I'd thought we'd get a 5-8 spot, which are always very close to each other in the west. Unfortunately, injuries and our poorer than expected defense really derailed our season. But injuries happen to every team, so I guess I expected too much. I don't think the EPSN analysts need to eat any crow. Many of them predicted the 9th seed which is exactly where we are.
Those polls should be made public, so there can't be any doubt. It seems I voted for the 40-44 wins option allthough I had no recollection of ever being in that thread. I have to say that being wrong this year is not nowhere as embarrassing as BrooksBall's thread before the 22 win streak.
I predicted the Rockets would do well to win 30 games this year -- IIRC I voted for the 20-30 category. Because of Scola, Brooks and Budinger, they got 10 more wins than I ever thought possible.
In the over/under thread, I claimed the following: 1. The Rockets will win [over/under] 37.5 games this season. OVER 2. Tracy McGrady will play [over/under] 32.5 games this season for the Rockets. UNDER 3. Luis Scola's rebounding average will be [over/under] 9.5 this season. OVER 4. Excluding McGrady, the Rockets will have [over/under] 0.5 players score 17.5 points a game or more this season. OVER 5. The Rockets will rank [over/under] 8.5 overall in the league in defensive FG% (last year they were 5th). OVER 6. The number of games Trevor Ariza starts will be [over/under] the number of games Shane Battier starts this season for the Rockets. OVER 7. Trevor Ariza will shoot [over/under] 32.5% from three-point territory this season. UNDER 8. The Rockets as a team will shoot [over/under] 45.3% from the field this season (they shot 45.3% last year). UNDER 9. Chase Budinger will play [over/under] 11.5 minutes a game this season. OVER 10. Daryl Morey will make [over/under] 1.5 trades before the February trading deadline. OVER I nailed the following from above: 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 8, 9, 10 (though I'm not sure if the DA trade counted for this) I missed the following from above: 3 (he started picking up steam after the Landry trade, but didn't quite make it), 7 (barely missed this one, like anyone else) I also predicted that we'd finish the season with 42-48 wins, and we're actually finishing with 42 or 43. I think I pretty much nailed that one. It was based on our injury situation (including McGrady's health). Had we not lost Lowry for those 15 games, I honestly think we would have hit closer to the 48 win mark. Now, I also thought we'd be fighting for the 8th spot until about the last week of the season, likely losing out. I missed that one by a few weeks. But I don't claim to know other teams as well as I feel I know my own. I'll eat a little crow for that one. So overall, I think I did pretty well in my predictions. *beams*
I said 45 at the beginning of the season. Yeah 44, great, no playoffs. Thats Rockets luck for you. They get an over .500 season and don,t make the playoffs.
I was positive this was a 50 loss team. Hell, I thought they might lose 55. Adelman and Morey should win some kind of award for what they were able to pull off this year!
Definitely agree. I've been busy eating crow, but I think I may have voted for 40-44 wins, which would mean I got it in the ballpark. Of course, I was optimistic that we would make the playoffs with that total (it's an affliction I have... I never count the Rockets out until until the bitter end).
Once I heard that Yao would be out for the season, I thought at first that we would barely miss the playoffs. After our hot start, I changed my thoughts, thinking we would be the 6-8 seed (which we were at the time). After we came back to earth, my original prediction turned out to be right on.
Problem is they finished in the worst possible position. 9th seed no playoffs and no top lotto pick. This season was completely pointless other than the Martin trade which set us up for the future quite nicely. If only we could do that trade and add an Evan Turner..... Oh well, should be a hell of an interesting offseason.
i had em at 48, still believe that lowry and ariza injury cost us those extra 6 games but wow 50 to get into the playoffs i dont think ive ever seen that
Then I didn't vote in this poll. I'm sure I made some predictions about wins, though, and must have been off. However, as best I can read the numbers, on Clutch's "over/under" thread, I was only off on the team's shooting percentage and Scola's rebounding numbers. Heck, I'm still eating crow, because I figure I got the win total wrong in one thread or another.
I don't understand whats so lulz-worthy. In general they were as a group almost spot on. Average of 4th in the division and 10th in the conference. We finished 4th in the division and one game ahead of 10th in the conference.
No need for me to eat crow; my predictions were very close. Early in the season, I was at between 30-40 wins. I predicted no playoffs. Right again. Now I am going to predict that the Rockets get a lottery draw higher than fourteen. I say they will draw within the top eight. That is, if they do it like they used to; the lower ranking teams get more balls so when they draw they have a better chance of getting a high draft position. Remember the Rockets weren't supposed to draw number one when they got Yao, but they did. I have a good feeling about the Rocket's draft position. Now, if they don't do another Gay/Battier switcharoo, we might get something.
I am pretty certain will either be 14, or top 3. I think if they are not in the top three they are locked into 14. DD
Then it isn't based on probabilities? What are the rules of the draw? Top three or fourteen is kind of like all or not too much.
There is a lottery for top three picks among lottery teams and the worse a team is, the higher their chances at the top three picks. The teams not selected in lottery fill out spots 4-14 due to record. Rockets are best of lottery teams so they either win a top 3 pick or are 14 if there are not trades. Rockets percentage of winning are 0.5% for top pick, 0.6 for second, 0.7 for third.
