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Division Elimination Thread

Discussion in 'Houston Astros' started by Marshall Bryant, Aug 30, 2022.

  1. Marshall Bryant

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    9/6/22

    27 games to play
    OAK - 37 Games behind - Eliminated from ALW
    LAA - 28 Games behind - Eliminated from ALW
    TEX - 28 1/2 Games behind - Eliminated from ALW
    SEA - 11 Games behind
     
  2. Buck Turgidson

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  3. Marshall Bryant

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    9/8/22 7AM

    25 games to play
    OAK - 38 Games behind - Eliminated from ALW
    LAA - 28 Games behind - Eliminated from ALW
    TEX - 28 1/2 Games behind - Eliminated from ALW
    SEA - 11 Games behind - Houston hold the tie breaker.
    __Real e# is 14; most e# lists do not incorporate tie breakers.
     
  4. desihooper

    desihooper Contributing Member
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    19, by my count as of this evening, for the number one seed with 25 games left.

    Yankees 83 - 55 (24 games left, maxes out at 107 wins).

    Astros 88-49 so a combination of 19 Astros wins/Yankees losses should clinch it.
     
  5. Marshall Bryant

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    The 6 games we have left with TBR might clinch the 2 seed for NYY. What a conundrum.
     
  6. Qan

    Qan Member

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    With the way Astros currently hitting...facing Ray's pitching? Yah, Yankees aren't clinching 2 seed just yet.
     
  7. marks0223

    marks0223 2017 and 2022 World Series Champions
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  8. marks0223

    marks0223 2017 and 2022 World Series Champions
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    Well that would be unfortunate because due to MLB's dumb playoff formatting the Rays may be the Astros most likely first round match up.
     
    desihooper likes this.
  9. Marshall Bryant

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    9/13/22 7AM

    21 games to play
    OAK - 40 Games behind - Eliminated from ALW
    LAA - 30 Games behind - Eliminated from ALW
    TEX - 30 Games behind - Eliminated from ALW
    SEA - 11 1/2 Games behind - Houston hold the tie breaker.
    __Real E# is 9; most e# lists do not incorporate tie breakers.

    AL Homefield
    NYY - 6 Games behind - Houston holds the Tie Breaker - E# 14

    Tie breaker calculation - Houston Losses plus remaining games = x. (50 + 21 = 71)
    x - Opponent Losses = Tie and typical E#. Houston Tie breaker advantage subtract 1. (SEA 71-61-1 = 9)
     
    #29 Marshall Bryant, Sep 13, 2022
    Last edited: Sep 13, 2022
  10. Marshall Bryant

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    9/14/22 8AM

    20 games to play
    OAK - 44 Games behind - Eliminated from ALW
    LAA - 31 Games behind - Eliminated from ALW
    TEX - 30 Games behind - Eliminated from ALW
    SEA - 12 1/2 Games behind - Houston hold the tie breaker.
    __Real E# is 8; most e# lists do not incorporate tie breakers.

    AL Homefield
    NYY - 6 Games behind - Houston holds the Tie Breaker - E# 13

    Tie breaker calculation - Houston Losses plus remaining games = x. (50 + 20 = 70)
    x - Opponent Losses = Tie and typical E# +1. Houston Tie breaker advantage. (Do not +1. SEA 70-62 = 8)

    Ignore the wins. They are irrelevant.
     
    #30 Marshall Bryant, Sep 14, 2022
    Last edited: Sep 14, 2022
    Stephen66 likes this.
  11. bobrek

    bobrek Politics belong in the D & D

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    Wins are irrelevant? Every time a team wins, they don't lose.
     
    The Beard likes this.
  12. Marshall Bryant

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    9/15/22 7AM

    19 games to play
    OAK - 41 Games behind - Eliminated from ALW
    LAA - 32 Games behind - Eliminated from ALW
    TEX - 31 Games behind - Eliminated from ALW
    SEA - 12 1/2 Games behind - Houston hold the tie breaker.
    _____Real E# is 7; most e# lists do not incorporate tie breakers.

    AL Homefield
    NYY - 6 Games behind - Houston holds the Tie Breaker - E# 13

    Tie breaker calculation - Houston Losses plus remaining games = x. (50 + 19 = 69)
    x - Opponent Losses = Tie and typical E# +1. Houston Tie breaker advantage. (Do not +1. SEA 69-62 = 7)

    A Houston win and Baltimore loss will clinch a playoff spot.
     
  13. Marshall Bryant

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    The ONLY relevance is one less game to play that they could potentially lose.
     
  14. bobrek

    bobrek Politics belong in the D & D

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    The easiest way to calculate the division magic number is:

    Houston's worst record - 93-69
    Seattle's best record - 100-62

    Since Houston holds the tie break, it's 7.
     
  15. Marshall Bryant

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    I thought that's what I did.
     
  16. Joe Joe

    Joe Joe Go Stros!
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    Not sure if this is the best place for it....

    Capture.PNG

    I gotta say I'm a little impressed that the Mariners have been able to play like the Astros for 3 months. It isn't good enough for a division title or even a pseudo World Series, but bless their hearts that they are trying so hard.
     
  17. Marshall Bryant

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    9/16/22 7AM

    18 games to play
    OAK - 42 Games behind - Eliminated from ALW
    LAA - 32 Games behind - Eliminated from ALW
    TEX - 31 1/2 Games behind - Eliminated from ALW
    SEA - 13 Games behind - Houston hold the tie breaker.
    _____Real E# is 6; most e# lists do not incorporate tie breakers.

    AL Homefield
    NYY - 6 1/2 Games behind - Houston holds the Tie Breaker - E# 12

    Tie breaker calculation - Houston Losses plus remaining games = x. (50 + 18 = 68)
    x - Opponent Losses = Tie and typical E# +1. Houston Tie breaker advantage. (Do not +1. SEA 68-62 = 6)

    A Houston win and Baltimore loss will clinch a playoff spot. Baltimore holds the Tie Breaker 2-1. E# 2
     
  18. Marshall Bryant

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    9/17/22 2AM

    17 games to play
    OAK - 43 Games behind - Eliminated from ALW
    LAA - 32 1/2 Games behind - Eliminated from ALW
    TEX - 31 1/2 Games behind - Eliminated from ALW
    SEA - 14 Games behind - Houston hold the tie breaker.
    _____Real E# is 4; most e# lists do not incorporate tie breakers.

    AL Homefield
    NYY - 7 1/2 Games behind - Houston holds the Tie Breaker - E# 10

    Tie breaker calculation - Houston Losses plus remaining games = x. (50 + 17 = 67)
    x - Opponent Losses = Tie and typical E# +1. Houston Tie breaker advantage. (Do not +1. SEA 67-63 = 4)

    Houston clinched a playoff spot.

    Houston clinches a bye with a win or a CLE loss.
     
  19. bobrek

    bobrek Politics belong in the D & D

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    Your last sentence is wrong. Houston will clinch a better record than Cleveland, but Seattle could still win the division.
     
    Marshall Bryant likes this.
  20. Marshall Bryant

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    You are correct. I am getting ahead of myself there.
     

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