Sigh. Every one spot you are away from the worst record in the league moves your single greatest probability draft outcome down one spot. We entered today with a 26% chance to pick 6th, the most probable outcome. Since San Antonio won, and we retook 2nd worst record, the most probable outcome is now 5th with a 27% chance. It absolutely matters.
You’re barking up the wrong tree if you think I care about the difference between 5 and 6 or whatever. If the pick is outside the top 3, trade it. No one outside the top 3 impresses me at all.
And that is exactly why your opinion doesn't matter. What if team X loves the player 5, but not at 6. It ****ing matters.
Trade it before the draft to remove that possibility. I'm saying they should trade for a player, not more draft picks.
What idiotic gm is gonna give up a good player for a draft pick that can potentially b the number 6 right b4 the lottery? No actual gm is trading the Rockets a good player for a pick that can b from 1-6 (now) right before the lottery Likewise for us we are not trading this pick that can become the number 1 draft pick.
U r telling me right now if we trade our pick right now without knowing if it hits 1-7, someone is willing to give us a good player for it? No fking way, that ways too risky for any contending team.
This isn’t even accurate. If you’re last place your most probable outcome is 5th pick. If you’re second to last your most probable outcome is… 5th pick. There’s just an added 20% chance of 6th pick. And if you’re third to last it’s only 7% that you drop to 7th. So basically people are worrying about particularly unlikely scenarios, and even if those scenarios happen, it’s still a big jump to think there’s a deal we could do with the 5th pick that we couldn’t with the 6th. Combine those two and it’s super super unlikely there’s any downside to winning games now, and the upside is obvious in terms of development, evaluation, showcasing players for trades, and showing FA/coaching candidates that we’re a functional organization.
With all due respect, what are you talking about? I’m saying wait until after the lottery (but before the draft), and if the pick falls out of the top 3, include it in a package for a good player. If it’s in the top 3, keep it.
I mean we all agree on development is positive. The thing is next year's roster would look vastly different and those players who developed could be facing a minor role..... who knows. So development could also be playing a minor role given the uncertainty of the situation.
Then that team would be betting against the established history that correlation between positioned picked in the 5-7 range and eventually quality is 0. They may love some player, but the odds are they are wrong. Sigh. It doesn't ****ing matter.
These people cannot do math, don't understand probability, and have a shaky-at- best grasp of history. But, they are good at sighing.
These are my thoughts also. I like good wins, but would be bummed out if we miss out for beating trash injured teams sitting all their relevant players.
He has been GREAT as a starting PG this year, not good not bad, but GREAT - his numbers would be so much higher if Green and Jabari would have hit shots all year instead of missing. KPJ has been developing fine, his Turnovers are WAY down, and he is moving the ball and going faster - very encouraging. DD
