1. Welcome! Please take a few seconds to create your free account to post threads, make some friends, remove a few ads while surfing and much more. ClutchFans has been bringing fans together to talk Houston Sports since 1996. Join us!

[ESPN]2009-10 Forecast: Houston Rockets

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by burnshroom, Sep 28, 2009.

  1. burnshroom

    burnshroom Member

    Joined:
    Jun 26, 2006
    Messages:
    2,054
    Likes Received:
    1,159
    Didn't see this elsewhere. Lock or move if already posted.

    http://insider.espn.go.com/nba/trainingcamp09/insider/columns/story?columnist=hollinger_john&page=RocketsForecast0910


     
    1 person likes this.
  2. ItsMyFault

    ItsMyFault Contributing Member

    Joined:
    Jan 28, 2009
    Messages:
    15,646
    Likes Received:
    978
    Only 37 wins.. COME ON, WHERE IS THE LOVE, BSPN?
     
  3. desi tmac91

    desi tmac91 Member

    Joined:
    Jun 26, 2008
    Messages:
    3,206
    Likes Received:
    240
    37 wins is more than I'm expecting, not that bad of a analysis.
     
  4. Hayesfan

    Hayesfan Contributing Member

    Joined:
    Nov 3, 2006
    Messages:
    10,900
    Likes Received:
    360
    all the Hollinger love is gone with the Yao ;)

    That's okay when we finish above .500 everyone will be eating their words.
     
  5. jump shooter

    jump shooter Contributing Member

    Joined:
    Mar 14, 2000
    Messages:
    5,429
    Likes Received:
    145
    He's right to a certain extent, the rockets frontline is a bunch of midgets.
     
  6. durvasa

    durvasa Contributing Member

    Joined:
    Feb 11, 2006
    Messages:
    37,972
    Likes Received:
    15,446
    Hollinger's preseason analysis is always well worth the read.

    Thanks for posting it.
     
  7. Carl Herrera

    Carl Herrera Contributing Member

    Joined:
    Feb 16, 2007
    Messages:
    45,153
    Likes Received:
    21,570
    Lind of intereting thought on the opponent FT%. Hollinger said it's just luck-- maybe not, though. Perhaps Rockets were smart enough to avoid hacking high % FT shooters more than other teams. It would be interesting to see if we look at the seasonlong FT% of those who went to the line vs. the Rockets and do a weighted average (by the number of FT attempted while playing vs. Rockets), whether that "expected value" would be lower than the normal league avg.
     
  8. echu888

    echu888 Member

    Joined:
    Mar 27, 2006
    Messages:
    719
    Likes Received:
    25
    Wow, predicting below .500. Pretty rough, but possibly accurate considering the anchor of our offense and defense disappearing.

    Here's to hoping for a surprise season from the Rockets.
     
  9. burnshroom

    burnshroom Member

    Joined:
    Jun 26, 2006
    Messages:
    2,054
    Likes Received:
    1,159
    Matt Bullard's vaunted "Free Throw Defense" :)
     
  10. dachuda86

    dachuda86 Member

    Joined:
    May 3, 2008
    Messages:
    16,308
    Likes Received:
    3,580
    writing of the rox again? you'd think they'd learn.
     
  11. Raven

    Raven Member

    Joined:
    Jul 24, 2002
    Messages:
    14,984
    Likes Received:
    1,024
    If the Rockets miss the playoffs, let's hope they fall far enough to get a high draft pick.
     
  12. Steve_Francis_rules

    Joined:
    Dec 11, 1999
    Messages:
    8,467
    Likes Received:
    300
    That's a really interesting idea.

    My initial take was to disagree with Hollinger because it's quite possible that because the Rockets make teams work much harder on the offensive end than most other teams, players were tired and missed more free throws. This of course, wouldn't be as easily testable as your idea.
     
    1 person likes this.
  13. ScriboErgoSum

    ScriboErgoSum Contributing Member

    Joined:
    Aug 5, 2002
    Messages:
    3,138
    Likes Received:
    355
    I agree with a lot of it, but I think we're going to be a lot better offensively than people expect. We have a lot of guys who can play in the system Rick wants to run. I think we'll see a lot of movement, pick and rolls, and open mid range jump shots. If we don't plummet defensively (and I don't expect us to), that will be enough to win more than 41 games and make a serious run for seeds 6-8.
     
  14. RedRedemption

    RedRedemption Contributing Member

    Joined:
    Jul 21, 2009
    Messages:
    32,470
    Likes Received:
    7,648
    37 wins? WTF.

    I'm expecting at least 45 and maybe a 8th seed if we make a playoff push deep in the regular season.
     
  15. Ziggy

    Ziggy QUEEN ANON

    Joined:
    Jun 11, 1999
    Messages:
    36,762
    Likes Received:
    13,150
    I knew Hollinger wrote this without having to look. Is there anyway we can rep Hollinger? He is always on-target.
     
  16. LCII

    LCII Contributing Member

    Joined:
    Nov 7, 2006
    Messages:
    8,609
    Likes Received:
    395
    This is a very realistic assessment of our current roster, not too optimistic about the potentials of our young and new players, at the same time not too pessimistic and dismissive.
     
  17. ThaShark316_28

    Joined:
    Feb 22, 2007
    Messages:
    4,012
    Likes Received:
    130
    I got em at 38-44...so...
     
  18. Thefabman

    Thefabman Member

    Joined:
    Nov 14, 2007
    Messages:
    3,945
    Likes Received:
    1,501
    i came in this thread expecting to see a prediction of 38 wins so yeah from the outside its pretty spot on, i believe will be between 45 and 50 wins myself but thats just me i guess
     
  19. JeopardE

    JeopardE Contributing Member

    Joined:
    Jun 29, 2006
    Messages:
    7,418
    Likes Received:
    246
    The Rockets have been consistently near the top of the league in "free throw defense" for the past few years now. Hollinger is flat out wrong --- that is no coincidence or luck. The Rockets play a brand of intelligent defense that is rarely found elsewhere in the league, led by Shane Battier. One of their key disciplines is to avoid fouling high percentage free throw shooters. The Rockets generally make an effort to avoid fouling at all, tend to play physical and force a lot of long missed jumpshots (both of which have a negative impact on confidence at the free throw line), and do a better job than average of sending lower-percentage shooters to the line when possible.
     
    1 person likes this.
  20. airbulllard

    airbulllard Contributing Member

    Joined:
    Apr 27, 2003
    Messages:
    1,137
    Likes Received:
    14
    i agree. i thought the analysis was right on as i was reading it.

    some people think that they have to hope for the best for their team, but sometimes those hopes are unrealistic.. in the houston texans case, they are always unrealistic. i hate that some people here blast people for having their own 'realistic' expectations, saying they're not true fans or whatever
     
    1 person likes this.

Share This Page

  • About ClutchFans

    Since 1996, ClutchFans has been loud and proud covering the Houston Rockets, helping set an industry standard for team fan sites. The forums have been a home for Houston sports fans as well as basketball fanatics around the globe.

  • Support ClutchFans!

    If you find that ClutchFans is a valuable resource for you, please consider becoming a Supporting Member. Supporting Members can upload photos and attachments directly to their posts, customize their user title and more. Gold Supporters see zero ads!


    Upgrade Now