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[Gustav] New Tropical Threat

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout' started by marks0223, Aug 25, 2008.

  1. Roc Paint

    Roc Paint Member

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    Somebody is going to get smacked by this guy.
     
  2. rcoleman15

    rcoleman15 Member

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    Latest 0z models for the Aug 29th GFDL, HWRF and GFS tracks are out. GFDL is basically the same. The HWRF and GFS on the otherhand has shifted back east.

    Here is a link to the HWRF track:
    http://www.coaps.fsu.edu/~maue/extreme/hwrf/gustav07l.2008082900/gustav07l.2008082900_anim.html

    Here is a snapshot of the HWRF landfall:
    [​IMG]

    Here is a link to the GFDL track:
    http://www.coaps.fsu.edu/~maue/extreme/gfdl/gustav07l.2008082900/gustav07l.2008082900_anim.html

    Here is a snapshot of the GFDL landfall:
    [​IMG]

    Here is the link to the GFS track:
    http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.cgi?time=2008082900&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

    Here is a snapshot of the GFS landfall:
    [​IMG]
     
    #282 rcoleman15, Aug 29, 2008
    Last edited: Aug 29, 2008
  3. LouisianaRocket

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    glad to see a projected path going into states other than Louisiana & Texas.. hopefully it doesn't hit any state, but I rather it not be Texas or Louisiana.

    thanks for easing a little bit of stress Rcoleman15
     
  4. rcoleman15

    rcoleman15 Member

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  5. MadMax

    MadMax Member

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    I feel like we know less than we did when we went to sleep last night.

    Everything depends on high pressure system over midwest and another over florida. If they remain strong or strengthen, it will push west towards us.

    I'm guessing we'll know more tomorrow morning...but I thought we'd know a bit more today.

    The suggestion now is that if it's going to hit TX it will be Wednesday. If you're planning on sticking around, today might be a good day to pick up batteries, water and non-perishables.

    I've never boarded windows before, but I have a really old oak tree that likes to throw limbs around in my front yard...I'm considering making preparations for that just so I can have them even if this isn't the storm that hits us. Any idea the best way to go about that??? Particularly considering I'm not real handy!! :)
     
  6. rhadamanthus

    rhadamanthus Member

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    Provided you don't have storm windows, use the plylox clips. If you are not particularly handy, measure the windows ahead of time and have the guys at the store (home depot lowes etc.) cut the wood for you.
     
  7. rrj_gamz

    rrj_gamz Member

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    So, is it suppose to hit, wherever it hits, on Monday? THat's the last thing I heard and honestly, haven't been keeping up with it...
     
  8. MadMax

    MadMax Member

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    Do the clips work on all sorts of windows?? I've read about them online and still don't totally grasp what I'm attaching the clips to in relation to the house.
     
  9. MadMax

    MadMax Member

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    They're saying Tues for Louisiana models

    and Wed for Texas models.
     
  10. Fatty FatBastard

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    Step one: Cut down tree.

    Step two: Remove all limbs.

    Step three: De-bark said tree.

    Step four: Cut into discs.

    Step five: Square off discs.

    Step six: Superglue squares to fitwindows.

    Step seven: Place on windows.

    Step eight: Purchase new oak tree.
     
  11. MadMax

    MadMax Member

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    awesome! :)

    yeah, part of me thinks the tree needs to come down. but i love my neighborhood in part for these mature oak trees. they're just a pain in the ass if a storm hits.
     
  12. rhadamanthus

    rhadamanthus Member

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    Normal windows are recessed. If you look at one of your windows from the outside, you should notice that on either vertical side of the window, there is a "ledge" protruding out towards you away from the actual glass. It's about 3-4 inches deep.

    The clips are really just a wedge between that recession and the wood. Instead of "mounting" the wood on screws, you literally just pop it into place, wedged against the side of the window. (more like BANG it into place, since those clips are freeking tight)

    Does that make sense?

    The clips will NOT work on storm windows, since they protrude outward away from the house, effectively hiding that vertical "ledge".

    And Max, I can say with considerable authority that oak trees are some of the best at surviving large storms. They have incredibly deep roots, and the wood is heavy as sin - won't break easy.

    My mother in law lost 27 trees from Katrina. All four of her enormous live oaks were almost completely unscathed. Beware of pine and ash.
     
  13. MadMax

    MadMax Member

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    it does make sense...I think I have a big window at the front of the house this wouldn't work for. It protrudes out from the house...almost like a bay window. But it is cased in wood. Not sure if that makes sense to you. Anyway...I'll check it out. Thanks!
     
  14. rhadamanthus

    rhadamanthus Member

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    I have storm windows. It sucks. I have to mount the plywood into brick.

    I edited my previous post... I have a huge oak in my front yard too.
     
  15. MadMax

    MadMax Member

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    Lady across the street from me has 2 huge pine trees...i'm not thrilled with that, because I'm not entirely certain where they'd land if they fell.
     
  16. MadMax

    MadMax Member

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    Do you just drill it in to the brick directly?
     
  17. rhadamanthus

    rhadamanthus Member

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    Yes. Including the windows on the second story. It is the definition of suck.
     
  18. marks0223

    marks0223 2017 and 2022 World Series Champions
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    Not much change with the 11 EDT advisory. The models all bring this into the Gulf in a fairly straight NW track for 3 days. For the strom to hit Texas there's going to have to be a turn in the last 24-48 hrs caused be a ridge coming from the north.
     
  19. Supermac34

    Supermac34 President, Von Wafer Fan Club

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    If anything, it looks like the models minimized the turn they had last night, and it appears to be more squarely in the middle of Louisiana on the 11 AM models.

    Still too soon to tell, I guess.
     
  20. MadMax

    MadMax Member

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    Actually it completely depends on the model you're looking at...2 of the 3 pointing towards Texas are farther south and west from us than they've been in a few days. Those models bring it in to Corpus.

    The NHC's main track is projecting a westward curve after landfall and carries the storm our direction hugging the coast.

    It all depends on the high pressure system coming out of the midwest...and whether it moves south quick enough to move Gustav west. If it does, expect a Texas landfall...if not, expect a LA landfall, but perhaps even with a track of the storm to us over land. I'd say if you see Gustav slowing down much at all in the Gulf, it lends itself towards a more westerly turn.
     

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