Taking from No Worries in the Minors thread. Keep 40 (Keep in mind that George Springer or other player not listed being called up this season will take a spot on the 40): C Carlos Perez - 22 C Rene Garcia - 23 C Max Stassi - 23 C Jobduan Morales - 21 C Ryan McCurdy - 25 C Jason Castro - 26 C Carlos Corporan - 29 1B Jonathan Singleton - 22 1B/3B Bobby Borchering - 22 1B Brett Wallace - 27 1B/DH Erik Castro - 25 1B/DH Telvin Nash - 22 1B/DH Chris Carter - 26 2B Jose Martinez - 27 2B Enrique Hernandez - 22 2B Jose Altuve - 23 2B Jake Elmore - 26 IF Brandon Wikoff - 25 IF Andy Simunic - 27 SS Jiovanni Mier - 22 SS Marwin Gonzalez - 24 SS Jonathan Villar - 22 3B Jonathan Meyer - 22 3B Matt Dominguez - 24 3B Brandon Laird - 26 OF Domingo Santana - 20 OF Michael Burgess - 24 OF Austin Wates - 24 OF Marc Krauss - 25 OF Brandon Barnes - 27 OF Robbie Grossman - 24 OF LJ Hoes - 23 OF JD Martinez - 26 OF Jimmy Paredes - 24 RHP Asher Wojciechowski- 24 RHP Tanner Bushue - 22 RHP Bobby Doran - 24 RHP Matt Heidenreich - 22 RHP David Martinez - 25 RHP Jake Buchanan - 23 RHP Andrew Robinson - 25 RHP Carlos Quevedo - 23 RHP Josh Zeid - 26 RHP Jason Stoffel - 24 RHP Ruben Alaniz - 22 RHP Jorge De Leon - 25 RHP Kyle Weiland- 26 RHP Cameron Lamb - 23 RHP Hector Ambriz - 29 RHP Jose Cisnero - 24 RHP Paul Clemens - 25 RHP Jarred Cosart - 23 RHP Rhiner Cruz - 26 RHP John Ely - 27 RHP Josh Fields - 28 RHP Lucas Harrell - 28 RHP Chia-Jen Lo - 27 RHP Jordan Lyles - 22 RHP Rudy Owens - 25 RHP Brad Peacock - 25 RHP Alex White - 25 LHP Wesley Wright - 28 LHP Brett Oberholtzer - 24 LHP Dallas Keuchel - 25 LHP Travis Blackley - 30 LHP Wes Musick - 26 LHP Alex Sogard - 25 LHP Sergio Escalona - 28 LHP Eric Berger - 27 LHP Colt Cain - 22 LHP Kevin Chapman - 25 LHP Patrick Urckfitz - 24 LHP Luis Cruz - 22 LHP Tom Shirley - 24 Guys in italics are on the 40-man roster and subject to waivers.
These pitchers are hurt and out for the season: RHP John Ely - 27 RHP Rudy Owens - 25 RHP Alex White - 25 RHP Kyle Weiland- 26 Ely and White iirc just has TJ surgery this spring. Weiland had TJ the spring before last. Don't know what Owens deal is. I think that it is very unlikely for them to be put on the 40 man roster, prior to the Rule 5 draft.
Orloff and Valenzuela were released. I believe Owens has been out all season with a foot fracture. A better question is: Where the hell is Kyle Weiland?
Skimming our current 40 man, these guys should all be gone outright IMO Erik Bedard Hector Ambriz Edgar Gonzalez Travis Blackley Wesley Wright Jake Elmore Brandon Laird Trevor Crowe J.D. Martinez John Ely, Alex White and Rudy Owens are all coming off surgery and may not need protection. I think we move Corporan. 17 Players C Jason Castro C Max Stassi C Rene Garcia C Carlos Perez 1B Jonathan Singleton 1B Brett Wallace 1B Chris Carter 2B Jose Altuve SS Marwin Gonzalez SS Jonathan Villar 3B Matt Dominguez 3B Jonathan Meyer OF Domingo Santana OF George Springer OF L.J. Hoes OF Robbie Grossman OF Brandon Barnes 15 Players SP Jordan Lyles SP Lucas Harrell SP Dallas Keuchel SP Brett Olberholtzer SP Brad Peacock SP Jarred Cosart SP Asher Wojiechowski SP David Martinez SP Jake Buchanan RP Josh Fields RP Chia-Jen Lo RP Josh Zeid RP Paul Clemens RP Jason Stoffel RP Kevin Chapman Thats 32, maybe 31 depending on how Wallace finishes. Notable players I'd leave unprotected SP Bobby Doran SP Ruben Alaniz SP Rhiner Cruz RP Kyle Weiland 1B Telvin Nash OF Jimmy Paredes OF Marc Krauss OF Austin Wates They probably want to keep at least 5 or 6 spots open for FA and Rule V picks and we would still have some wiggle room. Combined with possible trades I don't really see us in danger of losing a major prospect.
19 position players. 19 pitchers. IIRC Rhiner Cruz and Marwin Gonzalez are not Rule 5 eligible, so I left them off. I left Ely and White off since it is doubtful any team would draft them due to their Spring TJ surgeries. I left Krauss and Laird off since they had trouble staying on the Astros 25 man roster. Erik Bedard deserves a spot just for his trade value next summer. Not sure about the very last spot.
My thinking as well but ... I would be sweating bullets about losing John Ely and Alex White. Has anyone heard how serious Owens's foot issue was? I put on my 40 man roster, since I am guessing that he should be ready to go for spring training.
Since those guys are on the 60 day DL, can't you just keep them on the DL through the offseason and not have to worry about exposing them to the rule 5 draft. Of course, once they're healthy you'd have to clear room or DFA them, but I think you can cross that bridge when you come to it and have more information. And you can't leave Marwin and Rhiner off the 40 man without putting them through waivers. Neither of them would be a huge loss to the future, but I still have faith that Marwin can be a decent back-up middle infielder.
Also keep in mind that if we believe Luhnow, the Astros will be in the market for a couple mid-tier free agents this year. Assuming no one else is traded in August or over the offseason, this would be my 40 roster by the Rule 5. Position Players: 19 total C Carlos Perez - 22 C Max Stassi - 23 C Jason Castro - 26 C Carlos Corporan - 29 1B Jonathan Singleton - 22 1B Brett Wallace - 27 1B/DH Chris Carter - 26 2B Jose Altuve - 23 2B Jake Elmore - 26 SS Marwin Gonzalez - 24 SS Jonathan Villar - 22 3B Matt Dominguez - 24 OF Domingo Santana - 20 OF Marc Krauss - 25 OF Brandon Barnes - 27 OF Robbie Grossman - 24 OF LJ Hoes - 23 OF JD Martinez - 26 OF Jimmy Paredes - 24 Pitchers: 16 RHP Asher Wojciechowski- 24 RHP Jake Buchanan - 23 RHP Josh Zeid - 26 RHP Jason Stoffel - 24 RHP Jose Cisnero - 24 RHP Paul Clemens - 25 RHP Jarred Cosart - 23 RHP Josh Fields - 28 RHP Lucas Harrell - 28 RHP Chia-Jen Lo - 27 RHP Jordan Lyles - 22 RHP David Martinez - 25 RHP Brad Peacock - 25 LHP Wesley Wright - 28 LHP Brett Oberholtzer - 24 LHP Dallas Keuchel - 25 Total: 35 Left Off: C Rene Garcia - 23: Doubt the Astros move three minor league catchers onto the 40-man, so I have it between Garcia and Perez with possibility that they are both left off. SS Jiovanni Mier - 22: Has been the most disappointing prospect over the last five years. 3B Brandon Laird - 26: Might be nice to keep around for major league depth, but has no future with the club RHP Bobby Doran - 24: Some deserving players have to be left off, so I'd look for them leave off their low-ceiling arms LHP Kevin Chapman - 25: May he sticks because he's left handed, but fits the profile of the standard Rule 5 flier. If they have to, I think they'll protect Alex White, but I doubt they'll do the same for Ely or Owens. I'd also expect them to sign to mid-low tier SP and an OF in free agency, which would put the 40 man roster at 37-38. They'll draft 1st in the Rule 5 again. Also, Springer will be up by May if not sooner, and Appel may follow shortly after.
I think the order of events is set the 40 man roster have the Rule 5 draft and re-adjust the 40/25 rosters if the team makes a Rule selection sign FAs and re-adjust the 40/25 rosters Every time the Astros readjust the 40 man roster, someone will get exposed on the waiver wire.
Ely and White would have to make it through waivers. A team would only need to add them to their 40-man roster and not carry them on their 25 man roster. It would be hard to imagine White not being on the 40-man roster, because he would be claimed and we'd lose him for nothing. Weiland previously made it through waivers, so the team would be unlikely to protect him.
You are correct about White and Ely having to pass through waivers to remove them from the 40 man. There is no way White is left off the 40 man. I could see Ely being able to pass through waivers. Owens is still on the 40 man roster, and I'm not aware that he has ever made it through waivers.
So if the Astros dropped Ely and White from the 40 man roster, they would have to pass through waivers without being claimed and then still be Rule 5 eligible?
Good question. I'm not sure, but it's probably moot since if they are not claimed off waivers I doubt anyone is then going to draft them with the additional restriction that they have to be kept on the 25 man roster all year.
Yes, they would become Rule 5 eligible. Of course, it wouldn't matter because a player making it through waivers isn't going to get claimed in the Rule 5 draft. A player claimed on waivers can be optioned to the minors and costs the team nothing. A player drafted in the Rule 5 draft cost $50K and must remain on the 25-man roster. When talking about guys already on the 40-man roster, you only worry about losing them to waivers, not to the Rule 5 draft.
My bad on Owens. I think he would make it through though. I agree Ely has a good chance to make it through. Edit: Thinking about it, I'd rather waive Ely and protect Luis Cruz.