I knew that. I just don't think that makes any difference. Quintana is the better option to take the hill than Martes at any time point this season no matter what Martes does.
I'm not predicting the future or expecting he can keep up anywhere close to this pace, but it's great to see thus far.
I was looking at Pitch fx, but Statscast had his 2015 velocity at 89.9, so not that big of a difference. Interesting thing is his 2015 effective velocity is 89.58, and his 2017 so far is 89.48
Looking at statcast data (baseball savant), it appears the drop is about 1.2 mph instead of close to 2 estimated using fangraphs Pitchfx data which now uses statcast for velocity. Considering Keuchel does not have much velocity to spare, I'd still consider that a big deal though effective velocity may mitigate this issue. K% concerns me about future performance though he's limited hard contact more than normal for himself so far this year.
...can't we just attribute to Keuchel's struggles last year to injury, which it was. He will be fine. The rotation will be solid.
Regression was expected even prior to the injury.... mainly due to the innings he piled up in the 2 years prior. The decrease in his mph on his pitches has to be due to "something". By all metrics, he should have a bounce back year. Remains to be seen if it will be Cy Young worthy or possibly be de-railed by another lingering injury that he doesn't tell anybody about.
Something can be age or just wear and tear. I expect he'll be between last year and 2015 effectiveness with about 200 innings pitched. I'm more worried about next year if velocity drop is real and continues.
I'd put Terry Puhl in my favorite 10 Astros all time. 1. Nolan Ryan 2. Carlos Correa 3. Jose Cruz 4. Bill Doran 5. Craig Biggio 6. Mike Scott 7. Terry Puhl 8. Jeff Bagwell 9. Jose Altuve 10. Glenn Davis Honorable mention: Juan Agosto
I'm going to see how this current crop of guys plays out because I can see a number of them move up the list. Oswalt is probably my favorite Astros of all time though.
Bagwell Puhl Casey Candaele Cruuuuz Bill ****ing Spiers Biggio Berkman Tony Eusebio Doran Charlie Kerfeld Carl Everett, just because I want to talk to him about dinosaurs someday I was a bit too young to appreciate Cedeno in his prime, but neither here nor there, Moises Alou was one of the best pure hitters I've ever seen Stupid ****ing treadmill.
Berkman was on 790 yesterday morning and basically said he was never the same after his ACL tear in 2004 (even though he put up some huge years after that). Stupid ****ing flag football (he actually said a version of just that).
I pulled from Baseball Savant. His velocity is down 1 mph from 2015 (89.9 vs. 89.0), and over the same first two starts his average velocity was 89.6 or 89.7, I can't remember for sure. 2 games is too early to draw on much in the way of conclusions regardless. I'm combining 2 seam and 4 seam FB in the data search, so maybe that accounts for the difference? Also the data changed from yesterday for 2017. When I searched yesterday the FB velocity was 88.9 (same as Fangraphs), but today showed 88.98. Interesting that his cutter velocity is up to 87.28 from 86.65, and he has increased the usage of it.
When I looked, I only looked at his two seam as that is his bread and butter. It was a 1.2 mph difference. Initially, I looked at fangraphs and that data is a lot scarier when he lost velocity and almost everyone else is picking up a mph. I agree it is only 2 games, but velocity data after two games is usually much more reliable than ERA. I expect some loss so it isn't a big deal, but was hoping he didn't lose any velocity.
I don't think we'll get 2015 Dallas, but I think we will get the 2014 version. That is weird that adding the 4-seam in would make that much of a difference, especially since it is barely being thrown now (if at all).
Quintana absolutely killing my fantasy team today. Line so far (@min): 1 IP, 5 ER, 6 H (2 2B, 1 3B), 2BB, 2 K
You are correct but those last three starts are not completely discounted either. I am guessing that Quintana's trade value is now 3 not 4 primo prospects.
