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Help Question: NFL "3 Strikes Contest" (Need Confirmation Of Top Team To Get A W)

Discussion in 'Football: NFL, College, High School' started by ron413, Nov 15, 2005.

  1. ron413

    ron413 Member

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    I forgot (before just now) to think about the various more detailed playoff scenarios into the whole week #17 equation. If Pittsburgh sees San Diego pull out a victory on Saturday (see below- Steelers would be guaranteed a spot in first round of playoffs with a Chargers win), are they going to play all their starters like normal or would they just be happy with their playoff spot secure and give the key players some rest going into the first round of the playoffs the following week???

    Tampa may be the better pick considering that factor with the Steelers playoff scenario being 100% settled by Saturday afternoon.
    _________________________

    Playoff scenarios -- Week 17


    Here are the scenarios for teams that can clinch playoff berths in Week 17.

    AFC EAST DIVISION
    New England has clinched division title.

    AFC NORTH DIVISION
    Cincinnati has clinched division title.

    Pittsburgh can clinch playoff berth with:
    1) PIT win or tie, OR
    2) KC loss or tie, OR
    3) SD win


    AFC SOUTH DIVISION
    Indianapolis has clinched the division title and home-field advantage in the playoffs.

    Jacksonville has clinched playoff spot.


    AFC WEST DIVISION
    Denver has clinched division title and a first-round bye.

    Kansas City can clinch playoff berth with:
    1) KC win + PIT loss + SD loss or tie


    NFC EAST DIVISION
    N.Y. Giants have clinched playoff spot

    N.Y. Giants can clinch division title with:
    1) NYG win or tie, OR
    2) WAS loss or tie

    Dallas can clinch playoff berth with:
    1) DAL win + WAS loss or tie, OR
    2) DAL win + CAR loss, OR
    3) DAL win + TB loss + NYG loss + NYG and DAL clinch strength of victory tiebreaker over TB, OR
    4) DAL tie + WAS loss

    Washington can clinch division title with:
    1) WAS win + NYG loss

    Washington can clinch playoff berth with:
    1) WAS win, OR
    2) DAL loss, OR
    3) WAS tie + DAL tie


    NFC NORTH DIVISION
    Chicago has clinched division title and a first-round bye

    NFC SOUTH DIVISION
    Carolina can clinch division with:
    1) CAR win + TB loss or tie, OR
    2) CAR tie + TB loss.

    Carolina can clinch playoff berth with:
    1) CAR win or tie, OR
    2) DAL loss or tie, OR
    3) WAS loss or tie.

    Tampa Bay can clinch division title with:
    1) TB win, OR
    2) CAR loss, OR
    3) TB tie + CAR tie.

    Tampa Bay can clinch playoff berth with:
    1) TB tie, OR
    2) DAL loss or tie, OR
    3) WAS loss or tie, OR
    4) NYG win or tie, OR
    5) TB clinches strength of victory tiebreaker over DAL or NYG.

    NFC WEST DIVISION
    Seattle has clinched division title and home-field advantage in the playoffs.



    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Following Week 16: Arizona, Atlanta, Baltimore, Buffalo, Cleveland, Detroit, Green Bay, Houston, Miami, Minnesota, New Orleans, N.Y. Jets, Oakland, Philadelphia, St. Louis, San Diego, San Francisco and Tennessee have been eliminated from playoff contention.


    http://nfl.com/news/story/9055604
     
    #41 ron413, Dec 27, 2005
    Last edited: Dec 27, 2005
  2. ron413

    ron413 Member

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    Ok, time to pull out the spreads from Vegas on the 12 (Week #17) regular season finale games that are still on the board at a website that has the lines (I would never consider betting on these games :eek: ) :

    I think Vegas oddsmakers may have taken the other 4 or so games off the board for one reason or another so here are the 12 that they must feel comfortable with. Let me know if you got any feedback cause I am still weighing my decision for this week.

    _________________________________________________
    NFL FOOTBALL SATURDAY.(31-DEC-2005)

    4:40 PM Denver Broncos @ San Diego Chargers (-10½)

    8:10 PM New York Giants(-10) @ Oakland Raiders


    NFL FOOTBALL SUNDAY.(01-JAN-2006)

    1:10 PM Arizona Cardinals @ Indianapolis Colts (-8)

    1:10 PM Baltimore Ravens (-3) @ Cleveland Browns

    1:10 PM Carolina Panthers (-4) @ Atlanta Falcons

    4:25 PM Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings (-4)

    1:10 PM Detroit Lions @ Pittsburgh Steelers ( -14)

    1:10 PM New Orleans Saints @Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-14)

    4:15 PM Houston Texans (-2) @San Francisco 49ers

    4:15 PM Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars (-3½)

    1:10 PM Seattle Seahawks @ Green Bay Packers (-4)

    8:45 PM St Louis Rams @ Dallas Cowboys (-14)
     
    #42 ron413, Dec 28, 2005
    Last edited: Dec 28, 2005
  3. ron413

    ron413 Member

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    Went ahead and followed Rocketman95's original selection of Tampa Bay & it was a winner
    (even though the Saints made it a game until late in the 4th quarter:) )

    Once again...Thanks for all the winning selections in the final 7 weeks of the regular season Clutchfans NFL Gurus.

    Now it is on to "Wild Card Weekend", survive & advance is the goal...
    Much fewer games to choose from obviously, and right now New England stands out, but I am looking for any opinions out there.


    What is your top pick for a W for NFL Wild Card Weekend???


    ________________________________
    Wild Card Weekend- 4 Games To Choose From

    Saturday, Jan. 7
    GAME TIME
    Washington at Tampa Bay 4:30 p.m.
    Jacksonville at New England 8:00 p.m.

    Sunday, Jan. 8
    GAME TIME
    Carolina at N.Y. Giants 1:00 p.m.
    Pittsburgh at Cincinnati 4:30 p.m.
     
  4. ron413

    ron413 Member

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    Nevermind. I went ahead & officially chose the Patriots and just got it over with for this week because it is crazy busy on this short work week and I would have forgotten to submit my pick probably. Peace, Ron
     
  5. ron413

    ron413 Member

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    What is your top pick for the Divisional Playoffs ???

    ______________________________
    -Divisional Playoffs-

    Saturday, Jan. 14

    Washington at Seattle 4:30 p.m.
    New England at Denver 8:00 p.m.

    Sunday, Jan. 15

    Pittsburgh at Indianapolis 1:00 p.m.
    Carolina at Chicago 4:30 p.m.
     
  6. Rocketman95

    Rocketman95 Hangout Boy

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  7. reggietodd

    reggietodd Contributing Member

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    Carolina.

    Washington beat seattle already once this year.
     
  8. Rocketman95

    Rocketman95 Hangout Boy

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    Chicago beat Carolina already once this year.
     
  9. reggietodd

    reggietodd Contributing Member

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    good point, forgot about that.

    But Carolina was banged up at the time and both Foster and Davis were not 100%. Gonna also be COLD in chicago this weekend, not too good for carolina.

    Since this has now become a toss up, take the home team. Seattle.
     
  10. ron413

    ron413 Member

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    I like the Seattle game alot.

    What about the Indy game against the Steelers?
    The spread is up in the (-9) point ballpark just like the Seattle game...
     
  11. david_rocket

    david_rocket Member

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    Seattle
    What game will be the closest? I think denver vs NE
     
  12. Agent27

    Agent27 Member

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    Here's the thing, if you expect Seattle and Indy to meet in the Super Bowl (like most do) then picking them this week means you HAVE to pick them in the Super Bowl.

    Assuming Seattle and Indy win then you can't pick Seattle in the NFC Champ and are forced to pick the winner of the AFC Champ (assuming Indy). If that all pans out then you're forced to pick Seattle in the Super Bowl.

    Of course the same for picking Indy as well. If you want to keep your options open, try to pick the winners of the other games.

    I'd pick Chicago over Carolina.
     
  13. 3814

    3814 Member

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    new england or seattle -- both safe picks. i'd also think chicago and indy have the win.
     
  14. ron413

    ron413 Member

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    For this past week I went ahead with Seattle (-10 point favorite) as the pick, so I still have 0 strikes with only the final 2 weeks of the NFL playoffs to go.

    I am really hoping that all the other folks with zero strikes picked Indy :cool: :eek:

    As always, I appreciate the advice ahead of time if you got any insight for this week's contest...

    What is everyone's top pick for the Conference Championship match-ups ??? ( I CAN STILL PICK SEATTLE, NO RULES IN PLAYOFFS)

    ______________________________________________________

    Conference Championships
    Sunday, January 22

    [​IMG]
    3:00 p.m. on CBS -- AFC Championship Game
    Pittsburgh (13-5) at Denver (14-3)

    [​IMG]

    6:30 p.m. on FOX -- NFC Championship Game
    Carolina (13-5) at Seattle (14-3)
     
    #54 ron413, Jan 15, 2006
    Last edited: Jan 16, 2006
  15. Mr. Brightside

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    pittsburgh and seattle
     
  16. Manny Ramirez

    Manny Ramirez The Music Man

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    I know that there are many people (mainly the media) that feel the Broncos aren't a good team but they are undefeated at home this season and I just have a feeling it is their year.

    So I am picking them and Seattle to win next weekend.
     
  17. Rocketman95

    Rocketman95 Hangout Boy

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    Denver and Carolina.
     
  18. Gutter Snipe

    Gutter Snipe Member

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    I'd be picking Seattle again.

    Denver vs the reborn Steelers is too tough to call.
     
  19. ron413

    ron413 Member

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    Seattle impressed me with their perserverance... Carolina & Pittsburgh both kind of scared me as teams you usually should not bet against during their playoff runs:( :mad: :confused: :D

    Anyhoo, Las Vegas has both of these games at the exact same spread. Home team is favored by 4 points in each Conference Championship match-up.

    I probably will need to wait until Friday to get the full scoop/ team injury reports and not press the submit button too early for this important week.
     
    #59 ron413, Jan 16, 2006
    Last edited: Jan 16, 2006
  20. ron413

    ron413 Member

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    Bump... I am doubting my pick this week because both games seem so evenly matched to me.

    Any final advice on these two Conference Championship games, maybe you see a clear advantage for one team after reflecting on the games for a few more days?????? It is hard not to weed through the media coverage and possible bias one way or the other from the so-called expert sports analyst.

    Right now I would say Denver is my personal choice. I have no real reason to say why this is an obvious choice or anything, HELP!!!!!!!!!!!! I am getting nervous because I have no clue what the prize will be but I know it is substantial $$$, maybe a couple of hundo's but who knows...

    Appreciate all the responses so far, and any advice in the future...
     
    #60 ron413, Jan 18, 2006
    Last edited: Jan 18, 2006

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