1. Welcome! Please take a few seconds to create your free account to post threads, make some friends, remove a few ads while surfing and much more. ClutchFans has been bringing fans together to talk Houston Sports since 1996. Join us!

ClutchFans Game Thread: Suns @ Rockets 1/20/2021

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by Clutch, Jan 19, 2021.

  1. HP3

    HP3 Member

    Joined:
    Apr 22, 2018
    Messages:
    14,272
    Likes Received:
    17,668
    There is no star that wants to player here. There is no start that will be wanting to play here in 3 years.
     
  2. HP3

    HP3 Member

    Joined:
    Apr 22, 2018
    Messages:
    14,272
    Likes Received:
    17,668
    We should....how does a dude saying he's gonna play in a meaningless regular season game and injuring himself furthe inspire confidence, you are saying dumb **** right now.
     
  3. HP3

    HP3 Member

    Joined:
    Apr 22, 2018
    Messages:
    14,272
    Likes Received:
    17,668
    It definitely is. You are scared to take risks when we are rebuilding. And its just....you guys really dont understand the position we are in. You are not serious about winning because you are so worried about giving a pick to OKC in a coin flip.....nah, you dont win this way.
     
  4. YOLO

    YOLO Member

    Joined:
    Apr 16, 2012
    Messages:
    33,697
    Likes Received:
    28,530
  5. BimaThug

    BimaThug Resident Capologist
    Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Mar 24, 1999
    Messages:
    8,167
    Likes Received:
    3,910
    There's a 52% of the Rockets keeping their own pick if they finish with one of the THREE worst records in the league.

    If they finish with the fourth worst record, those odds drop to 48%. Just a 42% chance if they finish with the fifth worst record. It drops to 37% if they finish with the sixth worst record. 32% with the seventh worst record. The odds fall precipitously after that.
     
  6. Dubious

    Dubious Contributing Member

    Joined:
    Jun 18, 2001
    Messages:
    18,158
    Likes Received:
    4,728
  7. Dubious

    Dubious Contributing Member

    Joined:
    Jun 18, 2001
    Messages:
    18,158
    Likes Received:
    4,728
  8. tehG l i d e

    tehG l i d e Member

    Joined:
    Feb 17, 2009
    Messages:
    18,298
    Likes Received:
    5,809
    Looking like 2 Ls
     
    Nook likes this.
  9. Nook

    Nook Member

    Joined:
    Jun 27, 2008
    Messages:
    40,734
    Likes Received:
    61,256

    ODDS OF A TOP 4 FINISH

    Worst records 1-3 52% (it is the exact same for all three positions)

    4th 48%
    5th 42%
    6th 37%
    7th 32%
    8th 23%
    9th 23%

    The Rockets are currently 4th, so currently we have a 50% chance of keeping our pick and getting a top 4 pick, which would be a MASSIVE get for the Rockets.

    Even all the way down to 8-9 there is still nearly a 25% chance of getting a top 4 pick.

    Everyone is concerned about ending the season with a poor record and losing the pick but that is sunk cost. People should consider the advantage of being able to get a keep a top 4 pick in this draft.

    Cade Cunningham, Evan Mobley, Jonathan Kuminga, Jalen Suggs, Jalen Green and Usan Garuba all are viable in the top 4.... Possibly even the younger Bagely.
     
  10. roslolian

    roslolian Rockets Only Fan

    Joined:
    Oct 30, 2008
    Messages:
    17,644
    Likes Received:
    6,943
    You also dont win by giving your pick to OKC lol.
     
    D-rock likes this.
  11. roslolian

    roslolian Rockets Only Fan

    Joined:
    Oct 30, 2008
    Messages:
    17,644
    Likes Received:
    6,943
    1. Winning the title is different from tanking for top 4of a draft pick.

    2. 20% chance is too low. If you think thats great odds care to make 500 usd 80/20 double or nothingbet with me? You cant say no since you think thats great odds, Nets just gave up 7 years of draft capital for 20% so it must be great right?
     
  12. Joe Rocket

    Joe Rocket Member

    Joined:
    Dec 11, 2020
    Messages:
    653
    Likes Received:
    725
    [​IMG]
     
    saleem and HP3 like this.
  13. Joe Rocket

    Joe Rocket Member

    Joined:
    Dec 11, 2020
    Messages:
    653
    Likes Received:
    725
    You guys still having that weird debate over whether or not we should tank on a team thats gonna lose anyway lol
     
    HP3 and s3ts like this.
  14. roslolian

    roslolian Rockets Only Fan

    Joined:
    Oct 30, 2008
    Messages:
    17,644
    Likes Received:
    6,943
    Yeah its all viable...for OKC which is more likely what would happen if you dont get the top 4 pick.

    A sunk cost is cost you can't avoid already. If you think giving the pick to OKC is a SUNK COST that means all the more you shouldnt tank cuz it is inevitable you are giving your pick to OKC. I dont think you understand what sunk cost means lol.

    Everybody knows the advantage of getting a top 4 pick in this or any draft, problem is there is a high chance you dont get the pick so where is the advantage there? The advantage is not guaranteed.

    Rox are indeed worst 4 right now so why we need to even do anything? You get 50/50 by default so theres your gamble. Its not like the Rox are gonna trade pieces to win now so what you want them to do?
     
    #1394 roslolian, Jan 21, 2021
    Last edited: Jan 21, 2021
  15. pippendagimp

    pippendagimp Member

    Joined:
    Sep 1, 2000
    Messages:
    25,814
    Likes Received:
    18,159
    what are your thoughts on the legitimacy of the lottery process? just as recently as a couple summers ago (fakers and pels) seems to imply these percentage probabilities are likely bogus AF :D
     
  16. HP3

    HP3 Member

    Joined:
    Apr 22, 2018
    Messages:
    14,272
    Likes Received:
    17,668
    You gotta stop ignoring probability to predict an outcome that will happen because you are pessimistic. Its worth the tank. Woods and Tate are not going to be here in 3 years anyways. They will get paid and we will not be contenders. WE NEED TALENT. Stop hoping we are gonna strike big on a low first.
     
  17. Hank McDowell

    Hank McDowell Member

    Joined:
    Jun 13, 2002
    Messages:
    2,569
    Likes Received:
    2,672
    He’s got a ton of heart.
     
    D-rock likes this.
  18. D-rock

    D-rock Member

    Joined:
    Jun 29, 2006
    Messages:
    25,845
    Likes Received:
    36,290
    Silas is killing ALL his injured players thru over use.

     
    BossHogg713 likes this.
  19. D-rock

    D-rock Member

    Joined:
    Jun 29, 2006
    Messages:
    25,845
    Likes Received:
    36,290
  20. D-rock

    D-rock Member

    Joined:
    Jun 29, 2006
    Messages:
    25,845
    Likes Received:
    36,290
    Feels like he died.

     

Share This Page

  • About ClutchFans

    Since 1996, ClutchFans has been loud and proud covering the Houston Rockets, helping set an industry standard for team fan sites. The forums have been a home for Houston sports fans as well as basketball fanatics around the globe.

  • Support ClutchFans!

    If you find that ClutchFans is a valuable resource for you, please consider becoming a Supporting Member. Supporting Members can upload photos and attachments directly to their posts, customize their user title and more. Gold Supporters see zero ads!


    Upgrade Now