1. Welcome! Please take a few seconds to create your free account to post threads, make some friends, remove a few ads while surfing and much more. ClutchFans has been bringing fans together to talk Houston Sports since 1996. Join us!

2024 MLB Draft

Discussion in 'Houston Astros' started by tellitlikeitis, May 17, 2024.

  1. tellitlikeitis

    tellitlikeitis Canceled
    Supporting Member

    Joined:
    May 7, 2009
    Messages:
    20,011
    Likes Received:
    11,208
    Didn't realize there was not a thread for this yet. The 2024 MLB Draft will take place July 14-16.

    Anyways, the Astros have the 28th pick in the 2024 MLB Draft and the latest company mock (from Jim Callis) has them taking Sam Houston State catcher Walker Janek.




    If he was in charge of the Astros draft, Peter Flaherty from Baseball America would pick Braylon Doughty, a RHP from Chaparral High School in Temecula, California. The actual BA Mock has them taking Tennessee 3B Billy Amick.



    https://www.mlb.com/video/2024-draft-billy-amick-3b

    With $5,914,700, the Astros will have the smallest bonus pool. That's because they forfeited their 2nd-round pick after signing Josh Hader.

    Round 1, Pick 28: $3,132,500
    Round 3, Pick 101: $724,800
    Round 4, Pick 131: $541,100
    Round 5, Pick 163: $396,200
    Round 6, Pick 193: $307,600
    Round 7, Pick 223: $242,400
    Round 8, Pick 253: $203,500
    Round 9, Pick 283: $187,800
    Round 10, Pick 313: $178,800
     
    13 in 33, Do WHAT?, ROCKSS and 3 others like this.
  2. Snake Diggit

    Snake Diggit Member

    Joined:
    Mar 12, 2012
    Messages:
    11,907
    Likes Received:
    16,639
    It’ll be interesting to see how Houston approaches this draft with such a small pool. When they were in a similar situation in 2020 and 2021 they went well overslot with their earliest pick then had a lot of senior signs. I could certainly see Houston doing that and drafting someone like Wyatt Sanford or Slade Caldwell if they were available. Alternatively I could see them going well under slot with their 1st pick and trying to draft 3-5 guys who demand $700k-$900k, in the Chase Jaworsky mold. If they play it straight, guys I think they’d be looking at in the 1st round along with Janek:
    OF Vance Honeycutt
    OF Dakota Jordan
    OF Carson Benge
     
    No Worries likes this.
  3. Justin Thomas

    Justin Thomas Member

    Joined:
    Oct 10, 2022
    Messages:
    29
    Likes Received:
    32
    Need a good draft this year. Didn’t like the last two first round picks by Brown in Gilbert and the Nebraska shortstop. Both were low ceiling guys that never even projected to be all star caliber players.
     
  4. Snake Diggit

    Snake Diggit Member

    Joined:
    Mar 12, 2012
    Messages:
    11,907
    Likes Received:
    16,639
    Matthews was not a low ceiling pick at all. He is a very high ceiling player with power and speed and defensive upside. He has been hurt most of this season so far so it is far too early to judge him.
     
  5. Mr.Pringles

    Mr.Pringles Member

    Joined:
    Sep 27, 2016
    Messages:
    2,522
    Likes Received:
    1,803
    Drew Gilbert was most certainly not low ceiling either that was a bad take.
     
  6. Willy92683

    Willy92683 Member

    Joined:
    Jan 16, 2002
    Messages:
    679
    Likes Received:
    684
    Gilbert was drafted by James Click, last year was Dana Brown's first draft and he chose Brice Matthews
     
  7. punkoholic

    punkoholic Member

    Joined:
    Jul 21, 2016
    Messages:
    3,612
    Likes Received:
    3,441
    The Athletic (Keith Law) had them drafting C Malcolm Moore from Stanford. He also noted Brown tried to scout a high school game that featured hitters Caleb Bonemer and Dante Nori but it got rained out. Law thinks Astros needs help sooner rather than later so that's why he went with a college player. Could change though, this was the first edition. Assuming he does another updated one in the future.
     
  8. BlindHog

    BlindHog Member

    Joined:
    Aug 12, 2021
    Messages:
    1,632
    Likes Received:
    1,229
    2023 potential Astros first rounder.
    LHP, Cam Caminiti, Saguaro HS (AZ)
    3B, Cam Smith, Florida State
    RHP/OF, Carson Benge, Oklahoma State
     
    Nook likes this.
  9. prospecthugger

    Joined:
    Mar 25, 2018
    Messages:
    1,108
    Likes Received:
    1,398
    I think the biggest factor will be that they basically get one pick in the first three rounds. If there's a mid 3rd round guy they really like, the first round pick is their only shot at him. My best guess is a Korey Lee/Brice Matthews type of late blooming athletic collegiate hitter paired with an overslot high schooler in the mid rounds. I think Brown may be more willing to gamble on lower tier high schoolers than previous GMs, but I'm not sure they'll have the resources to get too creative this draft.
     
    raining threes and Snake Diggit like this.
  10. tellitlikeitis

    tellitlikeitis Canceled
    Supporting Member

    Joined:
    May 7, 2009
    Messages:
    20,011
    Likes Received:
    11,208


    Duke LHP Jonathan Santucci to the Astros at 28
     
    everyday eddie and vince like this.
  11. tellitlikeitis

    tellitlikeitis Canceled
    Supporting Member

    Joined:
    May 7, 2009
    Messages:
    20,011
    Likes Received:
    11,208


    back to Billy Amick
     
    raining threes likes this.
  12. tellitlikeitis

    tellitlikeitis Canceled
    Supporting Member

    Joined:
    May 7, 2009
    Messages:
    20,011
    Likes Received:
    11,208
    for the folks who don't want to bust through paywalls, Astros Future put up a Mock Draft dump:

     
    raining threes and Bregatron like this.
  13. tellitlikeitis

    tellitlikeitis Canceled
    Supporting Member

    Joined:
    May 7, 2009
    Messages:
    20,011
    Likes Received:
    11,208
    another day, another mock draft



    Austin Westlake SS Theo Gillen
     
    Snake Diggit likes this.
  14. HeyBudLetsParty

    Joined:
    May 8, 2010
    Messages:
    1,177
    Likes Received:
    2,078
    No idea who any of these guys are, but I’m expecting us to go with someone with a couple of wow tools rather than high floor guy. The days of drafting Korey Lee and Drew Gilbert in the first round are over.
     
  15. juicystream

    juicystream Member

    Joined:
    Apr 17, 2001
    Messages:
    29,539
    Likes Received:
    5,661
    Hard to care too much about these mocks when you are drafting later in the 1st round and MLB has a massive variance in player evaluations and need isn't a high priority. Crazy though it is the 3rd straight 28th pick for us.

    Prominent 28th picks:
    Gerrit Cole - NYY, didn't sign but they eventually got their man after another decade and $300M
    Colby Rasmus
    Charles Johnson
    Rickey Gutierrez - The terrible former Astros SS that suddenly could hit with the Cubs, but still sucked at playing SS.
    Lee Smith

    Really, not a lot of quality there, but we'll have high expectations for some reason.
     
  16. Snake Diggit

    Snake Diggit Member

    Joined:
    Mar 12, 2012
    Messages:
    11,907
    Likes Received:
    16,639
    The more I see/read on Dakota Jordan the more excited I get about Houston picking him. He has serious elite bat speed and athleticism. His dings (striking out on breaking balls and defensive shortcomings) could very well be related to experience, having been dividing his time between football and baseball until his sophomore year of college. He is the type that could see significant improvement on pitch recognition and fielding instincts, in which case he could be a monster.

    I think his median 30th percentile outcome would be a Corey Julks level player, with his 70th percentile outcome being a borderline star and his 90th percentile outcome being a total superstar.
     
    #16 Snake Diggit, Jun 21, 2024
    Last edited: Jun 21, 2024
    raining threes and texans1095 like this.
  17. Rockets34Legend

    Joined:
    Jun 12, 2002
    Messages:
    21,204
    Likes Received:
    16,547
  18. Buck Turgidson

    Joined:
    Feb 14, 2002
    Messages:
    88,802
    Likes Received:
    87,780
    YES! Indeed, who did the experts pick!?!
     
  19. Buck Turgidson

    Joined:
    Feb 14, 2002
    Messages:
    88,802
    Likes Received:
    87,780
    I may be wrong, but I'm gonna guess there's some really good players, every year, who were drafted after 28th.
     
    crose likes this.
  20. juicystream

    juicystream Member

    Joined:
    Apr 17, 2001
    Messages:
    29,539
    Likes Received:
    5,661
    Of course there are. It's just there isn't a big hit rate on any individual pick by that time in the draft.
     

Share This Page

  • About ClutchFans

    Since 1996, ClutchFans has been loud and proud covering the Houston Rockets, helping set an industry standard for team fan sites. The forums have been a home for Houston sports fans as well as basketball fanatics around the globe.

  • Support ClutchFans!

    If you find that ClutchFans is a valuable resource for you, please consider becoming a Supporting Member. Supporting Members can upload photos and attachments directly to their posts, customize their user title and more. Gold Supporters see zero ads!


    Upgrade Now