Salary cap 101: You need lots of cheap rookies to win in this league. Look up analytics 101. You wonder why we suck, that's exactly why. You wonder why teams like the Pats stay good, they hoard draft picks and have smart contracts. All those guys you mentioned by the way, have lower cap hits than Brock Osweiler for 2017-19, except for Rivers who has the same cap hit. Did you even look it up before posting?
http://www.cheatsheet.com/sports/nfl-teams-facing-salary-cap-issues-2017.html/?a=viewall NFL: 7 Teams Facing Serious Salary Cap Issues in 2017 3. Houston Texans After going on a spending spree in 2016, the Houston Texans now face salary cap issues in 2017. | Bob Levey/Getty Images 2017 Salary Cap Total: $145,283,355 Projected 2017 Salary Cap Space: $9,986,645 2017 Dead Money: $104,954 After years of building their team through the NFL Draft, the Houston Texans went on a free agent spending spree this offseason. As a direct result, they will face salary cap issues in 2017. There are only a handful of viable options for contract restructures (linebacker Brian Cushing, offensive tackle Duane Brown, and cornerback Kareem Jackson), which means they will likely have to release more than one key veteran player next offseason. More importantly, the Texans will have to create the necessary cap space to sign All-Pro wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins — an unrestricted free agent in 2018 — to an extremely costly, long-term contract extension, as well as re-sign unrestricted free agents such as defensive tackle Vince Wilfork and outside linebacker John Simon. For reference, Hopkins is in the same class as guys like Demaryius Thomas, Dez Bryant, and Julio Jones, who all recently signed five-year deals worth $70 million or more. Needless to say, the Texans’ front office has a lot of work to do over the next year.
OK... then explain to me why will cap space will deter coaches from taking over what remains a talented roster?... They're fine, cap-wise. Plenty of opportunities to cut salaries.
http://archive.jsonline.com/sports/...fl-decision-making-b99711074z1-376816711.html Among the conclusions the football analysts seem to agree upon are: ■ The reason Thompson, Belichick and Colbert succeed in building rosters is because they value draft picks and understand the more picks you have the better your odds are to make a good pick. ■ First-round picks are weighted far too heavily in the draft because so few of them are sure things, and if you can trade one for more picks your odds for success are better than if you were taking one shot at a premier player. If you consider Thompson's drafts, you can see what the analysts are saying. The same guy who fell in love with Clay Matthews in 2009 drafted Justin Harrell in 2007. The same guy who drafted Aaron Rodgers 24th in the '05 draft selected Brian Brohm 56th in the '07 draft. You can go on and on. Analysts are not saying that Thompson isn't good at his job. They are saying that traditional scouting methods make it difficult to outperform expectations year after year. All the teams have equal access to information. Personnel people move around the league all the time and so ideas get widely circulated. Draft philosophies become apparent over time and can become the norm. In a presentation to the 2012 MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference, Cade Massey, practice professor in the Wharton School's Operations, Information and Decisions Department, co-authored a draft study that concluded that randomness dominates the process because it's so hard to predict human performance years into the future. He concluded that statistically just about everybody is equal in drafting. Thus, his recommendation was that teams increase their number of picks in order to improve their odds and don't pay for the right to move up in the draft because you think you're smarter than everyone else. To this end, Thompson is a success. He hoards picks — through trades and the compensatory system he has had 104 in 11 seasons, or an average of two extra per year — and thus gets more shots at being right. (In the same time span, Belichick has made 100 picks and Colbert 93). And so even in those down years, he has managed to find at least one really good player. "It keeps Green Bay at the top of the league," Schatz said. "That and having a great quarterback for the past 25 years."
I disagree that they're fine. But what are these plenty of opportunities? We are more or less stuck with this roster through next year. And after that we're still near the bottom in capsace
Again, I really don't think you know enough to comment on this... I think you're looking at years/salaries now... without taking into account how easy it is to get out of most (if not all) of the ones that are no longer worth it without a cap ramification. The Colts are stuck with Luck. The Saints are stuck with Brees. Those are very real situations. The Texans aren't stuck with anybody long-term that prevents them from improving the roster free-agent wise (if needed).
A simplistic take from a one-track mind. The Pats don't simply stay good due to over-producing rookies. Additionally, half the moves you've complained about (letting go of Jones/Brooks... the eventual cutting of Cushing/Joseph) are exactly the type of salaries teams don't try and commit to long-term, and they find their replacements via the draft (which I feel the new regime has attempted to do... just not executing it).
Overthecap did a series on salary cap flexiblity and ranked the Texans in the middle. Although they do have to worry about resigning Hopkins. http://overthecap.com/mortgaging-future-part-ii/ 14. Texans Nothing really stands out either positive or negative about the Texans. Their net cap spending this year more or less matches their annual contract values and next year is more of the same. They don’t have any free agents to worry about and with $17M in cap room can either replace a top 10 player or add some depth. They have some top roster flexibility as well such that if certain players do poorly they can be cut.
I disagree. Some have a decent working knowledge about the ramifications of cap figures, exact guaranteed dollar figures, and the realistic options each team has to create cap space. Even the article you mention above only mentions re-structuring of guys like Cushing/Brown/Joseph... when in reality, there's simply a high likelihood that both get cut outright. Getting locked into underperforming, high priced, oft-injured veterans is the one thing any aspiring team has to avoid at all costs... the Texans aren't "stuck" (unless you feel that Watt is done... then they are stuck with that being the one unmovable/uncuttable contract for the years going foward).
I disagree with your disagreement. Anyone who knows what they're talking about isn't posting about it on a basketball message board. And we know less than the people who write articles about it for a living (like those linked above), and even they don't know enough.
You're really grasping here. Even after reading the half-ass researched article, at no point are the Texans considered to be in a handcuffed/inflexible state to the level of other teams that do have significant talent issues on both sides of the ball (see the Colts, Saints, Dolphins, Ravens). The main issue the article cites is re-signing Hopkins to a contract that realistically measures his true worth. He had a tremendous season last year, but he's still a notch below the super-elite receivers that are getting paid as so. Doesn't take an expert to make that assessment. They can free up the dollars needed to extend him.... this front office has always found a way to take care of their own (in some cases to their detriment).
So you have to be an expert to say the salary cap situation looks bad, but you don't have to be an expert to say the salary cap situation looks good?
Again... did the article even say it looked "bad"? They said they have to make some choices regarding veterans that the team will likely cut anyways, in order to free up enough extra money to secure Hopkins, sign draft picks, and have some extra free agency space as needed. Maybe it takes an expert to interpret articles that have been poorly researched, or titled in a certain click-bait way to attract more clicks.
I have posted numerous different articles with different perspectives. At best, the Texans are middle-of-the-pack in terms of cap flexibility. Middle of the cap + garbage current team = not good. At least Cleveland is garbage team + tons of flexibility = they can actually rebuild.
You think the texans are a garbage team? Some are u are just Delusional. Y'all act like there are 0-5. LOL. They have work to do.....but damn.........get a grip on reality.
You tend to focus on whatever simply fits your endless/repetitive narrative that the sky is consistently falling with the current regime. Lol that you're actually envious of Cleveland. Get a grip on reality!
The more I think about it, the more depressed I get in realizing that McNair won't move on O'Brien this season. Brock is our starting QB until the conclusion of the 2017 season, as such, McNair is not going to foist a new coach on him next year (in a misguided but well-meaning effort to maximize Brock's chances... and ostensibly BOB's chances too). Unless things go 10+ losses bad from here on out you can almost certainly expect BOB on the sidelines next year. I hope that next year either 1) our division finally grows out of its larval stage and shows McNair what a flop BOB is or 2) it finally clicks and BOB becomes a Sith Lord like Belichick.
Mallet and Hoyer knew BOBs system and they sucked balls. Brock didn't know it or anything like it so it will take time. I hope BOB isn't hard headed and maybe drops the "game planning" on offense and just runs what Brock does well or at least more what he's more familiar with for example ZBS runs and bootlegs. Make Brock feel comfortable instead of worrying about a million things before the snap. Just call a play and run it regardless of the look. We can get more advanced once Brock has settled in.
