Here is a pretty good IR Satellite Loop for anyone who wants to see exactly where Gustav currently is at and his general direction: Tropical Floater One AVN Color Imagery Also here are the official NOAA storm surge predictions as it relates to the current NHC track. (These will change if there are track shifts) ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/surge/Latest/g30_msb.gif
Where are you reading this? There is now a pinhole eye, and it seems to be on the same NW track, if not a more WNW track. Click the link a couple of pages back and you can watch all 4 major NOLA TV feeds along with radar.
Awesome link! GuerillaBlack, this may answer you. Note the storm estimates specifically for New Orleans.
Do you have some inside contacts at those stations? When did those stations have to make the personnel scheduling decision to bring the regular M - F anchors in for Sunday night? If it was perhaps Thursday or Friday when there was more uncertainty on the expected landfall, then they gambled on the cautious side and made the decision to bring in the heavy hitters.
Well, with the storm's strong SW storms wrapping around to the NE side, the storm took a more northerly track. Kind of like if you shifted weights from your left to right arm. You'd stumble to the right, right? on CNN right now, they have the storm image going, and it no doubt moves north a lot more. CNN is talking about the shift now.
Just tuned in to CNN and heard the weatherlady for about 1 minute. She sounds totally different from the local stations and Gov. Jindal (who was VERY impressive). She sounds very alarmist compared to them.
check the actual long range radar out of NO, the eye is not a pinhole. The cloud cover on the sat image made it look like that for a couple of frames, but the radar confirms the eye is much bigger.
I'm watching the WGNO feed from New Orleans, and the radar shows the storm taking a slight shift to the west, but not much. Still a NW track.
He just said the max winds in New Orleans should be between 65 and 85 mph. "Things are looking much better". His EXACT words just now.
i hope this is true. the cable news networks (including weather channel) have different reports. so does wunderground i believe.
Click the link below and watch the news channels in the area of NOLA. http://www.maroonspoon.com/wx/gustav.html
The guy on WDSU just said New Orleans proper "would be lucky" to see 70 mph winds. I suggest you go back and click the link and watch the stations yourself. All 4 of them at one time. You can use mute and listen any one you or even more than one at a time.
There's always a "chance", but it's looking better and better for NO at the moment. Plus, this is a weak CAT 3 and the hurricane wind field is small compared to Katrina and Rita.
The weather channel said we could get 4-5" of rain in Houston. Doesn't that seem to be more that what most have been saying?
Heh heh, I don't want to go there but I'll say this: There is disagreement on just how "last minute" Rita's change of direction was. For Gustav to smack New Orleans head on, that would definitely qualify as "last minute" but it would also fall within the cone of possibility. What seems to amaze all the local stations is how uncannily accurate the path predictors have been up to this point.
