All I can say is my staff WOULD kick booty if RJ was healthy. I'd have the top 2 pitchers with Prior plus Clemens, Colon, and Zach Day as my fifth. I'm about a month away from that given some luck. And keep in mind I drafted all 5.
That's a horrible trade on your part Behad. You were already strong in the pitching department with Oswalt, Miller, Maddox Ishii and Pinero. Now you lose all those points at shortstop.
Excuse me? Have you seen Miller pitch this year? And Oswalt is not exactly a repeat of last year. Or Maddox. In essence, now that the second deal is done, the trade was A-Rod, Benitez, and Williamson for Brown, Petitte, and Boone. A loss at shortstop for an upgrade at starting pitching. With Boone playing at MLB's newest little league field, the loss shouldn't be too great at SS. Using our leagues scores (since Yahoo doesn't have stats in fp scores), A-Rod has scored 232 points, or 3.18 fp/game. Boone as at 218 points, or 2.95 a game. Over the course of a week, that's 1.61 points. Explain to me again where I'm losing all these points at short?
If I have to explain the difference between ARod and Aaron Boone, well then nevermind Good trade for you.
Behad. In my opinion that logic does work. And it's part of my overall draft strategy each year. But My strategy must remain a secret so I cannot disclose it here nor go into any detail. This is the first year I finally think I figured it all out. Even with the loss of RJ I've had a successful year. In a lot of ways A-Rod pays off, but the odds of winning actually improve if you don't have him.
*enters mentat mode* Fact: A-Rod has averaged between 3.8 - 4.2 ppg for the past three seasons. Fact: A-Rod's ppg average is currently 3.18, well below his traditional season totals. Prime Computation: It stands to reason that A-Rod will have a great second half. He will likely finish the season with a ppg average no lower than 3.8, which is his lowest total since 1999. Analysis: To obtain a final ppg average of 3.8, A-Rod will have to average upwards of 4.4 ppg in the second half of the season. To put this in perspective, only one player averaged more than 4 ppg last year; Barry Bonds (4.99). Vladimir Guererro was next (3.93). Final Conclusion: Trading A-Rod for so-so to good starting pitching was a mistake.
Keep your ultra-secret strategy if you must. I'm going to share my winning formula with the world, because really, there's only one true successful strategy for H2H/FP leagues: 1. Draft or obtain players who will maintain or outperform their draft slot/trade value. That's all it takes. It doesn't matter whether your points come from overachieving pitchers or overachieving hitters, so long as they come from somewhere. Roto leagues are a bit different. Balance is more important than simple domination.
I admit that Brown has been awesome so far, but I don't think his success will continue in the second half. He'll be good, but not great. Pettitte has been so-so.
So let me get this straight...A-Rod is not performing up to his past averages, so that means he will be even better in the second half to make up for it, while Brown is performing at the same level as his past indicates he would, thus he's due for a letdown? Why is your logic for A-Rod not applicable to Brown?
But Fade, by your logic the trade is good. A-Rod is performing below his draft value and Kevin Brown is performing above it. If you make the assumption that the course will hold true then Behad wins the trade. But if you assume the reverse occurs then the other dude wins. However, it would seem to me that it's better to side on the error of success instead of failure. Plus Kevin Brown has a history of success. So it's likely that he will maintain it. What Behad now has is an excess of Pitchers. That doesn't do him any good. Why not trade those players to upgrade another area? That's the hardest trade to make happen. But that's what I would try to do. Finn, you want borowski Izzy is back man.
I do plan on trading a pitcher or two for a top tier infielder if I can swing it, but the structure of this league is not detrimental to having too many pitchers. In our league if you play more than 3.2 starting pitchers per game, you will run out of starts once you hit the game limit of 162 starts. In this total points league, I can start all of them every time they play.
My assumption is the opposite. I think A-Rod will have an excellent second half and that Brown's production will decline as the season goes on due to age/stamina and injury concerns. Could be wrong of course, but that's my theory and the main reason why I don't like Behad's side of the trade.
