mizzou plays nebraska next week. mich st plays iowa i think, i dont see orgeon getting through the pac 10 without a loss. its early and going to be one crazy ride this year. gonna be fun
and i seconded that. MSU has been lucky this year....just as lucky as LSU to be undefeated up to this point in the season. A 1 lost Bama team would jump TCU and BSU. Missouri won't go undefeated(I would even like to bet with anyone who thinks that they will) Auburn would be out of the picture. That's how Bama will get back into the BCS Championship game.
Bama is the only SEC team that I like, and I wouldn't mind them winning again. But unless it is a contest of a which 1 loss team goes, Bama has no shot.
I hate to use the common cliche "Any given..." in this case Saturday but..you just never know. Anyhow, let's take a look at the remaining schedules: Missouri: @Nebraska @Texas Tech vs Kansas State @Iowa State vs Kansas Only real threat left imo is Nebraska this week. Though again, not to say none of those other teams could pull off something - "Any given Saturday" ----- Michigan State: @Iowa vs Minnesota vs Purdue @Penn State Like Missouri, they get their only real threat imo in Iowa this week. ----- Oregon: @USC vs Washington @Cal vs Arizona @Oregon State I could very well see them running the table. On the other hand, I see 3 teams who maybe pull something off in USC, Arizona, and Oregon St. but I'm not sure I like those chances so again, I could see them running the table. ----- Boise State: vs Louisiana Tech vs Hawaii @Idaho vs Fresno State @Nevada vs Utah State They'll likely run the table again. Perhaps keep an eye Fresno State and Nevada but they should win those. With that said, we'd probably be foolish to think they get a spot in the championship game. On the other side, if there was ever a year, maybe this is it. I wont count on that though...Very well could and probably will get jumped by a 1 loss team if it comes to that. ----- TCU: @UNLV @Utah vs San Diego State @ New Mexico Only real threat left imo is Utah. Should they win that, they too will likely run the table. See Boise above as they are in just about the same boat. ----- Of course jmo. Remaining schedules listed above.
TCU definitely has to lose for Alabama to make it to the championship game (unless all other teams and its TCU vs Alabama). TCU still has a match-up against Utah, at Utah, who will be ranked between 6th and 8th when they play. TCU's opponents this year that have been ranked at some point in time: Utah BYU Air Force Oregon St Baylor (and possibly soon) San Diego St That's a tough enough schedule for them to make it to the national championship game.
Yeah, This very true TCU is already 4th in the computer polls and still plays Utah. They are already a good deal ahead of Oregon in the computers, whose only really good team left is Arizona. (Someone needs to remind me if the computers are allowed to include USC. I think not, but I need clarification.) They are also ahead of Boise. If Missouri and Michigan St. lose, they will jump even higher. TCU's only flaw is that they are stuck at No. 4 in the human polls right now and cannot move up. Like many have already said. I find it hard to believe Missouri or Michigan St. will go undefeated. I personally cannot see Auburn winning out either with their bend-but-don't-break defense and still facing (@ Ole Miss is a trap game, Georgia is playing better, Bama, and SEC Champ). At that point, of course they would need Oregon to likely lose, or hope that they win enough No. 1 votes from the Utah game and keep them that they gain enough ground to sneak into the BCS game ahead of Boise. Frankly, though the more chaos the better, and the best way I can see chaos right now is if somehow all these teams go undefeated. Of course it will never happen, but imagine 3 BCS games between undefeated teams, especially if an SEC team jumps a team ranked higher by the AP poll creating co-champs.
A few observations about what you said: I do think Auburn, Michigan St and Missouri will lose. However, I feel that TCU (and Boise) would still be ahead of Michigan St if they both went undefeated, without a championship game, and with only Iowa left for Mich St, I don't see them moving up enough. I think the Utah game AT Utah would be more than enough for TCU to move ahead of Boise. Boise also plays Hawaii that week and if they don't pull a nice result, then it'd be even better. Oregon still has some chances to lose, but I've had them as the #2 all season, and #1 once Alabama lost, and I do not see them losing like the other number 1's have. However, Arizona is tough, a rivalry game against Oregon St away is tough, and USC and at Cal are not jokes, either. A scenario that did run through my head was TCU beating Alabama by a good amount in the Sugar Bowl and Boise beating Oregon in the National Champ game by a little, creating a possible co-champ
I don't believe that. I think Alabama can jump both TCU and Boise if they run the table. TCU and Boise State's schedules are a joke. Lets see BSU or TCU play Alabama's schedule.. they'll be lucky to win 8 games.
By the way, congratulations to Mack Brown for throwing a bunch of 20 year old's under the bus, while completely absolving himself. What an asshat.
I want you to be right on this, but you're not. If Alabama runs the table, including a win over Auburn and the SEC title, there is no way on planet earth Boise State or TCU is ahead of them in the BCS. Not even a chance. Maybe not even Michigan State - it would be very close there (though I think MSU loses on Saturday).
Asshat? Haha, Mack Brown is about the furthest thing from an asshat in college football. Usually, he is so PC that it is maddening. As someone who has watched the Longhorns this season, I am THRILLED at his postgame comments. Also: Yup. Completely absolved himself.
I think the best thing for Boise or TCU is for Oregon & Missou to lose but MSU to not lose. That would let either Boise take most of the 1st place votes, with 2nd and 3rd going to TCU and MSU, forcing Alabama into 4th. That would help Boise overcome it's bad computer ratings. We see that now with Oregon - they are 1st in the polls but 8th in the computers but are holding on in the top 2 of the BCS. Boise needs a similar situation and the only way to do it so is to get and hold most of the 1st place human votes.
None of the "big boy" schools want anything to do with the likes of TCU or Boise, how can u blame them when they can fill up their schedules with fcs teams? TCU should of had a game against tech this year added to their schedule. Both teams have shown they can play with anyone in the major conferences.
Going to the TCU vs San Diego State game... they still have to play Utah which helps, but Boise doesn't have anyone good, well, by default a Nevada team... Auburn is good and I like there chances...
Nobody is blaming them. That's what most Boise/TCU fans don't seem to understand - it's not a persecution thing where people are out to get them. Yes, we get that many "big boy" schools don't want anything to do with them, because the reward doesn't justify the risk in the current system. Yes, the system is very flawed, and needs to change. But most folks (and obviously computers) prefer to rank teams based on their full body of work, and most likely, Boise/TCU won't stack up. Is it unfair? Yes, absolutely. It would also be unfair to, say, Auburn, if they go undefeated but were to sit on the sidelines for the sake of allowing Boise to "make a point" or because of a hypothetical of how you think Boise/TCU might play if they had Auburn's schedule. When you only allow two teams in, it's obvious the system is going to suck for someone, and it should be obvious by now that the top priority from decision-makers is the full body of work. Is what it is.
