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2023 ALW sprint to the finish.

Discussion in 'Houston Astros' started by IdStrosfan, Aug 25, 2023.

  1. The Beard

    The Beard Contributing Member

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    Better make a walk to the wild card post

    Cause johnnie ain't having nothing to do with winning the division

    or sprinting

    ****ing loser
     
  2. dholi_1

    dholi_1 Member

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    whats the update on the #s with yesterday's win
     
  3. marks0223

    marks0223 2017 and 2022 World Series Champions
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    Looking for magic numbers?

     
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  4. jim1961

    jim1961 Member

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    No sprinters that I see in the AL.
    No one better than 6-4 in their last 10 other than Baltimore (7-3).

    Quite often some team gets really hot and sneaks in or a team already playoff bound makes a statement.
    Instead, teams grinding and struggling.
    Still some time left.
     
  5. IdStrosfan

    IdStrosfan Member

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    This is correct, but the 23 for a playoff spot is the combination of Astro wins and Blue Jay losses.

    23 is also the number to guarantee finishing ahead of Rangers.

    Division is obviously Astro wins and Mariner losses.
     
    #65 IdStrosfan, Sep 5, 2023
    Last edited: Sep 5, 2023
  6. IdStrosfan

    IdStrosfan Member

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    Astros need a combination of 25 wins and Mariners losses

    If Astros can win:
    1 of 2 vs Texas
    2 of 3 vs Mariners
    6 of 9 vs Royals and A's
    5 of 9 vs Orioles, Padres, and D'Backs.

    That's 16.

    Mariners would need to go at least 14-8 the rest of the way to win the division:
    2 vs Reds
    4 vs Rays
    3 vs Angels
    3 vs Dodgers
    3 vs A's
    7 vs Rangers

    Or Rangers would need to go at least 17-6:
    3 vs A's
    4 vs Blue Jays
    3 vs Guardians
    3 vs Red Sox
    7 vs Mariners
    3 vs Angels
     
  7. jim1961

    jim1961 Member

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    dmoneybangbang and BlindHog like this.
  8. IdStrosfan

    IdStrosfan Member

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    I really like the #2 seed better than the #1 seed.

    #1 Orioles play #1WC (Rays)/#2 WC (Mariners) winner

    #2 Astros play AL central (Twins)/#3 WC (Blue Jays) winner
     
  9. IdStrosfan

    IdStrosfan Member

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    5 games later

    Magic # 17 vs Mariners for the division.
    Magic # 16 vs Rangers to clinch postseason.
     
  10. Wulaw Horn

    Wulaw Horn Member

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    That can’t be right. We lose a tie break to the mariners but beat the rangers in a tie break. They are 1/2 a game apart but with the tiebreaker delta that should mean the magic number is more than 1 different as it relates to the two.
     
  11. jayfree

    jayfree Member

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    17-1 here we come
     
  12. IdStrosfan

    IdStrosfan Member

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    Astros 82-62
    Mariners 79-64 (Astros must win 1+ more)
    Rangers 78-64 (Astros must tie or better)

    Mariners best possible 98-64 so magic number is amount to get Astros to 99. That is 17.

    Rangers best possible is also 98 because they have played 1 less game. Astros only need to tie them so magic number to get Astros to 98 is 16.
     
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  13. IdStrosfan

    IdStrosfan Member

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    If the Astros can beat Mariners 2 of 3 and go 8-7 in their remaining 15 games . . .

    Mariners will need to go 12-4 in their remaining 16 games to overtake them for the division.

    If they lose 2 of 3 and go 8-7 in those 15 remaining. . .

    Mariners only need to go 10-6 to win the division.

    It's still about those 3 vs Seattle
     
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  14. cmlmel77

    cmlmel77 Up all Night Watching Houston Sports
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    Up to a point. Given the other 15 are heavily weighted to KC and Oak, they should not be happy with 8-7. Split with Baltimore and Arizona, go 7-2 against KC and Oakland and you are 10-5. Then even 1 out of 3 from Seattle means the Mariners have to go 12-4.
     
  15. IdStrosfan

    IdStrosfan Member

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    I agree 8-7 would not be good, my point was even if they do that bad they are still in good shape as long as they can take 2 of 3 from Seattle.
     
  16. jim1961

    jim1961 Member

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    The Astros are just going to win again, aren't they?

    The Baltimore Orioles have arrived, even against their owner’s wishes. The Seattle Mariners were the hottest team in baseball for a month to six weeks. The Texas Rangers at least put together a brilliant two-thirds of the season, blending big spending with internal development. The Blue Jays have kind of been a frustrating, lumbering outfit most of the season, but are seemingly coming good at the right time. Most of all, the Yankees suck ass! If it feels like a newly built playground in the Junior Circuit, that’s because it’s kind of been.

    So anyone’s frustration that it very well might all end the same, with orange-and-blue confetti dropping from the Minute Maid Park rafters as the Astros head to another World Series, we get you.

    After the uproar of the Mariners going nuclear and running down the Astros and Rangers to take first place for a good seven minutes, and the disappointment/comedy of watching the Rangers suddenly unable to hit the ball out of the infield, here are the Astros with three weeks left in the season, sitting 2.5 games up in 1st place, most likely getting to set everything just how they want them for the opening of the Division Series.

    https://deadspin.com/houston-astros-jose-altuve-justin-verlander-al-west-1850825638
     
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  17. jim1961

    jim1961 Member

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  18. jim1961

    jim1961 Member

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  19. Qan

    Qan Member

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    Damn the Astros have 2 bench warmers with ops over .900 since AS?
     
  20. IdStrosfan

    IdStrosfan Member

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    Don't worry AL or MLB - only 4 of them are everyday starters.

    This team still has:

    A catcher with a .591 OPS
    A CF with a .710 OPS
    A SS with a .709 OPS

    So the majority of the time there are still 3 starters who are below average hitters.
     
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