Iran is years away from having a nuke. They've enriched Uranium to what, 20-25%? They need something like 90% to make a weapon, I believe?
Yea that takes a long ass time. I was thinking the other day, there is going to be a point where everybody will have their hands on this technology. Its already way too old. How long are we going to be able to stop them?
People don't take into account how the decline in wealth of these middle eastern countries because of the shell oil boom.
"Before they have the weapon-grade uranium for a bomb, sites can be enriched for a bomb. If you do it in time you can stop Iran from succeeding. Iran may be trying to develop the capability where it could break out and produce enough weapon-grade uranium for a bomb before they are detected and that's one of the clocks ticking in this negotiation. Our assessment is they can reach that point as soon as mid-2014." Source: http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/world/july-dec13/albright_11-09.html This was the most unbiased source I could find. Mid-2014 is not far off. I've also seen estimates that have said Iran could produce a nuke within a month. Of course, this is all speculation, but the fact that many experts say Iran is getting close does hold some significance.
http://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2013/11/one-more-thing-the-obama-administration-isnt-telling-you-about-the-iran-deal.php
Originally Posted by mlaitkep View Post This deal is not good news; it's a smokescreen. Mark my words, within 90 days Iran will test a nuclear device. More likely Israel will turn Iran into a sea of fire before that happens. Why not mark your words for 30 days?
If Iran test a nuke in 90 days sanctions will come down again much harder than they were before. It makes no sense they would agree to this deal if they were planning on testing a nuke in 90 days. It would be more logical to wait to test the nuke and then negotiate from a position of greater strength. Anyway Iran knows that Israel will turn Iran into a sea of fire. While they might have the technical capability to make a nuke they are still a long ways at a military disadvantage, when it comes to WMD capability and projection of power, to Israel.
If this were the case, Iran would have zero incentive to agree to this deal. Once Iran has nukes, it changes the entire calculus and puts them in a stronger negotiating position with the world (which is the whole reason they would be trying to acquire nukes) - agreeing to a deal just months before that would be a silly decision.
What are the chances? http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs...uhani-now-has-his-own-yes-we-can-music-video/
