[Chances for Success] Since 1989 the odds that a 2nd Round Pick.....

Drafted

Quality contributors, capable starters, and borderline all-stars. Also, undrafted players.

109- players drafted in 2nd round, played at least 500 NBA games and/or achieved 15.0 Win shares (until 2006)
122 - including all stars
38 - Undrafted players who achieved 500 games played and/or 15.0 Win Shares (or on pace to best 15.0 win shares)

160 - Total (2nd round all stars, 2nd round contributors, and undrafted all stars/contributors

89:Sherman Douglas
Chucky Brown
Doug West

90:Toni KukocAll Star Quality/Borderline
Greg Foster
Bimbo Coles
Tony Massenburg

91: Randy Brown (11.0)
Elliot Perry (14.0)
Bobby Phillis (467 GP, 27.2 WS)

92: PJ BrownAll Star Quality/Borderline
Matt Geiger
Popeye Jones

93: Lucious Harris
Gheorghe Muresan (307 gp, 19.0 WS)
Bryon Russell
Chris Whitney

94: Howard Eisley
Michael Smith
Voshon Lenard

95: Andrew DeClercq
Eric Snow
Fred Hoiberg

96: Othella Harrington
Jeff McInnis
Malik Rose
Shandon Anderson

97: Anthony Johnson
Alvin Williams (460 gp, 21.7 WS)
Mark Blount

98: Ruben Patterson
Rafer Alston
Cuttino MobleyAll Star Quality/Borderline
Greg Buckner
Ryan Bowen (500 gp, 12.4 WS)

99: (0 besides all-star, Manu Ginobili

00: Eddie House
Eduardo Najera

01: Trenton Hassell (644 gp, 13.8 WS)
Brian Scalabrine (520 gp, 7.6 WS)
Earl Watson
Bobby Simmons (466 gp, 20.1 WS)
Jarron Collins

02: Roger Mason (518 gp, 13.0 WS)
Dan Gadzuric
Matt Barnes
Luis ScolaAll Star Quality/Borderline


03: Jason Kapono (509 gp, 10.3 WS)
Luke Walton (564 gp, 13.5 WS)
Steve Blake
Willie Green (679 gp, 13.0 WS
Zaza Pachulia
Keith Bogans
Matt Bonner
James Jones
Kyle Korver

04: Anderson Varejao
Chris Duhon
Trevor Ariza

05: Brandon Bass
CJ Miles
Ersan Ilyasova
Ronny Turiaf
Monta EllisAll Star Quality/Borderline
Lou Williams
Andray Blatche
Ryan Gomes
Amir Johnson
Marcin Gortat (438 gp, 32.4 WS)All Star Quality/Borderline



This is the tricky grey area...because younger players haven't gotten to 400 games, but have a fairly high Ws/48 or WS total (over or near 15)/can achieve 15.0 WS, based on current production.

06: Steve Novak (414 gp, 14.1 WS)
PJ Tucker (177 gp, 9.2 WS)
Daniel Gibson (397 gp, 16.0 WS)
Leon Powe (239 gp, 12.0 WS)
Ryan Hollins (435 gp, 8.5 WS)

07: Carl Landry (407 gp, 31.0 WS)
Glen Davis (440 gp, 17.2 WS)
Josh McRoberts (350 gp, 17.0 WS)
Ramon Sessions (467 gp, 22.7 WS)

08: Nikola Pekovic (228 gp, 17.7 WS)All Star Quality/Borderline
Mario Chalmers
DeAndre Jordan All Star Quality/Borderline
Omer Asik
Luc Mbah a Moute
Chris Douglas Roberts
Goran Dragic All Star Quality/Borderline

09: Dante Cunningham
Dejuan Blair
Jonas Jerebko
Jodie Meeks
Patrick Beverly
Marcus Thornton
Chase Budinger
Danny Green
Patty Mills

10: Landry Fields
Lance StephensonAll Star Quality/Borderline

11: Kyle Singler
Shelvin Mack
Chandler ParsonsAll Star Quality/Borderline
Jon Leuer
Kenneth FariedAll Star Quality/Borderline
Isaiah ThomasAll Star Quality/Borderline

12: Draymond Green
Khris Middleton
Mike Scott
Kyle O'Quinn
*Jeff Taylor (did not come close 15.0 WS pace over 500 games)

13: Ray McCallum
Nate Wolters
Ryan Kelly

Undrafted players who appeared in 500 games or achieved 600 win shares.
Avery Johnson (1989)
John Starks (1989)
Robert Pack (1991)
David Wesley (1993)
Bo Outlaw (1994)
Darrell Armstrong (1995)
Kevin Ollie (1995)
Matt Maloney (1995) - 9.5 WS in 295 gp, 6 seasons
Bruce Bowen (1996)
Ben Wallace (1996/1997) - All-star/HOF likely
Erick Strickland (1996)
Troy Hudson (1997)
Brad Miller (1998)
Chris Andersen (1998/2001)
Damon Jones (1997/1998)
Mike James (1998/2000)
Anthony Carter (1998)
Earl Boykins (1999)
Chucky Atkins (1996/1999)
Adrian Griffin (2000)
Raja Bell (2001)
Carlos Arroyo (2001)
Jamario Moon (2001/2008) - 14.3 WS in 286 gp, 7 seasons
Andres Nocioni (2001/2006)
Charlie Bell (2002)
Reggie Evans (2002)
Jose Calderon (2003/2005)
Udonis Haslem (2004-2005)
Chuck Hayes (2006)
CJ Watson (2006/2007)
JJ Barea (2006)
Kelenna Azubuike (2006) - 9.3 WS in 208 gp, 5 seasons
Gary Neal (2007/2011)
Greg Stiemsma (2008/2008) - 6.0 WS in 186 gp, 5 seasons
Timofey Mozgov (2008/2010) 6.9 WS in 212 gp, 5 seasons
Wesley Matthews (2009/2011)
Jeremy Lin (2010/2012)
Pero Antic (2013)

 

Kenneth Faried was a first round pick.

 

16 ppg by Parsons is below Allstar quality

He has not done it for long either