It's funny that most of the people he is being compared to (Ray Allen, Rip Hamilton, Rudy Gay) are also from UConn.
Lin is actually a decent defender. He really knows where to position himself and during the stretch of linsanity he averaged more than 2 steals a game. Please don't assume every skinny player is a bad defender and watch some games before posting your "insights".
According to Synergy Sports, a company that tracks every play, Lin is especially poor defending against isolations, the one-on-one style of play employed by most NBA stars. According to the numbers, players shoot 57% against Lin in that situation. When you adjust for the number of shots, Lin ranks 302nd league-wide across all positions.
I put 20-25, which is pretty good. But it really depends on the situation he's in. If he's asked to be an outside scorer for a well-balanced team, then his numbers could be less. If he's on a team with no other scorer, then he could conceivably get in the 20+ ppg range.
If the Rockets keep him I believe Jeremy Lamb could be ready to contribute significantly starting in year 2. I just hope he doesn't get set down to basketball purgatory in the Rio Grande.
People put too much stock into performance of his team this year (even though he won national championship first year), ignoring that the coach missed time with health issues, Drummond disappointed as a prospect, he played with two ball dominant chuckers (had to basically do all scoring off ball if those two were in the game) on a three guard line up. He was looked at as a top 5 prospect before the NCAA season started. He STILL scored more and put up better numbers than Beal, Barnes and those guys but he was a victim to his own expectations. I have no faith in NBA scouting when you see Lamb fall to 12 because of issues he really had no control over. He does need to be more aggressive though but his weaknesses were blown out of proportion. One thing more and more people will realize about this draft is that guys who were projected to be top 5 (Beal, MKG, Barnes, T-Rob) all got there based on hype, not because they are actually much better than the guys rated below them (Lillard, Lamb, Ross etc).
i think backcourt defense will be a challenge for us. but i personally think that both Lin and Lamb will improve on D. Lin has the size and quickness, he just needs to get stronger and knowing his work ethic, he will get stronger. as for Lamb, he doesn't seem that bad at D. he looks better than KMart already. he's got a good wingspan which will help him disrupt shooters and ballhandlers more. if you have the best defensive player in the leauge at Center, it's not that big of a deal though.
He has very good breakdown ability, which will only get better once he gets stronger. Watch at 1:20 in this video: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8bSYjDkZvGM Didn't get to show them off as much because Boatright and Napier did most of the ball handling (and chucking).
yea you rely on numbers while other people rely on ACTUALLY WATCHING THE GAME. Lin has quickness, agility, and size. it's just about strength. once he gets stronger he will fine on defense and knowing his work ethic, he will get stronger.
One thing that really impresses me is as a SG he has done two things really well so far. Shot the ball and score driving into the lane (fouling for throwing up that floater) You can do those two things well in the NBA you are pretty much going to be a 20ppg guy. It's very hard to guard a guy that can shoot it from all over the court and then drive past you if you get too close.
if you want to talk numbers, then let's do so. first let me ask you this, do you think Kawahi Leonard, Chandler Parsons, Javale McGee, Roy Hibbert are good defenders? in fact, instead of "good" let's say "average". do you think those guys are average defenders?