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Don't ever scream for Sage Rosenfels to start again.

Discussion in 'Houston Texans' started by msn, Oct 5, 2008.

  1. pgabriel

    pgabriel Educated Negro

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    folks, this is an example of when you know you've lost an argument, by his own standards (fumbling away chances, he lost his own argument). so he's not 4-2 including jax, he's 3-2. not including that game, in 5 games he threw 8 tds and lost 6 ints and lost 2 fumbles to the titans defense.
     
  2. msn

    msn Member

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    Here are Sage Rosenfumble's numbers v. Indy:

    21-for-33 for 246 yards passing.
    That's 63% completion (average) and 7.4 YPA (average).

    1 passing TD. 1 interception. 16 rushing yards.

    3 fumbles, 3 lost.

    FOUR TURNOVERS.

    Don't even b**** about Schaub's INT then cry for Rosenfumble to start. His career INT (I'm relying on someone else's post here) numbers are higher than Shaub's. And, well, we should all know about the fumble issue by now.

    Dude is a turnover machine. Schaub isn't much better about, I will agree. But at least he doesn't play helicopter. At least he doesn't do things your junior high kid learned not to do.
     
  3. pgabriel

    pgabriel Educated Negro

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    dude you're hanging on one game, lets compare schaub's titans game to sage's indy's game.

    matt schaub isn't better tds to turnovers if you want to take into account everything last season. just go look the stats up yourself. i'm not going to look it up season by season, that's what you have to do to get the fumbles.
     
  4. msn

    msn Member

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    Way to leave out the rest of the post. Context is a great way to manipulate statements; you've learned well from the politicians.
     
  5. pgabriel

    pgabriel Educated Negro

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    how did i manipulate your statement, you said sage fumbled away his starts, you were wrong. and you're the one who wants to leave out one of his wins, and you're still wrong

    so you went to the childish fumble expressions

    game set match
     
  6. pgabriel

    pgabriel Educated Negro

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    hell, guy can't get on the field because of bobby's irrational support of "franchise" qbs, i'd be trying to hellicopter my arse into a starter's position too, since he's judged by these irrational standards
     
  7. MadMax

    MadMax Member

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    posting like this means TJ wins again. ;)

    here's my secret. don't watch the games. seriously. i had a fantastic day yesterday. i went to discovery green with my family in the morning...amazing place. then hopped the metrorail down to hermann park and the zoo. got home about 3...saw the very last play of the game. texans won...everyone's happy!!!
     
  8. msn

    msn Member

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    I'm holding onto one game? Why aren't you then comparing Schaub's Jacksonville game to Rosenfumble's Indy game?

    2007:
    Schaub: 9 TD, 9 INT
    Rosenfumble: 15 TD, 12 INT

    2008:
    Schaub: 5 TD, 7 INT
    Rosenfumble: 1 TD, 1 INT

    Career:
    Shaub: 20 TD, 22 INT
    Rosenfumble: 25 TD, 20 INT

    At least from the TD:INT standpoint, the numbers don't support Schaub at all. Someone did post that last week, and I relied on it. My bad.

    Now, let's have a look at the rest of the story.
    Percentage of TD and INT per attempt:
    <table><tr><td><b>year</b></td><td><b>Schaub</b></td><td><b>Rosenfumble</b></td></tr><tr><td>2007</td><td>3.1% TD, 3.1% INT</td><td>6.3% TD, 5.0% INT</td></tr><tr><td>2008</td><td>3.3% TD, 4.6% INT</td><td>3.0% TD, 3.0% INT</td></tr><tr><td>career</td><td>3.3% TD, 3.3% INT</td><td>5.9% TD, 4.8% INT</td></tr></table>
    So, Sage throws both TD and INT for a higher percentage of attempts than Schaub. The good is immediately outweighed by the bad.

    Career yards per attempt: Schaub 7.23, Rosenfumble 7.06
    2007 yards per attempt: Schaub 7.75, Rosenfumble 7.02
    2008 yards per attempt: Schaub 7.08, Rosenfumble 11.71 (in one game, against a bad, bad defense)

    Gabriel, the numbers, at least the ones I care to dig for for now, aren't nearly as in favor of Schaub as I thought they'd be. I didn't expect a landslide, mind you--because I don't think Schaub is that great at all. But you are right that some (not all) of Sage's numbers are better.

    Are they better enough to make him a starter? You and I disagree. If Schaub were as stupid as Sage Rosenfels, I'd be arguing for Sage to start. But, he's not. Few NFL quarterbacks are.

    The Texans aren't the only franchise to carry Sage Rosenfumble on their roster and not be moved to start him. I guess they're all wrong.

    So you're with Rosenfumble in putting your career goals ahead of the team winning? Gotcha. Now I understand your argument a little better. You just want good old Sage to get a fair shake. To hell with things like winning games. (I realize that's not fair--it's just that that play is inexcusable, and if his motivation really was to try and win a starting gig, then he gave them away for selfish reasons. I'd never go to war for a guy like that. I hope that's not what he was thinking. I hope he's just stupid.)
     
  9. pgabriel

    pgabriel Educated Negro

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    how much better do they have to be

    talk about taking stuff out of context, HE HAS WON. i was just being sarcastic
     
  10. msn

    msn Member

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    A hell of a lot better than marginal, that's for sure. And, I'm not qualified to really compare QB's. I don't even know the best metrics. Rosenfumble is better on TD:INT ratio. Schaub is better in yards per attempt. There are other metrics, but I have neither the time nor the expertise to delve into them.

    My gut feeling is that Schaub is the better QB, but not by much. Take that for what it's worth (less than a plug nickel). I understand that your gut tells you Sage is better. We disagree.

    Honestly--and this is an invitation to smarter football minds than me, pretty please--I'd like to see a side-by-side comparison of the two that doesn't involve "he fumbled the damn game away" or "he's never been given a fair chance".

    I completely missed the sarcasm. Mea culpa.
     
  11. Hey Now!

    Hey Now! Member
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    msn, rosenfels has no upside; that's the difference. he is what he is - a career back-up on his 3rd or 4th team. he has incredible value in that capacity but he's not a starting NFL QB.

    schaub has the higher upside; he might have the same downside, but he hasn't hit his ceiling yet. if he can iron out mistakes - a component of his inexperience, not to mention lost time due to injuries - he'll ultimately be a better QB.
     
  12. pgabriel

    pgabriel Educated Negro

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    if you look at what they did as backups, the only logical reason to say schaub has more upside is age.
     
  13. Hey Now!

    Hey Now! Member
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    as back-ups? why would i evaluate their performance as back-ups?

    rosenfels was a 4th round pick who failed to make a team that featured tony banks, jeff george and kent graham. after sitting out a year, unwanted, he spent the next 4 years with the dolphins and couldn't beat out the likes of jay fielder, brian griese, aj feely, gus frerotte... i mean, he was never even second string.

    he is what is; if he had more to offer, someone, at some point, would have seen it. schaub has a greater upside, higher ceiling. he may end up being no better than sage rosenfels when all is said and done, but the team is better off discovering that for themselves.
     
  14. pgabriel

    pgabriel Educated Negro

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    because i've already proven he's a better starter on this team, sage only started four games in two seasons for miami. so I don't know if he was given a fair shot their also. in a good sample size of games here, he's slightly outperformed schaub.


    again, i don't know why he wasn't given a shot in miami, his second start was pretty bad, miserable, but the rest of that season he posted pretty decent stats. and he's improved here, so what happened in miami is neither here nor there.




    he is what he is, a backup who's outperformed both starters in front of him in his tenure as a texan. the time for discovering themselves is over.
     
    #214 pgabriel, Oct 13, 2008
    Last edited: Oct 13, 2008
  15. pgabriel

    pgabriel Educated Negro

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    sage threw exactly 109 passes his first five years in the league, what he's done here is prevelant, where he's trippled that number in less that 2 1/2 seasons.
     
  16. Hey Now!

    Hey Now! Member
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    no you really haven't - again, it's about upside. in 6 starts with the texans, rosenfels has posted a 100+ qb rating once. schaub's done it 5 times in 15 starts. give sage 15 starts, and he's at 2.5.

    sage's ceiling is average. schaub has, in a 1/3 of his starts, shattered "average." as a football team, you're far better off gambling schaub can consistently wind up on the plus side of average (and well beyond) because it ultimately makes you a better football team.

    6 starts in 3 years is not a good sample size; it's the foundation of most "our back-up is better!!" arguments.

    if you handed sage 15 starts, his limitations would start to rear their ugly head and he would run into his ceiling, which is considerably lower than schaub's.

    he threw 109 passes in 13 games; that's roughly 8 a game, likely primarily in mop-up duty.

    again, if he had anything to offer, someone would have seen it - he didn't even make a bad team with bad QBs as a rookie....

    we'll agree to disagree; i don't think he's outperformed schaub. you could argue he's been marginally more consistent - but, again, in a much smaller sample size (273 attempts to 441).

    that's part of schaub's growing pains, though - and you live with those because, again, his ceiling is much higher.

    rosenfels' five best starts with the texans: 116.6, 85.6, 83.6, 79.2, 78.
    schaub's five best starts with the texans: 119.5, 119.2, 112.3, 101.8, 101.5.
     
  17. pgabriel

    pgabriel Educated Negro

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    I can play this silly game too

    sage's lowest texan start passer ratings, 63,78,79
    schaub's, 27,31,60
    so schaub's lowside is way lower than than sage's, no wonder sage has a better winning pct, advantage sage

    gambling

    is going with schaub, when you consider ceilings and floors, see above


    there is no foundation, other than here, that's the point

    again by your logic taking individual games with the texans, one guy has waaaaaay lower floor


    but he's outperformed carr and schaub, so looking back at the past means nothing, only when its convenient


    and lets not forget wins, which schaub's wild swings expalins, thanks for breaking down the ratings game by game
     
    #217 pgabriel, Oct 13, 2008
    Last edited: Oct 13, 2008
  18. Nick

    Nick Member

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    "I've been a backup long enough... I play pretty good when I start, I've won some big games, and I deserve a chance to start in this league once and for all..."

    Signed,
    Jeff Hostetler
    Frank Reich
    Cody Carlson
    Todd Collins
    Scott Mitchell
    Ty Detmer
    Gus Frerotte
    Don Strock
    Kelly Holcomb
    Steve Buerline
    Charlie Batch
    And countless others... not named Steve Young, Tom Brady, or Kurt Warner

    Rooting and comparing the backup QB to the starter is just about as old as the game itself. And in this case, Sage's performance doesn't necessarily deserve the hype that some of the above QB's generated before they ultimately failed as a starter (Hostetler won a Super Bowl for christ's sake...).

    Yes, the Texans gave up way too much for Schaub... but when given a chance to play, I don't really see how he deserves to "lose" the job. And, in many areas, he's ultimately out-performed his backup.

    Sage has been just fine in his role... and I don't think we need to change it, given Schaub's so-far spotty injury history.
     
  19. pgabriel

    pgabriel Educated Negro

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    this argument is especially ridiculous considering schaub's chance to start

    IS BASED ON TIME AS A BACKUP
     
  20. Nick

    Nick Member

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    Significantly less time as a 'backup' than all the above... as he was being developed/groomed to start one day somewhere, as you're not declared a career "backup" at age 25 (he was actually perfect trade-bait, much like the Texans did with Drew Henson, except the Falcons got a much sweeter deal even when losing Vick).

    Most of the above either were journey-men (like Sage), or played behind a future HOF (meaning they were there specifically to be a BACKUP QB... not to provide competition to the starter, or to one day be developed into a starter).

    The bottom line is that those were guys who came in as the backup and looked amazing... some at an advanced age... some in the most pressure-packed and highest stage of situations. Teams either forked over a ransom, or the existing teams decided that was enough and named them the starter. More often than not, the backup shows his true colors eventually.
     
    #220 Nick, Oct 13, 2008
    Last edited: Oct 13, 2008

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