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Greenhouse Gases to be Listed as Pollutants by EPA

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by rocketsjudoka, Apr 17, 2009.

  1. bingsha10

    bingsha10 Member

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    If by "science is sound" you mean the thermometers are working then I'd agree.

    However, during the medieval period ago the Earth was much hotter than it was today so the science behind whats going to happen if the temperature keeps increasing is very unsound.

    And as for the cause of such warming, lol, that science is definitely not sound.
     
  2. Sweet Lou 4 2

    Sweet Lou 4 2 Member

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    I don't say avoid clean energy, i say just don't force people to use it. Incentivize? Absolutely. Invest in research? Fantastic!

    Force people to use it by taxing them? No. I am all for some taxes believe me, but not this one. If you want to cut CO2 - go nuclear like France. They pay cheap for CO2 free electricity.

    The problem with trying to reduced CO2 to say 1970 levels is that it won't make a freakin difference.

    The half-life of CO2 is decades. That means the excess CO2 we've dumped is going to be up there for a very long time, and we'll still be injecting a bunch of CO2 - just at 1975 levels or whatever. And keep in mind that 1975 levels were plenty enough to keep global warming going.

    Where is a study that shows cutting our CO2 to 1975 level sor whatever is going to turn back global warming? Where do they get this from? It's bull.

    And the cycle may be too late. Less sunlight is reflected back because there's less ice caps, so that might have us in a positive feedback loop already.

    Hopefully, massive algae blooms can straighten it all out.
     
  3. Sweet Lou 4 2

    Sweet Lou 4 2 Member

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    Well, I was a skeptic for a while, but the reason I am convinced now is that phenomenon that were predicted to happen if indeed global warming was man-made have occured. An example of man made global warming (greenhouse effect warming) would be that the temperture increases we'd expereince would be greater at night than during the days. And this has indeed been the case. It's not the highs that are increasing, it's the lows.

    Other thing such as atmospheric measurements align with a greenhouse effect associated with man made gases, and rules out pretty much every other explanation.

    I am very mistrustful of environmentalists who really don't think scientifically but rather with their hearts. However, because I think scientifically, I must accept that global warming is real and is caused by the greenhouse effect associated with man made emissions.
     
  4. rocketsjudoka

    rocketsjudoka Member

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    In general a 1/2 M expansion doesn't sound like a lot but that has devestating consequences locally especially in areas already at sea level or lower. Consider what it means to add just another 18" on top of miles of flood walls and levees in places like NOLA and the Netherlands. That requires a lot of resources and engineering. What about trying to raise Venice another 18".

    I can tell you from recent experience when they changed the flood forecast in Fargo from 42' to 43' it took a huge effort just to raise sandbag levees just around Fargo that extra foot.

    Also the foot and a half rise is an average. You could see extremely big changes in some places.
     
  5. rocketsjudoka

    rocketsjudoka Member

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    And it was much colder in 10,000 years ago.

    No one is denying there are natual swings in the Earth's temperature but at the same time what we are seeing at the moment is unprecendented in regards to the amount of CO2 and other greenhouse gases entering the atmosphere in such a relatively short time. We know for a fact that CO2, Methane and other gases traps heat and we know for a fact based on ice core, tree ring and other evidence what the composition of the atmosphere has been for thousands of years. While there is uncertainty the science is definately sound.
     
  6. rocketsjudoka

    rocketsjudoka Member

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    The problem is though under your argument that we just accept Global Warming how is the cost of mitigating rising sea levels, shifting weather patterns and a variety of things associated with Global Warming paid for? All of that is going to be very expensive and I strongly suspect much more than what it will cost compared to trying reducing emmissions now.

    I agree there is a lot of uncertainty regarding if Global Warming is happening can it be reversed using the policies now proposed. I'm willing to say I don't know for certain but given what's at stake it appears to be a reasonable gamble that we try to address it now.

    Also as I've noted many times before even if Global Warming doesn't pan out as much of a threat the benefits of clean and renewable energy and greater efficiency alone make it worth it.
     
  7. Grizzled

    Grizzled Member

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    Your brand of anti-science is quite an unusual one. You use the trappings of science, but what you are really doing is attacking and denying its very core principles. I’ve seen you do this in a couple of threads now.

    For those who do value real science, I don’t think you should place any weight on anything Sweet Lou 4 2 has said, and as a specific example note that there are some very promising technologies that are in the working prototype stage for removing CO2 from the air. Here’s an introductory article.
    http://www.nytimes.com/cwire/2009/0...a-market-for-a-synthetic-tree-that-10510.html
     
  8. Sweet Lou 4 2

    Sweet Lou 4 2 Member

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    Waters spilling over levees is actually part of geology...in fact, it actually helps make the land more fertile. What we have done by development has actually gone against this....flooding is part of nature, and while there is an immense human cost to it, the solution is far more complex than just from global warming.

    Further more, a rise in sea level won't impact a place like fargo since the tidal forces of the oceans don't reach that far up the mississippi.

    Venice is an example of a city that has adopted to sinking or rising sea levels. It proves my point. NOLA is already under sea-level...an 18 inch rise in the water certainly doesn't help, but keep in mind it is not going to happen over night. Intelligent city planning around an 18 inch rise in sea-level can do a lot to mitigate potential problems...if they start now and not wait.
     
  9. rocketsjudoka

    rocketsjudoka Member

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    As someone who lives on the Mississippi I'm acutely aware of that the river has been caged in a manmade flood plain and what the consequences of that are. That's not the point though. The point is that there has been a massive cost in doing so. Now imagine trying to do that over most of the major coastlines around the world.
    You are missing the point again. I'm not claimng Fargo will flood because of rising sea levels. I'm telling you from first hand experience that it is not easy to just build higher levees even for something as small as trying to keep Fargo from being flooded by the Red River. The amount of labor and cost just for a small operation like that is great and that was for levees that only needed to be up for a few days.
    You actually think Venice has done a good job dealing with rising sea levels? You do realize that for the last decade or so San Marco Piazza has been flooding several times a year and Italy is undertaking a multi-billion dollar project to close off the lagoon, possibly causing a lot of environmental problems and which might not work in the long run anyway.
    http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=17855145

    Most of our civilizations great cities and infrastructure have been built on coastlines and an 18" global average doesn't mean that will be 18" everywhere. It could be less in some places it could be much much more. You're acting as though this is sandbagging around the house when the creek rises. What an 18" average rise in sea levels means is a major shift in settlement patterns and untold amount of money needed to deal with flood mitigations.

    That's also ignoring dealing other potential affects from Global Warming such as changes in weather patterns.
     
  10. Sweet Lou 4 2

    Sweet Lou 4 2 Member

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    Like you are ignoring potential benefits of global warming???

    Will all do respect, the sea level is going to rise. The notion that cutting C02 by 20% when the population will grow 40% in the same period is kinda strange to me. Did you know that man made deforestation may account for 20% of global warming and CO2 level increases?

    There's a lot of misinformation and false faith in the idea that cutting back CO2 a little bit, even though it would be at great sacrafice, is going to be enough to save us from difficulties ahead.

    It's not. It's a total false panacea.

    Co2 levels are going to increase, not decline, whatever is going to happen, it's going to happen. It's not a disastrous thing if we plan ahead. Humanities foolery was to build so much of it's value near the coastline in the first place.

    Ever country with a coast must start planning for the impact of a rise in sea level of a few feet in the next 100 years. That is the only sane path for now. Because the drumbeat of humanity - progress, isn't going to stop for the environmental movement.

    it doesn't matter if animals are put into extinction, it doesn't matter if small groups suffer. You can not unite 7 billion people in a fashion where those who have not much to live for or are willing to accept the risk are expected to altruistically join.

    A solution that does not appeal directly to the self-interests (and I mean short-term, not 20-50 years) of humanity is simply a waste of time.

    As I said, research and develop - absolutely. But if you really care, then you better say let's go nuclear. Uranium mining is awful, but if you have to pick your poison.

    Which is it, global warming (which may be inevitable), pollution, or mass suffering from poor economics?
     
  11. rocketsjudoka

    rocketsjudoka Member

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    I'm not going to deny there are some potential benefits to global warming. Living in Minnesota I would welcome some global warming. ;) That said I highly doubt the cost of benefits like an ice free Northwest passage will compare to the cost of dealing with global warming since our civilization has developed with the coast being largely were they are and the weather patterns being largely what they are.

    You keep on saying this yet you haven't presented any evidence to support this other than your own speculation. Now I'm not going to rule out that you may very well be right but I'm seeing very little to support your argument other than what you say.

    Foolish, maybe but we can't change the history of the development pattern of the human civilization. We can though take means to change how we use energy and how we get it. That is well within out means.

    So you argue that progress won't stop but then say that we need to plan to deal with rising sea levels. You don't think that is going to hamper progress? I agree change will have to come one way or the other. Perhaps its because I deal with things like urban planning and have dealt with natural disasters I can tell you that moving people isn't easy or cheap.

    But you are asking for a even greater sacrifice of attempting to deal with changing coastlines and other disruptions from Global Warming. Somewhere there is going to have be a large sacrifice.

    Anyway in regard to this being a sacrifice we are already seeing changes, true they are slow and limited but change none the less. While the PRC is building coal plants they are also poised to become the leader in renewables.
    http://www.worldwatch.org/node/5491
    So even they recognize the problem and are seeking to address it.
    Sure go nuclear. It sounds like things such as pebble bed reactors are doing away with the problem of waste. A solution to renewable non-emitting energy though is going to take multiple strategies. Unlike you I don't rule out the possibility of technological advancement solving much of our problems.

    But you are arguing for mass suffering and poor economics anyway from having to deal with the results of global warming. What I don't get about your position is that while you accept the possibility of global warming and negative affects of it you are also asking for people to put their heads in the sand and not do anything to address it.
     
  12. Sweet Lou 4 2

    Sweet Lou 4 2 Member

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    I really respect your POV. I do. In fact, I admire it. And I say that sincerely.

    I am not dismissing the possibility that technology wont' solve this problem. If I was saying that, would I support research and investment into CO2 free technology??? I support it, wholeheartedly. I think we must invest in all of this.

    My point isn't that we shouldn't invest in this technology, we must. My point is that as of today, there is no feasible solution to bringing us back down to 1970 levels. THe technology isn't there yet, and to try to implement this will only curtail human progress today - and not avoid the costs of global warming tomorrow.

    So what's the point?

    I am saying if we want to really address CO2, we have to think about how can we cut CO2 emissions by 90% over a 25 year time frame. And even that might be too late. This is an important point. It may be too late. THere is no science that supports the therory this is reversable. The half-life of CO2 in the atmosphere is decades.

    Think about this for second. That means even if we cut CO2 emissions in half today, the level of CO2 in the atmosphere wouldn't even decline - it will still increase! That's because we are still pumping CO2 faster into the atmosphere than it's being taken out.

    We don't have a choice. Maybe we'll reverse global warming in 100 years, but if you truly believe that CO2 is warming the planet, and I think it is, and that this will increase sea levels - you must accept that this won't be stopped.

    What we need is technology that can make it cheaper, not more expensive, that's why I support massive R&D. I think it should be a project that should unite the world. A 100 billion dollars in investment.

    But forcing people to use it with taxes? No way. Just a silly idea.
     
  13. rhadamanthus

    rhadamanthus Member

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    Oh please. Don't be so naive. A slightly warmer winter is not worth a thing after global ecosystems collapse.

    The time lag is inescapable. As was reported several months ago, even stopping ALL CO2 emissions at this point will not avert the continued sea temperature increases, ice melts, and large scale changes. It takes a LONG time to alter the ocean's temperature.

    Not going to happen. It's far easier to implement GHG emissions restrictions than to get people to alter/abandon/secure prime beach front property. Get real.

    I agree, which nullifies your previous statement. We can't alter what's already been done, but we can keep it from getting worse.


    We're cruising towards all three.
     

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