To the point where...at least in this instance...I don't know why they do it at all. Why put together this forecast?
I'm convinced, regardless of a hurricanes location, there will always be one model showing a path towards Houston.
I'm really impressed with Fay as a storm. I mean it has spend more than half of it's life on land, and it is causing havic. And it is so huge. The ground that it covered in rain expands several states. It was from the Florida keys to South Carolina yesterday, and today it is from north Florida all the way to the Mississippi/Alabama border. I have never seen a storm let alone a tropical storm this persistant and massive. It's size is comparable to Hurricane Floyd and Katrina. But those storms where major hurricanes that spent many days on the center of the ocean. Regarding, invest 94L, I think it is too far to the south. If it doesn't develope quickly, then it will probably just run into Middle America somewhere. if it does develope then it'll take a similar path as Ivan did in 2004.
I think you mean "Central" America. Much will depend on where the center of circulation is once/if it forms. If it forms where the NHC suggests right now, it is going to be so close to the northern coast of South America, it will have a hard time getting out of the Caribbean without going nearly due north. We'll see.
I have a bad feeling too. It's a burning itch. My doctor gave me some ointment iand it's much better now.
