff...the storm of 1900...was that a cat 3 storm?? do you know?? don't do any research on it...just if you know off the top of your head.
     
  18. Jeff

    Jeff Clutch Crew

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    It was a category 4.

    Here's good info on that storm...

    http://www.noaa.gov/galveston1900/
     
  19. codell

    codell Contributing Member

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    Every time i see Jeff post about the weather, i invision him standing in front of a huge weather map, with a clicker in one hand motioning with the other (a la Dr. Neil Frank).
     
  20. Rocketman95

    Rocketman95 Hangout Boy

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    Why Jackson? It's at least 110 miles inland.
     

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