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[Gustav] New Tropical Threat

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout' started by marks0223, Aug 25, 2008.

  1. Uprising

    Uprising Member

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    LMAO....I was about to say that. I'm on cause I work in the morning anyways....12hr shift thankgod not a 24. Speaking of which....I better go to bed.
     
  2. Harrisment

    Harrisment Member

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    Damnit, I didn't think of that. :)
     
  3. Rocketman95

    Rocketman95 Hangout Boy

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    I'm obviously very sensitive about my King of the Hill. :)
     
  4. LonghornFan

    LonghornFan Member

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    Nothing wrong with posting on the internet on a Friday night.

    Sincerely,

    Over 30. :mad:
     
  5. Jeremiah

    Jeremiah Member

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    Latest forecast:

    [​IMG]
     
  6. rcoleman15

    rcoleman15 Member

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  7. IROC it

    IROC it Member

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  8. Dr of Dunk

    Dr of Dunk Clutch Crew

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    What does the traffic situation down I45 look in Houston? Do you guys know if they've begun diverting traffic through contraflow lanes or will they? Too early to know?
     
  9. rockmanslim

    rockmanslim Member

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    According to Transtar, traffic flow seems pretty good at the moment in all of Houston.

    SE Houston detail view.
     
  10. Dr of Dunk

    Dr of Dunk Clutch Crew

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    Yeah, I was on traffic.com seeing there wasn't much traffic - just didn't want to be caught up in crazy traffic on the way back to Dallas on Sunday. Guess I may risk it. :)
     
  11. rockmanslim

    rockmanslim Member

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    Holy crap, off topic, but just saw that google maps has even better traffic info. You can see the current traffic in major cities, but there's also a slider you can play with to see the typical traffic patterns at any time of day you want to see. Friggin sweet.
     
  12. bigballerj

    bigballerj Member

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    Gustuv is ALREADY a major hurricane before entering the gulf. It's now probably going to blow up like Katrina and Rita and get to a strong Cat 4 or a 5. :eek:
     
  13. MadMax

    MadMax Member

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    This is what they've been forecasting for some time. The intensity projections have it blowing up to a Cat. 4 and then slowing down to Cat. 3 before landfall.
     
  14. Jeremiah

    Jeremiah Member

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    [​IMG]

    Shifted east again, with several having him do a uturn.
     
  15. Faos

    Faos Member

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    With those turns there'll be a lot of flooding somewhere in Texas.
     
  16. Faos

    Faos Member

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    They've got a plan in place where you are supposed to leave by zip code. They want the coastal counties to get on the road first. Our area would still be a day or two away from that if at all.
     
  17. DaDakota

    DaDakota Balance wins
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    Dang,

    This could get ugly.


    And, to top it off, it looks like Hannah is projected to veer southwest and possibly make the gulf late next week too.

    UGH.

    DD
     
  18. Jeremiah

    Jeremiah Member

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    I'm mulling getting out tonight, since I live in Galveston. The track of this thing is just too close for comfort, and I loathe getting stuck in traffic. And when it comes to my family I always play it safe. Of course, If I leave and this thing hits LA and does a u-turn towards us, then I'll be stuck in the Dallas area behind heavy rain when I need to be at work Tuesday.
     
  19. Harrisment

    Harrisment Member

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    August 30, 2008
    7:45 AM
    Gustav a major hurricane; aimed at northern Gulf
    Link

    Hurricane Gustav has rapidly strengthened overnight into a major Category 3 hurricane with 120 mph winds. This was anticipated given the high heat content of the waters now being traversed by Gustav.

    I expect Gustav to remain a major hurricane for at least the next few days and it will probably get quite a bit stronger. The one mitigating factor is that wind shear over the central Gulf of Mexico is forecast by some models to increase by early next week, a factor that may possibly weaken Gustav prior to landfall.

    So where's it going? The official forecast, which doesn't reflect the latest computer model guidance, brings the storm into central Louisiana early Tuesday and bends it into East Texas by Thursday morning.

    Under such a scenario Houston would miss out on Gustav's high winds and strong surge, and all of Texas would miss the cyclone's "dirty side."

    As a result, at this time, there appears to be only a 20 to 40 percent chance that Houston gets at least tropical storm force winds from Gustav.

    Inland flooding could be a major threat, however. That's because of uncertain motion at the end of the storm's track, when the steering currents break down and Gustav may stall, or begin moving southwest toward the Texas coast.

    A slowly moving storm could easily drop a foot, or much more, of rain in certain areas.

    In the latest computer models we can see the possibility of such a scenario. We also can see the average of the models at this time seems to be fairly close to the official track.

    As we're now less than three days from projected landfall we can begin to take the official forecast seriously, and the average error of such projections has typically been about 160 miles.

    The models will have to shift significantly westward during the next 12 hours, I believe, for the greater Houston area to receive evacuation orders.


    [​IMG]
     
  20. H-Town Info

    H-Town Info Member

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    man...

    i might evacuate to austin tomorrow night.
     

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