It's time to get familiar with the names Hanna, Josephine, Ike, and Kyle, because the tropical Atlantic is about to put on a rare burst of very high activity in the coming weeks. http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=1046&tstamp=200808 That's from Jeff Masters' latest blog entry. The GOOD news is that we along the Texas coast, realistically, have just about 3 weeks of major hurricane season left. After September 21, the Texas coast (Rita hit Louisiana) has never had a major hurricane strike (cat 3 or higher) and, IIRC, only one cat 2 storm. It doesn't mean our season is over as we've had tropical storms and minimal hurricanes, just not a major one. The BAD news is that we have 3 weeks of major hurricane season left and we are at the peak of the season as witnessed by the waves lining up in the Atlantic, the wave in the southern Gulf, Gustav and Hannah. Hey, I can't believe no one has considered this for our new storm... Could this be a Hannah Storm?
Don't you see! It all fits! Storen spelled backwards is NERO TS....as in Nero (the Roman emporor whose rule is notirously known for the great fire) and TS is an abbreviation for Tropical Storm....and what happens when you add a little fire to a Tropical Storm??? You get a Hurricane! Makes perfect sense...
They change as new data comes in. Everyone and their dog will tell you they're not very reliable at 5 days out. Tomorrow morning we'll know more...by Saturday morning, we'll have a really good idea where it's headed.
Let's hope it is a category 1 because the gulf coast can't afford another disaster! I'm pretty sure we're in clear, hopefully.
We're not in the clear yet. Remember that at about this point with Rita, the NHC's forecast model had it going to Rockport...it ended up in LA, missing the mark by about 250 miles. Katrina's models about this far out missed by 190 miles, as they had it going into the Fla. panhandle. That puts the current track well within range of Houston. Intensity is a whole other matter...but there's not a model out there that has it becoming anything less than a Cat. 3.
It's a known fact that models at 5 days out are EXTREMELY unreliable we wont know anything even close to right for another day or two at least. Jeff, you can tell us....which one of the battling weather geeks on WU blogs is you?
look im not goin to lie ...im a big weather geek lol!yea models right now show it goin to LA !ITS WAY TOO EARLY TO PREDICT!WE ARE NOT IN THE CLEAR YET UNTIL 2 DAYS FROM NOW !u have to give or take 300 miles from projected path !that high is the key !gustov will stick to left most corner of the of the high !think of that high invisible clock wise motion !pulling the storm around it and slingshotting it into the gulf sort of speak !it depends if the high expands where it hits along the coast!weather systems bounce off or stick to each other for movement ! a hurrricane...is one of the most easily influnenced systems of weather sort to speak!its the other systems(i.e. a high pressure)thats really hard to track of that works the movement of the hurricane!
Supposing Gustav does swipe Houston ... what will be the consequences if I don't board up my windows? I have a lot of windows and don't have either the motivation or the spare change to do all that.
Your house will be blown away Do you have a lot of older mature trees around your house? Broken tree branches and loose stuff in peoples yards are your windows biggest enimies.
