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David Cameron: Britain's EU Referendum to be held June 23

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by MojoMan, Feb 20, 2016.

  1. Dei

    Dei Member

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    The Conservatives? That's true. But that's no surprise. Half of them didn't even want to leave.

    Farage is not in government for him to be making concrete plans. But at least he's saying how the negotiating strategy should be.
     
  2. MojoMan

    MojoMan Member

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    For those wanting a timetable for Brexit:

    David Davies: Brexit by December 2018

    The newly appointed “Brexit Secretary” David Davies predicts the U.K.’s will trigger Article 50 by December and will depart by December 2018.

    The man responsible for overseeing the negotiations was once a rival of David Cameron for the leadership of the Conservative Party. He current title is the “Secretary of State for Exiting the European Union” and was a prominent figure in the Leave campaign. In the early 1990s, he served as Europe Minister under John Major.

    Writing on a popular Conservative Home outlet, he noted that while serious negotiation needs to take place, he does not see triggering Article 50 going beyond the beginning of 2017. In his estimate, the formalization of the process will take place before the end of the year, triggering the two year period envisaged by the Treaty of Lisbon.

    The main obstacle to the negotiation will be the combination of full-access to EU’s single market, which Britain wants, and the end to free movement of EU citizens to the U.K, which many member states oppose.​
     
  3. MojoMan

    MojoMan Member

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    It appears the Brits will build a wall at Calais in order to keep the migrants from swarming into the country. This will be a rush job, as the migrants there are throwing moltov cocktails and inciting violence and civil unrest.

    The Donald will be green with envy when he hears, as he will never see any such wall here, even if he wins in November.
     
  4. MojoMan

    MojoMan Member

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    Our petulant child, narcissistic ass-clown of a president is at it again. This time he has snubbed new British Prime Minister Theresa May by refusing to call her in a timely manner to offer her congratulations on her new appointment as the PM replacing David Cameron.

    Of course Obama is still butthurt about the Brexit vote to leave the EU socialist collective, which considering his ideological loyalties, is understandable. But surely he can at least call and try to pretend that he is a mature adult and a gracious world leader, right? Unless he is actually none of those things, which he apparently isn't.
     
  5. geeimsobored

    geeimsobored Contributing Member

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    Oh calm down. He called her. You're just looking for fake reasons to whine about Obama.

    http://www.wsj.com/articles/obama-calls-theresa-may-stresses-commitment-to-u-k-ties-1468515877
     
  6. dmoneybangbang

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    I am curious what will/would happen when Trump catches the car.
     
  7. MojoMan

    MojoMan Member

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    When Trump catches what car? The Brexit car? What are you jibbering on about? I think you may be in the wrong thread.
     
  8. geeimsobored

    geeimsobored Contributing Member

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    Well the courts in the UK just slammed the brakes (at least temporarily). A court has ruled that parliament must vote on Brexit which means it'll take much longer for Article 50 to be invoked and there will be deal making in parliament on how brexit will look. If this ruling stands, I don't see how "hard brexit" happens. Hell if parliament can't work together, I'm not even sure it can pass. Regardless, the remain camp now has a say in brexit negotiations since the PM doesn't get to unilaterally do this anymore.

    Also that idiot Corbyn will finally have to make it clear which side he's on. Can't keep playing both sides of the fence.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-eu-article-idUSKBN12Y12P
     
  9. MojoMan

    MojoMan Member

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    We need to keep in mind, it is not actually Brexit that was on trial here, just whether Parliament had to vote on triggering Article 50 or not. Anything other than Article 50 the Parliament was going to have to vote on anyway.

    So if the Supreme Court does not overturn this, the Parliament will have a vote on Article 50. Since the referendum, MP's across the spectrum have come out and publicly stated that the people have spoken and that this needs to be respected. I could be mistaken, but I currently suspect the proposal to give the PM authority to trigger Article 50 will be supported by MP's across the political range, and not just Tories. Of course we shall see.

    But we have to keep in mind that it will not be the question of Brexit that they will be actually voting on, although some MP's who are particularly opposed may decide to treat it that way.
     
  10. MojoMan

    MojoMan Member

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    The left leaning UK Guardian explains what happens next in their view. They do consider the Brexit decision to be final however, although the path to implementing it has clearly gotten more complicated.

    Also, while the Tories put together a plan to get this resolved and finalized, many of the potential opponents of this vote will be putting themselves in political peril, especially in Labor districts, where 70% of those districts voted in favor of Leave.

     
    #650 MojoMan, Nov 3, 2016
    Last edited: Nov 3, 2016
  11. geeimsobored

    geeimsobored Contributing Member

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    You're assuming the Tories can hold together and agree on a straightforward exit. That's simply not a given. The Tories have all kinds of schisms just like Labour. There will be a brexit for sure but there will have to be concessions now. Theresa May can't do whatever she wants now and she'll have to give voice to parliament (including the opposition).

    Also the ideal solution is a supermajority of parliament votes together on some sort of agreement. That requires bringing Labour to the table. You're also discounting the fact that we'll have to hear about brexit for months as parliament debates this. That extra noise means we'll essentially be re-adjudicating this.

    Also the House of Lords gets a vote on this too and the Tories have far less strength there. Granted Labour has said they won't vote to veto Brexit if it passes the Commons but it still adds another element to this whole mess.

    Most of the British economic forces want the single market which means making immigration concessions so we'll be back to figuring out how to make that work.
     
  12. MojoMan

    MojoMan Member

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    First of all, this will be appealed to the Supreme Court. It may be that the Supreme Court overturns this ruling, in which case the May Government can ease the seat back a couple of notches and turn the cruise control back on again.

    If the Supreme Court affirms this ruling, then I think the main question is going to be how the question for the vote is presented. I suspect they will want to present it as a simple yes or no vote on the May government having the authority to trigger Article 50 and maybe to revoke the authority of the 1972 European Communities Act on the day the British regain their independence. However, they may postpone this latter bit until they debate the conversion of all currently applicable EU laws into British laws, which Theresa May had already previously announced that Parliament would debate and pass sometime after the Queens Speech next May. If it is just basically a yes or no on approving the triggering Article 50, then this is likely to sail right through the House of Commons.

    There has been a good deal of controversy about the role of the House of Lords for some time now. If it comes down to a vote and the House of Commons votes yes, are the Lords really going to be the ones to thwart the will of the people at that point? The will of the people will have been registered through both the results of the referendum and also the vote of a directly elected House of Commons. If the Lord's have a death wish for their House, refusing to grant the authority to trigger Article 50 may well be an excellent way to get that wish granted. I don't think they will do it. If this does not get tangled up in the House of Commons, it is going to happen, probably right on schedule.

    As far as the immigration concession, what that would mean is that there was no Brexit. By all means, let's watch and see, but that does not seem very likely at this point.
     
    #652 MojoMan, Nov 3, 2016
    Last edited: Nov 3, 2016
  13. pirc1

    pirc1 Contributing Member

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    We will see how happy/unhappy the Brits are in ten years. I have a feeling down the line the Brits will be begging to rejoin EU.
     
  14. rocketsjudoka

    rocketsjudoka Contributing Member
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    What a mess. Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland should get out and join the EU separately and leave England to its own. Dublin is gearin up to take a lot of London's banking business and Glasgow would be well suited to do so also.
     
  15. REEKO_HTOWN

    REEKO_HTOWN I'm Rich Biiiiaaatch!

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    I'm banking my 2017 trip to London on it. Need that pound to hit rock bottom
     
  16. geeimsobored

    geeimsobored Contributing Member

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    Which is unfortunate for them because if they tried to join in 10 years, they would have to adopt the Euro and join the Schengen Area. Right now they have their own customs area and control over their currency.
     
  17. Dei

    Dei Member

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    Wales actually voted out like England. The talks for Scotland becoming a sovereign nation last year was based on the strong value of oil but oil prices have dropped and predictions on costs of making a new government seem too high. The only chance of NI going out would be to reunify with the Republic of Ireland but the RI's another Eurozone nation that's waiting for their own bailout. Not to mention, Scotland, Wales, and NI's biggest partner in Europe is England and they get more from having open borders with England than anything from being part of the EU.

    So sorry but sad to say your idea of a European superstate is rather unrealistic. And we haven't even talked about another major issue in the referendum: immigration. Thanks to geography, Britain has been mostly spared from migrants but the rest of Europe has not been so. The continent is a mess. The Brits only have to look over to France to see what the migrant scum have done to Paris:

     
    #657 Dei, Nov 3, 2016
    Last edited: Nov 3, 2016
  18. pippendagimp

    pippendagimp Member

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    par w/ USD is an eventual certainty
     
  19. rocketsjudoka

    rocketsjudoka Contributing Member
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    I stand corrected on Wales and they can certainly choose to remain part of the UK. You're right too that Scotland has a lot of oil that said oil prices were already sliding when Scotland voted on independence and certainly were in a major slide during Brexit. That still didn't stop them from supporting to stay in the EU because they understood that they had a better future in the EU even without oil. Further it hasn't stopped them from wanting out of the UK. For Northern Ireland you are correct to that most likely they would rejoin the Republic having spent time in Northern Ireland keeping tabs with people there it is impressive that one thing that united both Protestants and Catholics is wanting to stay int he EU. That's no small feat.
    I don't see anything in my post about a European superstate so not sure where you're getting that from. That said the benefits of the EU are very clear and that is one reason why many Brits are regretting their vote to leave. As many have pointed out the ultimate irony about Brexit is that the UK could end up having to abide by the EU rules, including on immigration, if they want to have the benefits of the market, trade and tourism benefits without having any say in how those rules are made.

    As far as immigration I won't deny it is one of the major issues with it in the EU that said I find it disturbing that you've cited African immigration when there have been reports of trouble and hostility in the UK and other EU countries towards immigrants from many other places including Poland. Also let's not forget that many of the migrants, the people you call scum, come from countries that were colonized by France and which France profitted off of exploiting them.
     
  20. MojoMan

    MojoMan Member

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    The UK government under Theresa May has stated that the ruling will not derail the current Brexit timetable and that the government believes that Article 50 will be triggered by the March 31, 2017, as indicated previously.

     

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