Carlos Correa to the Twins - 3 Years, $105 Million

Minnesota was last in the division in 2021. They have been in the playoff chase all year (and don't have a losing record). That's progress. I don't think anyone expected a worst-to-first move in 1 year based on one player addition. Even after adding Correa, Minnesota wasn't expected to win their division. He went there because they offered him an ideal opportunity to maximize his income this year and also have a chance to maximize his long-term income this coming offseason. For Minnesota, he makes them better, plays at a discount to his value this year, and comes with no long term commitment.

 

Do you think he opts out and if so what type of deal do you predict he could get this offseason?

 

Holy ****, Twins have 5 straight against Guardians.... this could get interesting real quick.

 

Carlos Correa is getting ready for October with an excellent September. It seems he's one of the few capable of flicking a switch, and he's now switched into super star mode for the rest of the season.

 

The myth of Correa the postseason monster has been grossly overblown. He doesn't shrink in the big moment, which is huge, but he doesn't get better. His postseason numbers are basically the same as his regular season numbers.

And for arguments sake, if I'm Minnesota and he's just now turning it on, I'm pretty f**king furious. He's not on the Astros anymore, other teams aren't afforded the luxury of just "be ready for October"

 

Seconded.

 

Agree and Twins aren’t making the playoffs either.

 

There are important moments in a game in the regular season and the postseason. While Correa overall numbers are the same, I think Correa came up big when needed a lot more frequently in the postseason than the regular season.

Edit: Granted, I doubt past clutch performance in the postseason has any bearing on future clutch performance in the postseason.

 

Barring something unforeseen in the next few weeks (injury, etc), I think he absolutely opts out and I think he gets a long-term deal in excess of $250MM. Years/AAV depend on the specifics. But I think he locks up his long-term finances.

 

Agreed. His postseason numbers are a 162-game season pace of nearly 40 HRs and 120 RBIs - so he has had hits when the matter. And he's maintained his slash line numbers, but done it against the much better postseason pitching instead of the random scrubs you face throughout the regular season. But as you say, it's unclear whether he raises his game or its statistical randomness. But the key with him is you know he doesn't falter in the postseason over a very large sample size.

 

I’m well aware of that fact. That doesn’t diminish the player Correa is by any means. Since we had roughly 25M under the tax threshold you could also say that money went to Cranes pocket, Goodrum, **** head ex dodgers reliever that threw 6 gas can innings for us and Castro. mid wasted on Brantley and Yuli. I was actually banging the table all off-season to get rid of those two and bring back Correa or a big ticket free agent like Marte or Kris Bryant. You know, if we are being honest rather than just minimizing one of the greatest Astros of all time.

 

Not related to Correa, but since 162 game pace was brought up, Altuve's 162 game playoff pace going back to 2017...

51 HR, 104 RBI, 151 Runs... jesus

 

It’s freaking incredible.

 

The opt out is definite without major injury.

I think he'll end up with $300M. Just crazy that in back-to-back offseasons we've seen the greatest SS market in history, and it could have been crazier if Lindor hadn't taken that extension. There was so much talk about how stacked SS position was back in the days of Jeter/Nomar/ARod, but this crop is deeper and Tatis/Correa/Lindor are HOF bound if they stay healthy. Seager/Bichette/Franco/Bogaerts/Turner could get easily end up there too. Then you've got Semien/Swanson/Baez/Adames as all-star caliber players. That is 12 all-star SS in the league right now.

 

You actually have to have your team make it to October. Twins are not getting a Wild Card and they are 4 games back, with 2 teams ahead of them, in the AL Central.

 

LOL. NO ONE is paying Correa $300 million. Especially the way the SS who did get big money, have played for their new teams.

 

The Astros didn't choose between Pena or Correa. The spending by the Astros is set by Crane not the luxury tax. When Crane was presented what he could spend money on, he choose Verlander, Pena, and others. The Astros would be better if Crane spent $35M more whether it was Correa or someone else. I see no reason to hold Pena's performance accountable for the Astros not spending $35M more instead of Crane for pocketing money (if that is how you want to view it).

 

I'd say it's better than 50/50 that he gets $300. If he doesn't, he'll take a 6-7 year with a higher AAV and maybe some opt-outs against in a few years.

 

Correa will be doing exactly what you and I and every other fan will be doing and that's watching the playoffs on t.v. or sitting in the stands watching.

 

With $35MM in his pocket. Given that he's been to 3 World Series already but only had made like $25MM over those 7 years, it's probably a good tradeoff for him for 1 year to make more than he had made his entire career and get a month off.