I read an article that said that the researchers themselves on silicon and that kind of stuff said that unless they can find a substitute for silicon, then the capacity for silicon to store information is starting to become limited. Oh it might not seem as if, but it will.
I highly doubt Blu-Ray is doomed to fail because of streaming media. ISP's are already thinking about charging people who use more bandwidth with higher rates due to those few users clogging up their networks. Imagine now if streaming media became mainstream, people will be streaming 20+ gig HD movies in the span of 2 hours. A lot of people with basic internet speeds won't be able handle that. Then there is ON DEMAND movies from cable tv and dish providers which you have to pay the monthly subscription fee's in addition to the individual cost of each ON DEMAND movie. ON DEMAND HD movies take a ton of bandwidth, the decrease in my internet speed is very noticeable when I watched HD movies with ON DEMAND. Blu-Ray probably won't achieve the success DVD's did, but they will find their niche.
Cosign. I think the technology is cool, but there aren't that many movies these days that I would just have to have in my collection. When I first got out of college I bought a lot of DVD's.....I don't even watch 25% of them.
So around 2020 Moore's Law may reach it's limit ... so we have another decade of rapid growth before that theoretical milestone.
My DVD died so I just bought a BR with built-in Netflix. Bluray is freaking sweet. But 75% of movies I could care less if in HD. Netflix is bad ass cause its at my fingertips. Convenience beats quality. Note: currently Netflix sucks cause the selection is crap but the technology is great and the quality is good enough. I hope Bluray can hang on so we can have an option. But in the end, streaming will win. That said, it'll take at least 4-5 years.
Bingo. Exactly. I bought a PS3 just for the games, and didn't actually see a blu-ray for quite awhile. I was happy with DVD. Then I saw blu-ray... and I realized I hadn't known what I was missing. Now I'm a blu-ray nut. It's true, though that may just be for PS3 games and not Blu-rays in general, I'm not really sure. I DO know that PS3 discs have a scratch-resistant coating that makes them so durable you can buff out scratches with your THUMB. I speak from experience. I never bought used PS2 games because the DVDs seemed to scratch too easy... for Blu-ray that just isn't a concern at all. Now I never buy anything BUT used... because no matter how f'd up the disc looks, it's easily fixed. It's a beautiful thing.
FAIL! Read a vook? The Houston Automobile Dealers Association and the local library are teaming up to encourage you to read. What are you waiting for? RABDARGAB!
To people that think downloading blu ray movies will work, do you guys know how big those movies are? Up to 25GB for a movie. I don't think many people will be thrilled to download something that big. Streaming will work I suppose but unless there is a way to compress blu-ray movies down to more of a friendly size, I don't see it working.
Movies on the torrent sites are now available in 720p and 1080p. These movie files range from 4GB all the way to 15GB. the 720p for most movies is still pretty damn good even on a large TV such as mine. There seems to be something missing in the details of the movie but I can't pinpoint it for sure for it to really make a difference.
That's the problem for people that are using compressed/ripped versions that aren't 1:1. For you, you've identified something different but can't figure out what it is. That would annoy the crap out of me.
The sharpness is there and the audio is there. The only thing I can seem to pinpoint is possibly the range of color. For most movies I'm fine with that IF i've never watched the blu-ray version but dark knight? It was a no-no big time. For me though as long as I've seen it once in the blu-ray format I'll go and download it after i've seen it just to have it archived. Movies like Dark Knight though that are pristine on blu-ray I'd like to have a hard copy. TDK was the first blu-ray movie I bought .
If the availability, convenience, and affordability are all there for an item, I'll consider it. As will most people. Movies-on-demand is the convience option over disk. Like most things, if they dress it up nice and dumb it down with ease of use people will look into it. Such as: In a fantasy world they had 1080p movies that downloaded in 60 seconds and were only 2 megabytes in size (equal to music content) obviously it'd a fast efficient clean process. Then who WOULDNT consider having that? Seems like a combination of things on the development end unrelated the consumers are holding back movies-on-demand though... Apart from that, I dont use VHS tapes, listen to cassette players, consciously try to resist change and stay with what I know. I have a 50+ inch 1080p HDTV (HDMI 1.2 instead of 1.3, oh well)... And I hardly even watch it. Its not about priorities in life, being stubborn, any of that stuff. Perhaps its about being simple....I just dont see the urgency why I need to get Blu Ray. Its like the move to digital TV signals, basically has to be forced on you because its the industry's universal agreed-upon choice.
For all we know, we could use flash drive kiosks at a local Target or WalMart to purchase "hard copies" of our favorite or new movies. 64GB on keychains in 3 years doesn't seem farfetched anymore.
The streamed stuff will continue to cater to the lowest common denominator (ie lower bandwidth users) for the foreseeable future. Full bitrate 1080p video and lossless audio (DTS-HD, Dolby TrueHD, PCM) will be exclusive to Blu-ray for quite a while. I've watched some of the Blu-ray rips that get posted to newsgroups and other places. The quality is pretty damn good most of the time. Color banding and loss of detail in dark areas is common but they have to cut corners somewhere to get the file sizes down.
It already has to some extent. How do you think digital cable, fios, and u-verse works. What the service provider does is reserve a certain amount of bandwidth for their television stations which some cases include on-demand. Add 4G wireless networks which will capable of going up to 100 mb/sec travel at speed and the world is going to change drastically in the next 5 years or so. From Wikipedia The only obstacle now is that the content providers are afraid to lose control. Everyone in the industry knows that Blu-Ray is a stop gap technology. The only question is how long it will be commercially viable. Like I said in my original post. People will still buy physical disks just like people still buy cd's and vinyl. It just wont be the primary method in the very near future.
