It is hard to give Arizona any awards given their deaths/million is among the highest in the world - especially since they have the benefit of more medical knowledge/options. AZ/NY/NJ get no awards...
Remember when you last posted about how it was crazy that the media was talking about AZ rather than NY based on a brilliant one-day data sample, and then Arizona unsurprisingly continued to explode and actually surpassed NY in cases per million, despite a 3 month headstart on preparations and knowledge and a much less dense population, while NY continued to die down, and you disappeared and pretended it never happened? These are the kinds of that happen when you retweet things that you don't understand.
Whatever the spin, it's both good news to see the decreasing positivity rates in several hotspots and also interesting to see that as part of a world-wide pattern. I'm sure behavior (and shut downs) are helping but it seems like the virus burns through regions in disturbing peaks, and now we're going to see just how badly it can come back through (e.g. what Europe is seeing in several countries right now).
There are some definite improvements in places like Arizona, and there seems to be some evidence that the virus kind of wears itself out after about 60-90 days. But in other places like Texas, it's a total mess so we have no idea what's happening here: https://www.cnbc.com/2020/08/12/acc...cline-in-testing-skews-drop-in-new-cases.html In Texas, for instance, new cases have fallen by 10% to an average of 7,381 a day from 8,203 two weeks ago, based on a seven-day moving average. Testing, however, is down by 53% over the same time frame. Meanwhile, the percentage of positive tests has doubled over the last two weeks to about 24%, according to Johns Hopkins University. That compares with a so-called positivity rate of less than 1% in New York state, which was once considered the epicenter of the outbreak in the U.S.
Wait til schools open. Just a lull. People don't seem to understand. You will have spikes and lulls, until there is a vaccine. Open schools....SPIKE. There is be another starting November....Flu Season.
One selfish bright spot of all this crap is that I'm in my office at my home..and my wife is at the kitchen table teaching kindergartners online. She put me through law school teaching early elementary age kids. I've known she was good at her job, but right now I can her hear her teaching her class, and she's awesome.
@jiggyfly Damn, I thought you were younger than that. Anyway, I have a friend who loves teaching but is starting to reconsider career choices because she's a germaphobe to begin with and then she's being put into teaching in the classroom with some disjointed/chaotic method of teaching with not much guidance. Then you have some parents b****ing about the first couple of weeks being online like the school system is their daycare center or seeming like they just want the kids out of the house so they don't have to deal with them. lol. I really feel for some of these teachers, but not really much that can be done. I'm just hoping looking back we can say "yeah, we survived and learned from it" so it won't be a big loss. I'm just hoping it doesnt get worse for them as the months go on and Fall/Winter hits. I've been thinking about my old teachers from elementary/jr high/high school through all this and the hell they must've gone through having to deal with some of us.
