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2022 Midterms

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by Xerobull, Jan 8, 2021.

  1. Xerobull

    Xerobull Salve Dicit Mater Tua
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    Gotta keep the foot on the gas and not let up...

     
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  2. DonnyMost

    DonnyMost clean your room bucko

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    I'm afraid the backslide the House Democrats had in 2020 was too steep to prevent the Republicans from taking it in 2022, so that's a goner.

    The question is not if 2022 will be bad for House Democrats, but just how bad it will be. A lot of which will be determined by what Democrats do with their slim governing mandate the next two years.

    If they fulfill their campaign promises of continued stimulus, a higher minimum wage, expanded healthcare access, and they actually get the virus under control, then things may not be so dim and they will be set up for an undeniable mandate in 2024.

    If they sit on their hands and let Joe Manchin become the new Joe Lieberman, they will get slaughtered in 2022 and set themselves poorly for 2024.
     
    Ziggy, Andre0087, joshuaao and 3 others like this.
  3. pirc1

    pirc1 Contributing Member

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    Actually it all depend on how the Biden administration do this year. If they get COVID under control and start the economy on solid recovery path. There is a good chance Democrats will pick up seats.
     
  4. Dubious

    Dubious Contributing Member

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    The money will not be with them. Corporate exposure is going to be critical since Trumpism is now lawlessness.
     
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  5. DonnyMost

    DonnyMost clean your room bucko

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    It would require an absolutely stunning reversal of pattern.

    https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/sta...dlost-the-presidents-party-mid-term-elections

    Since Truman, the midterms during a President's first term have resulted in an average loss of 28.5 House seats for his party.

    The recent trend (last 30 years) has seen that number go up to over 30 seats.
     
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  6. pirc1

    pirc1 Contributing Member

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    This year is unlike any other in more than a century. It is a risky as well as potentially very rewarding year, all depend on how the administration do. Democrats have control over congress and white house, about as much power as can be expected, let's see what they can do.
     
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  7. Xerobull

    Xerobull Salve Dicit Mater Tua
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    PA will be a big one.

     
  8. biina

    biina Member

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    A lot depends on how the breakup between the GOP and Trump goes cos Trump wont go away quietly.

    WIth the way things are headed, there might be too much infighting for them to mount a solid front.
     
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  9. Invisible Fan

    Invisible Fan Insider Newsletter™ 2X Diamond Member

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    Our economy is on a roid off cycle and we're looking to pump more liquidity to round up jerbs that are playing hide n seek with covid and a hollowed out non-tech service and commercial real estate sector.

    Getting out of low interest rates will be an immensely difficult challenge when paired with rebuilding, a 2T+ stimulus, and racking up trillion dollar annual budgets.

    "Once in a century" climate change related disasters might as well be an annual write down.

    We can't get anything accomplished without rebuilding faith in the system and trust in each other. I hope Dems are willing to toe some internal compromises rather than publicly tear into each other over a paper thin majority
     
  10. Carl Herrera

    Carl Herrera Contributing Member

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    2022, meh...

    Some people are going for 2024 already:


     
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  11. No Worries

    No Worries Contributing Member

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    Is 91 the new 81?
     
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  12. pirc1

    pirc1 Contributing Member

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    Why would she do that? I just cannot understand some people.
     
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  13. Xerobull

    Xerobull Salve Dicit Mater Tua
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    It's prideful. It's irresponsible.

    Look at what happened with Ginsberg. She should have resigned while Obama was in the position to replace her.

    Since it's California, the Governor there is going to appoint a democrat. However, it's not going to be the choice of the people. Now, more than ever, we need democracy.
     
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  14. Major

    Major Member

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    It's really about suburban voters and turnout. Almost all of the seats Dems took in 2018 were supposedly impossible due to the gerrymandering, because no one ever believed suburban voters would go Dem. In 2022, turnout surged - those suburban voters still went Dem, but all the Trump voters came out in force and reclaimed many of those seats.

    In 2024, suburban voters will still come out - they always do and are amongst the more reliable voting groups. But there's a question of whether they stay Democrat or go back to the GOP if Trump isn't around. The other question is what Trump's role is and whether the Trump voters come out in force or go back to being non-voters.
     
  15. txtony

    txtony Member

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    Unless Trump is in jail, he’s going to seek revenge on every single Trump Republican traitors. That could open up new opportunity for D in some safe R districts and states and tip lean and tossup over to D.
     
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  16. jiggyfly

    jiggyfly Member
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    Negro please.

    Backslide:rolleyes:

    You just said if they fulfill their campaign promise so they promised things you agree with but that is somehow backsliding?

    You are not even trying to make sense these days, just anything to **** democrats am I right?
     
  17. jiggyfly

    jiggyfly Member
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    Do you think anything is static going forward, did you just miss 2020?

    Did you see what happened in GA?

    These are unprecedented times you can throw out historical trends.

    My only worry is that voters will not feel as compelled to vote in 2022 but I have to hope that maybe most will realize the importance and continue to do so.
     
    #17 jiggyfly, Jan 13, 2021
    Last edited: Jan 13, 2021
    Rileydog likes this.
  18. pirc1

    pirc1 Contributing Member

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    I won't be surprised to see two GOP parties in 2022. One GOP(Trump) the other GOP(traditional).
     
  19. Newlin

    Newlin Member

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    Trump needs to start his own political party. He doesn’t like the Republicans in Washington, and they don’t like him.
     
    dachuda86 and FranchiseBlade like this.
  20. NewRoxFan

    NewRoxFan Contributing Member

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