1. Welcome! Please take a few seconds to create your free account to post threads, make some friends, remove a few ads while surfing and much more. ClutchFans has been bringing fans together to talk Houston Sports since 1996. Join us!

Case to Draft Reed Sheppard at #3

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by Medicine N Music, May 20, 2024.

  1. AlperenSengun

    AlperenSengun Member

    Joined:
    Oct 12, 2021
    Messages:
    3,940
    Likes Received:
    7,314
    Wow! fvv was damn strong and good. It is a shame from gms that he went undrafted, considering the bums getting drafted all the time.
     
    HP3 likes this.
  2. Newlin

    Newlin Member

    Joined:
    May 22, 2015
    Messages:
    8,788
    Likes Received:
    11,154
    It should be noted that FVV played fours years of college ball. I’m sure he bulked up some during those four years. Reed doesn’t look puny or weak to me at all for someone who just turned 20. He actually looks really solid.
     
  3. clos4life

    clos4life Member

    Joined:
    Dec 20, 2007
    Messages:
    12,389
    Likes Received:
    14,778
     
  4. Dr of Dunk

    Dr of Dunk Clutch Crew

    Joined:
    Aug 27, 1999
    Messages:
    46,610
    Likes Received:
    33,588
    When it hits the apology, I immediately thought, "Westbrook". :D
     
    dmoneybangbang and clos4life like this.
  5. Dr of Dunk

    Dr of Dunk Clutch Crew

    Joined:
    Aug 27, 1999
    Messages:
    46,610
    Likes Received:
    33,588
    Well, if you believe his weight then and now, it looks like he's put on about 20 pounds. Agree Reed doesn't look puny, but the worry was always what would happen if he gets switched onto somebody that's 6'4" or bigger and if he's able to harass them or steal the ball as well as he did in high school.

    Don't be soft, Reed!!!! :mad:
     
    A_3PO likes this.
  6. Dankstronaut

    Dankstronaut Way, way out here.

    Joined:
    Oct 31, 2008
    Messages:
    10,407
    Likes Received:
    14,898
  7. ApacheWarrior

    ApacheWarrior Member

    Joined:
    Aug 3, 2017
    Messages:
    10,346
    Likes Received:
    13,301
    Thanks for bringing back this thread.

    I needed the laugh on how silly people are here on CF's

    I compared Reed to "bust" Jimmer Fredette......I need to apologize to Jimmer
     
    #2767 ApacheWarrior, Dec 9, 2024
    Last edited: Dec 9, 2024
  8. groovemachine

    groovemachine Member

    Joined:
    Jun 29, 2006
    Messages:
    3,108
    Likes Received:
    4,859
    It’s surprising Reed hasn’t been sent to the valley to get his mojo back, particularly with Holiday ripping the nets at his current pace
     
  9. ApacheWarrior

    ApacheWarrior Member

    Joined:
    Aug 3, 2017
    Messages:
    10,346
    Likes Received:
    13,301

    @peleincubus
    Those stats presented for JJ Redick were first 5 years minus 1st year from what I can see.

    I believe my point was, like JJ Redick, Reed would need several years to get up to par.

    Rockets drafted Reed before.....they should have known better than to do it again.

     
    #2769 ApacheWarrior, Dec 9, 2024
    Last edited: Dec 9, 2024
  10. kpdark

    kpdark Member

    Joined:
    Aug 22, 2021
    Messages:
    2,802
    Likes Received:
    7,054
    sending Reed there rn might 'hurt' his tradability -- thus, Cam being in the gleague just means Cam won't be traded this coming deadline

    in the past, Stone/Silas had been playing the likes of CWood star minutes hoping to sell them high on trade deadline

    [they were the ones playing like stars while JG was just standing at the corner waiting for the ball to be passed to him -- if they'd let him, that is -- so the claims that JG had been dominating the ball in his first two years is just false]
     
    #2770 kpdark, Dec 9, 2024
    Last edited: Dec 9, 2024
    gfab-babyboi likes this.
  11. Sooner423

    Sooner423 Member

    Joined:
    May 17, 2002
    Messages:
    5,613
    Likes Received:
    1,787
    I did consider Bryce Drew as a comp for Reed. He was also an exceptional college three point shooter with a similar build. He was also a 4 year player and an unquestioned lead guard on that Valpo team. Reed didn't have that role in his 1 year at Kentucky, but shot a higher percentage.

    At this point, we don't know if he'll be Bryce Drew or Mark Price. I do think he has a higher learning curve than Bryce with age and college role. We'll have to wait and see.

    I will say, if Reed can begin to do the thing we thought he'd do (3pt shooting), it will be a huge unlock for the offense.
     
    roslolian, RB713 and Easy like this.
  12. Dankstronaut

    Dankstronaut Way, way out here.

    Joined:
    Oct 31, 2008
    Messages:
    10,407
    Likes Received:
    14,898
    I got mocked by the typical honks for reading the tea leaves on this one. Reed is smol, and is getting outplayed by Aaron Holiday. Hasn't somehow gloriously corrected our range shooting woes, has contributed to them. Any chance he has of reaching some of these wild ass hot takes are at a minimum 2.5 years away.

    I wanted Knecht. NBA sized, NBA ready off-ball shooter. Not some 4 year project who needs playing time on a team with precious little of it to spare. Those honks couldn't even see past their own heartbubbles to know that I was hedging on Jalen, their worst enemy, by taking an obviously superior player. No, no, no, I dared speak out against the will of the honk.

    What now honkies?
    upload_2024-12-10_19-27-58.png
     
  13. AroundTheWorld

    Joined:
    Feb 3, 2000
    Messages:
    83,288
    Likes Received:
    62,280
    You are still wrong.
     
    Corrosion and Sooner423 like this.
  14. ApacheWarrior

    ApacheWarrior Member

    Joined:
    Aug 3, 2017
    Messages:
    10,346
    Likes Received:
    13,301
    Through their first 24 games:
    Reed Sheppard.....3.8 pts.....1.0 Rebs.......1.3 ast....35.7 (FG%).....30.4 (3P%)
    *Jalen Green.........15.6 pts....3.0 Rebs.......2.2 Ast....39.9 (FG%).....32.5 (3P%)
    (*Often put in the corner by Silas as spot shooter)

    I know if Jalen Green was white people would be ok with 3.8 pts a game from the #2 pick.
    DD and BobbytheGreat were calling Jalen a bust after two weeks.

    If Reed (#3 pick) was a black man then they would call Reed a bust.......but instead it's, let's wait.
    3.8 pts this year......maybe 6 points next year.......then 9 points in year 3.......and then 25 points
    per game in year 4.

    For sure!!! The guy can't get his shot off, it's easy to see.
     
    #2774 ApacheWarrior, Dec 10, 2024
    Last edited: Dec 10, 2024
  15. Dankstronaut

    Dankstronaut Way, way out here.

    Joined:
    Oct 31, 2008
    Messages:
    10,407
    Likes Received:
    14,898
    At least you accepted the challenge, ya honk.

    Now if only Reed would accept the challenge? Maybe there'd be something to argue about. I hope he does. I'd love to be wrong, have been plenty of times. On this one though, I nailed more of these shots than Kentucky Reed.
     
  16. Mr. Dominant

    Mr. Dominant Member

    Joined:
    Dec 17, 2007
    Messages:
    9,715
    Likes Received:
    5,234
  17. Mathloom

    Mathloom Shameless Optimist

    Joined:
    Oct 4, 2008
    Messages:
    21,008
    Likes Received:
    22,414
    It's so funny on this board, there's no time where you just be a fan. Like everyone's arguing about Reed's future, but it's not like if he pans out then everyone is going to laugh about it and enjoy it. They're just going to start nitpicking on technicalities and good/bad stretches to death, fighting over some new set of data. I always ask people to make bets or predictions because otherwise some can whine forever. You need a closure point, you're committing to an idea and you need them to commit to an idea too just so you can at least look back at your posts and come to some kind of conclusion.

    That's the downside of comparing players and ******** on other Rockets to promote your favorite Rocket. Just stays bitter all the time - before, during and after success/failure. I'm a big Green fan, but I can't imagine missing out on watching and enjoying this whole core grow. Can't imagine not rooting for one of our core guys even when they're screwing up as young guys. That's the best thing about this phase of Houston Rockets history.

    Honestly of all the iterations I've watched (Hakeem, Yao, T-Mac, Harden, Howard, CP3, etc) this core has been the most fun. These players are fun to watch on and off the court plus they love defense and work hard. We've never really had this and it's rare in league history to have such a high proportion of willing young defenders.

    Reed is a great addition to this core. Just ignore his draft position for a second. If it takes 1.5 years from now to put some muscle on him, tighten his handle and improve his defense but what we get is a 6'3 Fred Van Vleet with a better jumper - that's amazing for us. Can totally be a top 5 PG in the NBA if he can become an above average defender under Ime's watchful eye.

    He's the perfect fit for this roster. I don't know what people are complaining about. We will eventually need a 6'3 guy who can really pass, shoot and play defense. Fits next to Amen/Green/Whitmore/Sengun. I don't get how a rocky start - and all our young guys had rocky starts - means that his trajectory has changed. He's learning a new position. He's learned more in a couple of months than KPJ learned in 2 years. Let's do it right this time. When you play 10-12 minutes, it's hard to have stable stats and shooting rhythm but he is getting there.

    He's played the equivalent of 7.8 games if each game is 36 minutes. For those games, he'd be averaging roughly 11.6 points on 12.5 shots, 4 assists to 1.8 TO's and almost 2.5 stocks (!!!). The all-time great Steph Curry (stretched to 36 minutes) started his first 8 games 10.4 points on 9.4 shots, 6.5 assists to 2.74 TO's and 1.2 stocks. That's one of the greatest players of all time and unquestionably the highest ceiling a player the size/archetype of Sheppard can reach. With Curry having the benefit of more rhythm (averaged 26 minutes per game his first 8 games).

    There are lots of players who had similar stats at that point in their careers, it had no correlation whatsoever with whether that player was going to end up good or not. So to sit here and jump to conclusion as though you're being wise when you're talking about 8 games worth of basketball stats is extremely misguided. We don't know anything about him right now. The things we CAN know - attitude, fit, work ethic, month to month improvement - are looking like there's no reason to rule out him developing exactly as we expected when we drafted him. He'll be starting calibre in like 1-1.5 years or something. He'll be extremely raw right now. It's not magic. It's just player development.
     
    cmlmel77, eman and Sooner423 like this.
  18. ApacheWarrior

    ApacheWarrior Member

    Joined:
    Aug 3, 2017
    Messages:
    10,346
    Likes Received:
    13,301
    #3 pick Sheppard
    3.8 pts...1.0 Rebs...1.3 Ast.....35.7 FG%....0.6 TOV....30.4 (3P%) [first 24 gms]
    4.6 pts...1.4 Rebs...1.5 Ast.....36.6 FG%....0.4 TOV....21.4 (3P%) [first 24 gms]
    #29 pick TyTy Washington

    Big difference between #3 pick and #29 pick. Nobody expects too much
    from the 29th pick in the draft. Even so-called experts expected Reed to
    contribute right away. None of them were saying wait a couple of years.

    Reed was a favorite to win ROTY this season. The front office should be nervous
    on missing so badly.
     
    fckbandwagons likes this.
  19. peleincubus

    peleincubus Member

    Joined:
    Oct 26, 2002
    Messages:
    26,717
    Likes Received:
    14,997
    Missing badly. Read the post above yours. You are over analyzing too much. Taking not enough data to correlate an entire career. In years past you were much more sound in your analysis.

    How about this for a bet. By the end of the season @Dankstronaut and @coachbadlee ’s savior Dalton K and Reed will have a 3 point % within 2 points of each other.
     
    AroundTheWorld likes this.
  20. roslolian

    roslolian Member

    Joined:
    Oct 30, 2008
    Messages:
    29,887
    Likes Received:
    20,033
    Sheppard was just a bonus of the Harden trade. Whether he pans out or not it doesnt remove the accomplishment already made by the FO so they dont have to be nervous.

    As for Sheppard himself I think he can still be a good player but he is a lot rawer than expected and it might take multiple years to get him where they expected him to be.

    Was he a massive reach at #3? I think so. Can he still turn out good in the end? I also think so. In the mean time though it's def frustrating to see him suck at the one thing he got drafted for, thats for sure.

    Whats even more frustrating is the people here over exaggerating everything Sheppard does like it isnt an expectation for the 3rd pick to play well. Just watch when Sheppard shoots 2/3 from 3 and has 6 pts everybody here will go wild and start tagging you, me and coachbadlee on how wrong we all are and how we are clueless about how good Sheppard really is, we dont know ball, we are the worst posters on the board etc
     
    #2780 roslolian, Dec 11, 2024
    Last edited: Dec 11, 2024
    Dankstronaut and coachbadlee like this.

Share This Page