1. Welcome! Please take a few seconds to create your free account to post threads, make some friends, remove a few ads while surfing and much more. ClutchFans has been bringing fans together to talk Houston Sports since 1996. Join us!

[2021] Hurricane season discussion thread

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout' started by KingCheetah, Apr 18, 2021.

  1. B-Bob

    B-Bob "94-year-old self-described dreamer"
    Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Jul 26, 2002
    Messages:
    35,977
    Likes Received:
    36,811
  2. Xerobull

    Xerobull ...and I'm all out of bubblegum
    Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Jun 18, 2003
    Messages:
    36,847
    Likes Received:
    35,707
    Hurricane Ida Advisory 16
    Valid: 09:00 AM CDT Sunday August 29, 2021


    upload_2021-8-29_9-34-29.gif



    Current Location: 28.7N, 89.8W
    Geographic Reference: 35 miles SE of Grand Isle, LA
    Movement: Northwest at 10 mph
    Max Winds: 155 mph gusting to 190 mph
    Current Hurricane Severity Index: 29 out of a possible 50 points (9 size, 20 intensity)
    Max Predicted Hurricane Severity Index: 29 out of a possible 50 points (9 size, 20 intensity)
    Current Radius of Tropical Storm-Force Winds: 150 miles
    Max Predicted Radius of Tropical Storm-Force Winds: 150 miles
    Organizational Trend: Rapidly Strengthening
    Forecast Confidence: High
    Estimated Central Pressure: 929 mb

    Key Points
    1. Ida is very close to a Category 5 hurricane with max sustained winds of 155 mph.
    2. Landfall is expected around 1 PMjust west of Grand Isle with 155 mph to 160 mph winds.
    3. Hurricane force sustained winds are likely in west New Orleans and across Baton Rouge
    4. Inland flooding and tornadoes are also expected.

    Our Forecast
    A reconnaissance plane investigating Ida has found winds to 155 mph, which makes Ida very nearly a Category 5 hurricane. The center of Ida will be making landfall just west of Grand Isle, Louisiana around 1 PM. It is possible that Ida could strengthen to a Category 5 hurricane with max sustained winds of 160 mph prior to landfall. Either way, Ida is a very dangerous hurricane. Our forecast takes the center directly over Baton Rouge around 11 PM. Though Ida will be weakening as it moves inland, sustained winds may still be 80 mph to 90 mph with gusts 110 mph to 120 mph as it passes Baton Rouge. Sustained winds may reach 75 mph in New Orleans, with gusts over 100 mph there this afternoon and this evening.

    Once the winds decrease below tropical storm strength over western Mississippi tomorrow, the threat from Ida will not be over. Flooding rains are expected across southern to central Mississippi extending north into Tennessee. While the heaviest rains are likely across southeast Louisiana and SW Mississippi where 10 to 15 inches will likely occur, up to a foot of rain could fall as far north as central Mississippi. Localized 8 inch totals are possible as far north as Tennessee. In addition to the heavy rain, Ida will generate tornadoes north and east of its center through at least Monday morning.

    Expected Impacts on Land
    Southeast Louisiana: Catastrophic wind and tidal surge damage is expected near where the eye makes landfall. Locations within the eyewall may experience power outages that last for weeks, along with catastrophic structural damage, including to well-built structures. Extended power outages could also occur outside of the eyewall. Flooding rains will create widespread street flooding and areas of flood damage.
    Coastal Mississippi: Significant coastal flooding is expected due to moderate onshore flow and large waves moving ashore.
    Inland Mississippi to Tennessee: Flooding is likely to result in travel delays. The greatest chance of more widespread power outages will occur over SW Mississippi. Tornadoes likely will cause pockets of significant damage.

    Expected Impacts Offshore
    Northwest Gulf of Mexico: Squalls may continue across southeast Louisiana blocks through Monday afternoon when Ida is well inland into Mississippi.
     
  3. peleincubus

    peleincubus Member

    Joined:
    Oct 26, 2002
    Messages:
    26,722
    Likes Received:
    15,002
    I’ve always wanted eventually to live next to the beach for a few years. I don’t think that will be happening in this life. Doesn’t make sense to take that chance anymore for a myriad of reasons.
     
  4. Nick

    Nick Member

    Joined:
    Feb 28, 1999
    Messages:
    50,794
    Likes Received:
    17,164
    Another “once in a lifetime” storm… that is now happening every 3-5 years?
     
    Ziggy likes this.
  5. ElPigto

    ElPigto Member
    Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Sep 21, 2006
    Messages:
    16,027
    Likes Received:
    25,669
    I'm guessing that's for the ratings. For those of us that have been following, this is becoming the norm.
     
  6. Xerobull

    Xerobull ...and I'm all out of bubblegum
    Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Jun 18, 2003
    Messages:
    36,847
    Likes Received:
    35,707
    Beach house prices disagree.
     
  7. peleincubus

    peleincubus Member

    Joined:
    Oct 26, 2002
    Messages:
    26,722
    Likes Received:
    15,002
    come on man houses are not getting less expensive in any aspect no matter. give it some time though I bet
     
  8. Nick

    Nick Member

    Joined:
    Feb 28, 1999
    Messages:
    50,794
    Likes Received:
    17,164
    New beach houses actually hold up quite well in these storms. They’re already built to withstand the strong winds, with built-in shutters and storm proof windows/doors, and they’re elevated so no potential storm surge issues.
     
  9. marks0223

    marks0223 2017 and 2022 World Series Champions
    Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2007
    Messages:
    11,871
    Likes Received:
    17,417
  10. ThatBoyNick

    ThatBoyNick Member

    Joined:
    Dec 8, 2011
    Messages:
    31,141
    Likes Received:
    48,742
    How many oil refinery and chem plants are in the way this time?
     
  11. omgTHEpotential

    Joined:
    Apr 4, 2012
    Messages:
    7,512
    Likes Received:
    6,045
    LIVE:

     
  12. marks0223

    marks0223 2017 and 2022 World Series Champions
    Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2007
    Messages:
    11,871
    Likes Received:
    17,417
  13. Xerobull

    Xerobull ...and I'm all out of bubblegum
    Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Jun 18, 2003
    Messages:
    36,847
    Likes Received:
    35,707
  14. lpbman

    lpbman Member

    Joined:
    Dec 12, 2001
    Messages:
    4,238
    Likes Received:
    795
    Plenty, but the biggest deal may be any damage to Port Fouchon... It is the gateway to the offshore platforms and looks like it'll get smashed.
     
    ThatBoyNick, B-Bob and Buck Turgidson like this.
  15. Buck Turgidson

    Joined:
    Feb 14, 2002
    Messages:
    100,482
    Likes Received:
    102,602
    Waiting for updates from my buddy's people in Thibodaux.
     
  16. ElPigto

    ElPigto Member
    Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Sep 21, 2006
    Messages:
    16,027
    Likes Received:
    25,669
    Any hurricane trackers out there doing crazy live feeds?
     
  17. Xerobull

    Xerobull ...and I'm all out of bubblegum
    Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Jun 18, 2003
    Messages:
    36,847
    Likes Received:
    35,707
    Here you go:



     
    Andre0087, Buck Turgidson and ElPigto like this.
  18. Xenon

    Xenon Member

    Joined:
    May 28, 2002
    Messages:
    2,404
    Likes Received:
    757
    More cams.



    This guy is going to get himself killed. Does not appear to be a professional. He is in Houma. Is having a bad uhh nose problem.

     
    ElPigto likes this.
  19. Buck Turgidson

    Joined:
    Feb 14, 2002
    Messages:
    100,482
    Likes Received:
    102,602
    Grand Isle police chief said the winds were clocked at 148 before the gauge broke
     
    Andre0087 likes this.
  20. B-Bob

    B-Bob "94-year-old self-described dreamer"
    Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Jul 26, 2002
    Messages:
    35,977
    Likes Received:
    36,811
    Just a huge EF-3 tornado at that point.
     
    Buck Turgidson and Andre0087 like this.

Share This Page