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AFC-South Division Crown Watch

Discussion in 'Houston Texans' started by emjohn, Aug 30, 2012.

  1. emjohn

    emjohn Contributing Member

    Jul 29, 2002
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    WK1 Colts@CHI, Pats@TEN, Jags@MIN, Fins@HOU

    WK2 Vikes@IND, Texans@JAX, Titans@SD

    WK3 Lions@TEN, Jags@IND, Texans@DEN

    WK4 Titans@HOU, Bengals@JAX (Colts Bye)

    WK5 Pack@IND, Titans@MIN, Bears@JAX, Texans@NYJ**

    WK6 Steelers@TEN*, Colts@NYJ, Pack@HOU (Jags Bye)

    WK7 Titans@BUF, Browns@IND, Ravens@HOU, Jags@OAK

    WK8 Jags@GB, Colts@TEN (Hou Bye)

    WK9 Bears@TEN, Fins@IND, Lions@JAX, Bills@HOU

    WK10 Colts@JAX*, Titans@MIA, Texans@CHI

    WK11 Colts@NE, Jags@HOU (Titans Bye)

    WK12 Texans@DET*, Bills@IND, Titans@JAX

    WK13 Jags@BUF, Colts@DET, Texans@TEN

    WK14 Jets@JAX, Titans@IND, Texans@NE**

    WK15 Jags@MIA, Colts@HOU, Jets@TEN

    WK16 Titans@GB, Colts@KC, Pats@JAX, Vikes@HOU

    WK17 Jags@TEN, Texans@IND

    *Thursday Night
    **Monday Night

    All Teams play AFC-East and NFC-North
    Houston flex games: @DEN, Ravens
    Indianapolis flex games: @KC, Browns
    Jacksonville flex games: @OAK, Bengals
    Tennessee flex games: @SD, Steelers
  2. emjohn

    emjohn Contributing Member

    Jul 29, 2002
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    ...and if we presume to make this a two team race:

    WK1 Pats@TEN, Fins@HOU

    WK2 Texans@JAX, Titans@SD

    WK3 Lions@TEN, Texans@DEN

    WK4 Titans@HOU

    WK5 Titans@MIN, Texans@NYJ**

    WK6 Steelers@TEN*, Pack@HOU

    WK7 Titans@BUF, Ravens@HOU

    WK8 Colts@TEN (Hou Bye)

    WK9 Bears@TEN, Bills@HOU

    WK10 Titans@MIA, Texans@CHI

    WK11 Jags@HOU (Titans Bye)

    WK12 Texans@DET*, Titans@JAX

    WK13 Texans@TEN

    WK14 Titans@IND, Texans@NE**

    WK15 Colts@HOU, Jets@TEN

    WK16 Titans@GB, Vikes@HOU

    WK17 Jags@TEN, Texans@IND

    *Thursday Night
    **Monday Night

    All Teams play AFC-East and NFC-North
    Houston flex games: @DEN, Ravens
    Tennessee flex games: @SD, Steelers

    Titans have a relatively late bye with 4 of their 6 divisional games following.
    Titans AFC-E/NFC-N games are the reverse home vs away as Hou. They have Pack on the road, Pats at home, etc.
    It would be fair to say that the Titans do not have a significantly easier schedule than the Texans.
    Titans have a short week to prepare for Steelers, Texans have a short week to prepare for Lions.
    Texans also have short weeks to prepare for Packers and Colts (December).

    Kenny Britt expected to miss 1-2 games due to suspension.

    Order of tiebreakers:
    Head to head
    Divisional game win percentage
    Common game win percentage (AFC-E and NFC-N games)
    Conference Games (the two flex games)
    Strength of victory
    Strength of schedule

  3. kaleidosky

    kaleidosky Your Tweety Bird dance just cost us a run

    Mar 20, 2002
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    nice summary. Pats gotta take care of business and start the season off 0-1 TEN (and 1-0 HOU of course)

    clearly at a minimum we need to take care of business at home against TEN

    Weeks 5-7 heading into our bye will be key. Need to stay afloat and at least tied with TEN as we go through a tougher stretch than them.
  4. TheRealist137

    TheRealist137 Member

    Jan 27, 2009
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    meh, this should be a cakewalk
  5. HR Dept

    HR Dept Contributing Member

    May 31, 2012
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    The Titans were on the Texans' heels well into the season last year. Any level of underachiement by this team will make it a race.

    This is the NFL afterall.
  6. J.R.

    J.R. Member

    Jun 30, 2008
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    Suspended one game.
  7. emjohn

    emjohn Contributing Member

    Jul 29, 2002
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    So far,
    Hou 2-0
    Colts 1-1
    Jax, Ten winless

    Long season left.

    Texans took care of business, but getting those division wins is always critical (first tiebreaker).

    Titans drop their first of two flex games with Steelers looming as the second. Their run game has looked dismal, and there are signs of friction between Johnson and the coachng staff.

    Colts haven't been shabby. Luck is definitely a franchise QB in the making.

    I predicted Jacksonville would have a 2-win season, and they look the part so far.

    Week 3:
    Critical Hou @ DEN
    DET @ TEN
    JAX @ IND divisional matchup

    Week 4:
    TEN @ HOU divisional matchup
    JAX @ CIN
    GB @ IND

    Houston remaining
    Away: Denver, NYJ, Chicago, Detroit, Tennessee, New England, Indianapolis
    Home: Titans, Packers, Ravens, Bills, Jaguars, Colts, Vikings

    Titans remaining
    Away: Houston, Minnesota, Buffalo, Miami, Jacksonville, Indianapolis, Green Bay
    Home: Lions, Steelers, Colts, Bears, Texans, Jets, Jaguars
    1 person likes this.
  8. ItsMyFault

    ItsMyFault Contributing Member

    Jan 28, 2009
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    Difference is... the Titans don't even look to be the same team as last year. Assuming they lose to the Lions, they'll be 0-3 going into week 4 in the match up against the Texans at Reliant. I know a few years ago they started 0-5 or 0-6 or w/e and then had that rally with VY, but that's not going to happen again. Safe to say that even if we win 8 or 9 games, we should comfortably have this division the way things are looking. If anything, the Colts look like the 2nd best eam in the AFC South going into week 3. Still a lot of football to be played though.
  9. tallanvor

    tallanvor Contributing Member

    Oct 9, 2007
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    He wrote that before week 1. Lets be fair.
  10. emjohn

    emjohn Contributing Member

    Jul 29, 2002
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    Hou has allowed the fewest points (entire league) in the first two weeks (17)
    Hou has the highest points differential in the NFL (+40)

    #10 in total yards gained
    #6 in rushing yards gained
    tied #9 in total points scored
    tied #4 in first downs gained
    tied #8 in 3rd down conversion percentage

    #1 in fewest yards allowed
    #1 in fewest passing yards allowed
    #8 in fewest rushing yards allowed
    #1 in fewest first downs allowed
    #1 in lowest 3rd down conversion percentage
    Have not allowed a fourth down in 3 attempts (best in NFL)
    #2 in fewest passing yards per attempt allowed
    tied #8 in INT
    tied #6 in sacks
    tied #4 in most negative yardage on sacks
    tied #2 in fewest passing TDs allowed
    tied #2 in opposing QBR allowed
    Have not allowed a single run of 20 yards or more
    Have not allowed a single rushing TD
    #2 in Give/Take Differential (+5)

    Matt Schaub #13 in QBR and #8 in completion percentage. Also one of six starting QBs to not have an INT yet.
    Arian Foster #7 in rushing yardage and tied #1 in rushing TDs
    Ben Tate #31 in rushing yardage and #13 in ypc
    JJ Watt tied #2 in sacks
    JJ Watt tied #3 in pass deflections, only non-DB in the top 10

    And finally:
    ESPN Power Rankings, Week 2
    #2 Houston Texans
    #26 Tennessee Titans
    #27 Indianapolis Colts
    #31 Jacksonville Jaguars

    #10 emjohn, Sep 18, 2012
    Last edited: Sep 18, 2012
  11. thegary

    thegary Contributing Member

    Jul 22, 2002
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    2 games against two bad teams. let's not pull the condoms out just yet.
  12. sammy

    sammy Contributing Member

    Jul 5, 2002
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    We're gonna make a lot of teams look bad :cool:
  13. ipaman

    ipaman Contributing Member

    Nov 23, 2002
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    the flaming thumbtacks will be 0-4 after week 4.

    jax is weak and already we have a road win against them.

    colts look decent but barely beat a mediocre vikings team at home with a last minute field goal.

    Texans will have to lose the division because none of those teams are capable of winning it out right if you know what I mean.

    Bottom line, Texans division to lose.
  14. ynelilvs99

    ynelilvs99 Member

    Jan 20, 2012
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    Our defense is the shys
  15. MourningWood

    MourningWood Contributing Member

    Oct 15, 2009
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    "Can the Houston Texans go undefeated?"


  16. emjohn

    emjohn Contributing Member

    Jul 29, 2002
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    Those articles are a jinx, and should never, ever be published unless a team is already 10-0, if not 12-0.

    I'm sticking to my guns with a win prediction of 12, +1/-2

    HOU 3-0, 1-0 div, 1-0 flex
    JAX 1-0, 1-1 div
    TEN 1-2, 0-0 div, 0-1 flex
    IND 1-2, 0-1 div

    Next week:
    WK4 Titans@HOU, Bengals@JAX (Colts Bye)

    Bengals *should* be too much for Jaguars, even at home. Titans showed their passing game can make up for Chris Johnson's slump, so we can't come out expecting a division win just by showing up.

    One game at a time. No injuries allowed.

    We're now in the toughest 5-game stretch of the season.
    @DEN, Titans, @Jets, Packers, Ravens

    Get to the bye at 5-2 or better, and we will be sitting pretty.

    **Update: Revis is gone for the season, improving our chances at NYJ. Still will not be an easy game, but I'm optimistic our defense will give Tebow-Sanchez a thrashing.
    #16 emjohn, Sep 24, 2012
    Last edited: Sep 24, 2012
  17. Cannonball

    Cannonball Contributing Member

    Jul 27, 2006
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    I'm sticking to my 12-4 prediction for now. I think 14-2 is possible but wouldn't go past that.
  18. SwoLy-D

    SwoLy-D Contributing Member

    Jul 20, 2001
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    I love how you think!!!! :eek:


  19. Joe Joe

    Joe Joe Go Stros!
    Supporting Member

    May 3, 1999
    Likes Received:
    This is a weird thread. The other three teams in division are playing inexperienced QBs and are not threats. If the Texans don't win the division it will either be humiliating or a ton of injuries.

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