this is huge. Now all Biden has to do is hang on to what he is supposed to win. However, since this election is razor thin, Trump can steal this with corruption and courts.
Iowa and North Carolina are essentially off the menu. He needs to flip Arizona... that gives him 243... he needs 269 to win... then that leaves Pennsylvania (20), Michigan (16) and Wisconsin (10)..... so any combo of 2 of the 3 states and he wins if he holds par. He still has at least a 50% chance of winning Pennsylvania and Michigan because they have not counted early voting and the large urban area of voters are not really accounted for. Ohio was always going to Trump, and Florida leans Republican too. The only real concerning thing right this minute is the margin in Ohio and we don’t know how many votes are still out there.
NATHANIEL RAKICH NOV. 3, 11:03 PM It was always a long shot that a winner would be declared tonight, but now it looks like we might not even have a good idea who’s won when we go to bed. Georgia has had enough problems that it seems like it will be impossible to project tonight. North Carolina looks close enough that it might come down to late-arriving mail ballots. And we’ve long known that results in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin won’t be final for a day or three. Ultimately, I think the presidency comes down to those three states — which, unfortunately, we know the least about right now. ATE SILVER NOV. 3, 11:04 PM There are certainly scenarios in play (if Biden loses Pennsylvania but wins Arizona) where we wind up with a 269-269 tie. In that case, Biden would need to carry either Nebraska or Maine’s second congressional district to win. Nebraska is the more likely of the two, although given that Biden won New Hampshire, Maine-2 is plausible for him also.
Yeah why all the doom and gloom here? Because of Florida and Ohio? There is Arizona, Minny, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania coming. Doesn't Biden wins with all these?
Local news here is showing Biden winning some rural counties in MN. This is pretty much a good indication that MN is staying blue.
Not really it's just down to Pennsylvania and Trump trying to run the Sunbelt States which he hasn't done. So Trump has to win Pennsylvania which is highly unlikely while holding on to North Carolina and Georgia which still might go to Biden. But again anybody that thinks Trump is in a superior position is wrong. which I know that you're not saying that but I'm just saying people that think that Trump is doing what he did for years ago I ain't looking at it right.
It was but there is nuance to it. Obama had reasons why he separated children, but the Obama administration reunited those children back with their families. Republicans were just taking children away just because. Republicans are very good at messaging and Demcrats are not. No one hangs around for the nuance.
Don’t have a daughter, but figured you would appreciate it the next time your wife needs an abortion from raw dogging the guy working at Goodwill.
Not over but the state of the race would have been relying possibly on Pennsyltucky. Penn will be close but Biden can still lose it and win WI/MI Nebraska 1 EC and get to 270. We’ll just have to wait and see what the hell happens I guess.
