That was the case in 2020 but changed in this election. What is interesting is that the mail in voting favors Fetterman more than it did Biden.
I'm talking about statewide elections. Forget the house, the map was gerrymandered to create those losses. Honestly, the Dems are holding up in all the Dem drawn seats despite getting destroyed statewide (speaks to how gerrymandering can work against you too). But I'm talking about comparing Abbott and DeSantis as well as the rest of the statewide row offices. Florida has always voted to the left of Texas in statewide elections for ages. So if that inverts, that's a crazy result that has never happened in modern history.
What's so crazy about it? Florida has a particularly popular governor. Some leftists demonize and hate him, Trump hates him, but the majority of people in Florida love him.
This is why winning Governorships is so important and its also very hard to remove a Governor, i feel like most serve full terms and have a very big incumbent advantage.
This isn't about popularity. This is about the fact that Florida Dems usually put up a good fight regardless of whether there is an incumbent. In the 2014 Red Wave, Charlie Crist only lost by a point as a Democrat. Same in 2010, the Dems came close (but still lost). This time around in a better environment, he's getting crushed. I'm pretty sure Florida is a red state now. Unless we get a super Democratic leaning year, I dont expect Democrats to do much in Florida going forward.
There are a lot of things going against Democrats the unpopularity of the President and the economy. I was impressed by some of the things that Crist and Demmings said but I’m not sure they were charismatic enough to change things. Crist is already a three time loser on top of that.
Crist seems particularly weak. Not as leftist as some of the crazies, but just not anywhere credible or strong enough to challenge DeSantis.
Have we reached the point yet where, based on early counts, people are *certain* that someone will win but then more votes are counted and it turns out that person didn't win but those who were originally so certain are convinced someone stole the election? I could see that with Oz/Fetterman. Fetterman goes ahead early because of early voting, then Oz goes up as in-person votes are counted, and then Fetterman catches up as late-arriving mail-in ballots get counted.
Nope. Things are too early, no major blows landed so far, no big flips or big holds that could determine anything. PA elections are too early, same for GA, and polls haven't even closed in the west coast. Unless you like keeping up with this stuff (I do) probably should just check back tomorrow lol.
