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How did the media and polls get it so wrong?

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by Falcons Talon, Nov 9, 2016.

  1. gucci888

    gucci888 Member

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    Heard on radio that one of the more accurate polls (can't remember which one) was able to get around this by asking one simple question: How are your neighbors voting? Not sure how completely true that is but interesting if true.
     
  2. Falcons Talon

    Falcons Talon Member

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    To address my own question, I'm not sure if it said it in these forums or somewhere else, but it seemed to me that the silent majority was starting to push back at all the vocal and physical unrest. The silent majority did it their way, voting silently and anonymously at the polls.
     
  3. Rocket River

    Rocket River Member

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    Hillary could not get half the white woman vote
    forget Obama not rallying his base. . . . where the hell was Hillary in rallying hers?
    Her own demographic did not vote for her
    and that was the ball game

    Rocket River
     
  4. justtxyank

    justtxyank Member

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    All those shy trump voters added up to fewer votes for trump than Romney by over 2 million votes. He didn't outperform Romney, there weren't millions of new trump voters who just lied to pollsters, the modeling was just wrong. Black people didn't turn out vote Clinton and too many young people either stayed home or voted third party.

    #math
     
  5. Air Langhi

    Air Langhi Contributing Member

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    Except Hillary had more votes than Trump. Trump had less votes than Romney and McCain.
     
  6. Falcons Talon

    Falcons Talon Member

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    Thats entirely possible because of the electoral college.
     
  7. Bobbythegreat

    Bobbythegreat Member
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    Sure, but not the votes that matter.
     
  8. Sweet Lou 4 2

    Sweet Lou 4 2 Member

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    Polls can't predict psychology of turnout
     
  9. Liberon

    Liberon Rookie

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    At the end people wanted "change". I'm slowly starting to believe this. Trump seemed to promise a change where Clinton wanted to maintain the establishment. I get it now. But Sanders would have been the full proof change plan without the risks of Trump stupidity...
     
  10. Commodore

    Commodore Member

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    huh, turns out this guy was a genius

     
  11. Commodore

    Commodore Member

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    the popular vote arguments are silly bc people don't vote and candidates don't campaign based on popular vote outcome, so you can't assume numbers would be the same if the rules were different
     

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