Donald Trump’s Strongest Supporters: A Certain Kind of Democrat

So, 20% is a large percentage of Democrats who might be crossing over, but 14% is a "small number" of Republicans who might do so.

Statistical analysis fail.

 

No, most of us will continue to refer to them as "the fiction."

 

Will it be enough?

http://bigstory.ap.org/article/c300...oll-trump-seen-favorably-11-percent-hispanics

http://www.wsj.com/articles/SB10001424052748704641604576255090213781616

Trump is the last hoorah of a dying dream. That he may single-handily accelerate the progress of turning purple states to blue ones might be his greatest legacy.

Lock up California, the Northwest, Illinois, Massachusetts, Connecticut, NJ, Maryland, DC, Vermont, Maine and New York, Delaware, Hawaii, and DC in the D column (all states that Obama carried with more than a 10% margin of victory). Nevada, Colorado, and New Mexico will only get bluer with the surge in the Latino population.

You're already at 206 electoral votes.

Now throw in the probable D states of Michigan, Minny, and PA and you're at 262 votes.

A Republican candidate would have to win all of the major battleground states: Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina, and Florida. And they would have to make sure not to lose Iowa and NH in combination! Needless to point out that 5 out of 6 states voted Democrat the last time around, and now there are even more D-leaning Latinos in all of those states, especially Florida.

And now, if states like Georgia and Arizona come into play...

The Republican Party has created an impossible electoral map for themselves. And from that, it follows that the executive and judicial branches of the United States will most likely come to be controlled by Democrats for the decades to come. Justice Scalia is 78. So is Justice Kennedy. And Ginsburg and Breyer may just be replaced by 50 year olds justices like Justices Kagan and Sotomayor--not only will the SC be more representative of America but it will ultimately be more progressive for decades to come.

All this so that a few people can gloat over dead ideas and vapid policy prosposals.

Demographics is destiny. And the Republican Party has chosen to spit at destiny. To their detriment (and possible demise).

 

http://www.gallup.com/opinion/polli...-popular-candidate-among-asian-americans.aspx



Donald Trump has taken ascendant demographic groups with conservative family views and upper-class/upper-middle class economic interests and turned them into staunch progressives united by dislike of irrational demagogues. It's a tour de force and a gift to liberal and socialist movements they never could have dreamed of in their wildest dreams.

Again, demography is destiny, and America will be a majority-minority nation by 2043 according to the census--perhaps earlier. With that will come the inevitable rise of new people in power and money, and thanks to the formative experiences of the last few decades of nativist chaos in the Republican party, I wonder if they'll think to salvage what will remain of the GOP?

 

Leading Republican candidates in an attention-grabbing Republican primary fight while the Democrats lay low and quiet?

You mean, you took a look at the long-term trends and want to talk about polls not done on a state-wide or electoral vote basis, basically a year ahead of one election? Polls that take nation-wide samples because funding hasn't kicked in to track electoral votes because it's too early in the season?

As for the legislative wing, Obama's terms show that executive power, wielded properly, can advance the agenda even without majorities in both houses. And the logic I've spelled out will apply to the legislative as much as it will the executive wing eventually, starting now. You know the Ds do better in election years than midterm years.

Face it: you can't refute my logic. A Satanist could run for D president, and with the amount of electoral votes locked up and the antipathy nativists like Trump generate among ascendant minority voters, the electoral map would be impossible for Rs to crack anyways--for this year, and if not for this year, for the decades to come.

And with the electoral map goes control of the Supreme Court. A Supreme Court that can slap down govenors, state officials, senators and Congressmen alike willy nilly in the face of long-term progress.

Would you like to join me in thanking Donald Trump for bequeathing America to a majority-minority socialist future?

Or is he going to build that wall fast enough?

 

Oh yeah? What Northern states fall into the R column with your "shift in Southern Democrats" that outbalances demographic growth in minority groups and with what polling are you making these conclusions?

You really think that minority groups will be "open-minded and flexible" about a party that celebrates Trump? There's a sure-fire way to attract immigrants: banning groups of immigrants! Latinos voted 2-for-1 for Democrats last election, but of course, Trump will turn that around by walling them away from the voting booths.

 

Your (and the author you quoted) ability to understand statistics is so shallow that most people would think that there's no water there whatsoever.

Look at the poll's margin of error and then at the two numbers I pointed out. I can give you a more comprehensive explanation, but only if you display to requisite intellectual curiosity first.

 

Yes, the one position which can easily block the proposals from the crazies in Congress and nominate SCOTUS judges to help assure that the crazies like Scalia don't control that body, either.

And yet, with all of this working against her, she will handily beat anyone the GOP has trotted out this year.

Go back to unskewing your polls, your delusion has reached critical mass, along with the collective delusion of the GOP.

 

The race hasn't even started yet. And you really think all of this was worth reminding minority groups who are going to be the majority just how much the GOP "loves" immigrants?

Yeah, that's called a Pyrrhic victory, at best, and the war hasn't even started yet for just this one election--yet one side is already going to be bleeding from a number of cuts that will take decades to heal.

So much for the cuddly "rebrand". Minority groups know what the GOP is buttering: Trump has showed them. I doubt those same groups, the ones that will be responsible for most of the demographic growth in America, will easily forget the rancid smell of nativist irrationality targeted right at them.

Trump can have the Southern Democrats, he's lost the rest of the nation for the GOP. Kudos!

 

You realize that Bill Clinton's favorability ratings remain incredibly high, right?

http://www.pollingreport.com/clinton1.htm



Bill Clinton: Favorability Ratings

Bloomberg Politics Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. Nov. 15-17, 2015. N=1,002 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1.

"I'm going to mention some people and groups in the news recently. For each, please tell me if your feelings are very favorable, mostly favorable, mostly unfavorable, or very unfavorable. If you don't know enough to answer, just say so. Bill Clinton, former president of the United States."

Favorable Unfavorable Unsure

11/15-17/15 60 34 5
4/6-8/15 60 32 8

 

...except among the 60% of Americans who have favorable impressions of him.

...who would already be voting against Hillary...

...and also of the fact that the political party which consistently works towards passing legislation limiting women's rights is the GOP...

...an advocacy she has actively pursued throughout her three decade long political career...

And who, still to this day, despite impeachment hearings, accusations of sexual misconduct, and various other accusations, enjoys higher favorability ratings than any of the GOP presidential candidates.

No, not good at all for the GOP. They actually think that people dislike Bill Clinton after his successful presidency.

Go ahead, continue attacking the most successful recent president just like you did while he was in office. It blew up in your face once, but keep doing the same thing over and over again while expecting different results, such actions paint you accurately.

 

There is really no points to be gained that haven't already been conceded on "women's' issues. The GOP has never shown any consideration for women's views on women's issues. If you are talking about just the point of being the first woman President, I think that is a milestone many women would like to see.

Get out of the echo chamber and out in reality.