About the only way that's possible is if the storm stalls, isn't it? Is that being considered a likely event now?
Well it's going to stall, it's heading right into an area of high pressure that it won't be able to push through. The question is, how long will it stall and where it will stall. It could be a brief tap on the brakes, it could be a red light.
Ah, ok. I haven't been keeping up. Didn't know about the stall. Yeah, that could be scary if it's a Harvey-type of stall.
There is rain in Southern Florida and it should be raining in Orlando by mid morning Tuesday. Some of the rain is attributed to Ian bumping into the front (weather system) that passed through the US (including Texas) on Monday. Ian would be the cause for rain nearer to Cuba. Currently the forward speed of Ian is 13 mph in a NNW direction. If the forward speed drops to a good jog of 6 mph, then rainfall totals will build. If the forward speed drops to a walking speed of 3 mph, then it gets even worse. It comes to a stop/stall for a while? Not good at all.
I think right now they are most concerned about storm surge, if it hits just north of Tampa and is still a cat 3 it could produce a really awful storm surge, something like 10 feet or more which is something that I don't think they are able to withstand.
After a long, relentless summer, Houston will experience its first breath of fall this week thanks to an incoming cold front. The system will move into the city on Monday and lower temperatures into the 60s by Tuesday morning. Skies will remain sunny with highs dropping into the mid-80s over the next several days. On Thursday Houstonians may experience a brief dip into the 50s in the early morning hours, with a high of 84 for the day. In short, mornings and evenings should be particularly pleasant this week, and temperatures will remain mild (relative to conditions of the last four months) over the weekend before returning to the 90s on Sunday, where the high temperature is projected to be 92 degrees, according to Weather.com. As Space City Weather's Eric Berger notes, this week's cold front could signal the "end" of summer 2022, though warm days in the 90s will still crop up in the coming weeks.
They are structurally different but kind of, also a storm surge is usually much smaller than a typical tsunami. For this storm we're talking 6-10 feet vs with a tsunami we'd be talking more like 10 meters.
I've seen the damage done by tsunami and storm surge by a Cat 5 storm and they are very similar except for the wind damage is on top of the surge of water.
More wobbles to the east this morning. TB might end up escaping the worst of the surge if this trend continues.
just heard the NFL might move the Tampa Bay KC game to the Minneapolis this weekend. Might get tickets if they do.
That's looking better for our house. Jim Cantore was 20 miles from our house today. If it swings a bit more further south, we may avoid storm surge altogether.
This is what a CAT 5 storm can do with an over 10 ft storm surge. I shot this in the Philippines after Typhoon Haiyan hit. Ian could have a 15’ storm surge.
