I think they confused best case scenario with likely scenario. I don't see them as a championship contender, but certainly have to potential to make it to the 2nd round.
They have to provide quick off-the-cuff commentary on 30 teams. There's no way they can do so intelligently, but they have to sound like experts. Instead, they rely on facile media hype as a basis of their so-called analysis instead of actually doing some work.
I don't see how we're "not in the same league" as Portland when we beat them 2 years ago when they had a team that was better than their current team and we had a team worse than our current team.