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2021 Astros Minor League Thread

Discussion in 'Houston Astros' started by tellitlikeitis, Dec 7, 2020.

  1. No Worries

    No Worries Contributing Member

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    Will Leon be able to close if they need him?
     
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  2. prospecthugger

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    Brown and Endersby in High A stick out to me, though that could be due to the glut of arms in Fayetteville. It'll be interesting to see which arms stand out there. I've always had a soft spot in my heart for Marty Costes because the Astros drafted him twice. He's apparently got real power, and hasn't ever been bad, just hurt.
     
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  3. vince

    vince Member

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    Without many blue chip prospects, Astros need to keep finding the everyday MLP stalwarts. Many of the current young guys on Astros that are having positive impacts weren’t even highly thought of prospects.

    Shoot, when Altuve was called up way back, had he ever even been ranked in the top 10 Astros prospects on any list? Back then all the hype was for Delino DeShields. I for one though Altuve was going to be a one season place holder until DeShields came up... Geesh was I wrong.
     
  4. Snake Diggit

    Snake Diggit Member

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    I saw that Marty Costes’ brother Maxwell Costes is expected to be drafted pretty high. From the interview of Marty on the Fayetteville podcast he seems like a high character prospect so I wouldn’t mind them drafting his brother.
     
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  5. J.R.

    J.R. Contributing Member

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    #305 J.R., Apr 30, 2021
    Last edited: Apr 30, 2021
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  6. Snake Diggit

    Snake Diggit Member

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  7. Snake Diggit

    Snake Diggit Member

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    Rome's reply comment mentioned CJ Stubbs drew rave reviews in camp, which is a great sign. Notable they have Matijevic listed as an infielder. My guess for opening day lineups/rotations for each team:

    AAA:
    CF Siri
    SS De Goti
    3B Toro
    1B Jones
    RF De La Cruz
    DH Shaver
    LF Dawson
    2B Hinojosa
    C Stubbs
    Rotation: Ivey, Conine, Dubin, Hansen, Hartman

    AA:
    SS Leon
    3B Kessinger
    C Stubbs
    1B Gonzalez
    2B Matijevic
    RF Taylor
    DH Manea
    CF Adolph
    LF Costes
    Rotation: Brown, Donato, Daniels, Mushinski, France

    High A:
    CF Barber
    SS Nova
    RF McKenna
    C Lee
    DH Abreu
    1B Schreiber
    LF Rodriguez
    2B Santana
    3B Valdez
    Rotation: Brown, Rivera, Henley, Ruppenthal, Lopez

    A:
    CF Daniels
    SS Whitcomb
    RF Barefoot
    DH Dirden
    3B Perez
    LF Corona
    C Berryhill
    1B Ramirez
    2B Correa
    Rotation: Macuare, Schroeder, Ramirez, Moclair, Melendez

    All the rotations under AAA will probably vary throughout the season.
     
    #307 Snake Diggit, Apr 30, 2021
    Last edited: Apr 30, 2021
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  8. J.R.

    J.R. Contributing Member

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  9. Snake Diggit

    Snake Diggit Member

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    F@@k!
     
  10. TWS1986

    TWS1986 SPX '05, UH' 19
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    Damn that's a long time.
     
  11. Buck Turgidson

    Buck Turgidson Mineshaft Enthusiast

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    May, June, July

    Then he's got the Fall and Winter leagues to tune up if needed, and he'll be ready for something next Spring.

    He's only 21
     
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  12. Snake Diggit

    Snake Diggit Member

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    Went through an exercise tryin to gauge the odds of Houston having an internal option to replace Correa and/or Straw next season. I figure the odds of any player at High A or lower being mlb ready by opening day next season are essentially zero, so I only evaluated guys assigned to AA or higher. Here’s how I grouped their individual odds of being ready to be an everyday mlb player next season:

    ~1% each (guys who can’t hit or play CF/SS): Garrett Stubbs, Lorenzo Quintana, Mike Papierski, Colton Shaver, Scott Manea, Chandler Taylor. These guys can’t play CF or SS, and their bats don’t profile as having any realistic chance of being good enough this season to warrant an everyday mlb job next year, either in Houston or as a major trade chip.

    ~1% each (guys who can play CF/SS but probably can’t hit): Mike Wielansky, Miguelangel Sierra, David Hensley, Marty Costes, Corey Julks. These guys can play CF or SS but their bats are very unlikely to take the step necessary to warrant a full time big league role by next season.

    ~1% each (guys who might be able to hit but can’t play CF/SS): Norel Gonzalez, JJ Matijevic, CJ Stubbs, Jake Adams. These are AA bats with upside, but with major question marks and defensive limitations. This is where I will mention that it’s possible a bat emerges (like Gonzalez) who can play 1B and hit well enough to warrant moving Gurriel back to 3B and Bregman to SS next season.

    ~5% each (guys who can play CF/SS and might be able to hit, but it’s a long shot): Ross Adolph, Grae Kessinger, CJ Hinojosa, Alex De Goti, Jake Meyers, Jose Siri, Ronnie Dawson. These guys can play CF or SS but would have to take an unexpected leap forward to warrant replacing Straw or Correa. Unexpected, but plausible.

    ~5% each (guys whose bats might be good enough to make room for, or be used in trade): Taylor Jones, Bryan De La Cruz. These guys have significant offensive upside, but would have to hit so well that Houston would be convinced to move Gurriel back to 3B and Bregman back to SS. Although it is also possible that Jones could show well enough to play 3B and De La Cruz could be tried in CF. Unlikely, but possible.

    ~10% each: Abraham Toro, Jeremy Pena. Toro is a good prospect with the upside of an everyday major league 3B. A great season from him would warrant moving Bregman over to SS. But the odds of Toro taking that step forward aren’t that great. Pena was poised to be the SS of the future before breaking his wrist. Had that injury not occurred he would be in the tier with Leon. But now the odds of him coming back in July/August and playing well enough to convince Click to make him the starting SS in Houston are pretty long.

    ~20%: Pedro Leon. Leon has the offensive ceiling and defensive skill set to replace either Correa or Straw. But he hasn’t played consistently and has never faced competition like he will this season. A good season likely pencils him in the Astros lineup next year. I’ve pegged the odds of that as around 1 in 5.

    All totaled up that adds up to ~100% so if I were placing bets on whether a player in Houstons upper minors is in the Astros everyday lineup early next season, I would take that bet.
     
    #312 Snake Diggit, May 1, 2021
    Last edited: May 1, 2021
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  13. Snake Diggit

    Snake Diggit Member

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    Abreu graduated and MLB.com added CJ Stubbs to their Top 30. Stubbs has a big opportunity this season. Success in AA will give his stock a huge boost especially if he shows he can stick at catcher. They rate him with 45 power but I think he is more of a 50 with potential for 55. I also think he could be a 45 speed rather than 40. 45 hit, 55 power, 55 arm, 50 glove would make him a pretty good catching prospect.
     
  14. Joe Joe

    Joe Joe Go Stros!
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  15. prospecthugger

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    The Corpus assignment seemed so aggressive I kind of assumed he was sent there to sink or swim until Lee or Perry was ready for AA. It sounds like the Astros are really excited for him. He essentially played 1 season at Catcher before being drafted, so if he performs at AA, it will answer a lot of questions about his profile.
     
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  16. Snake Diggit

    Snake Diggit Member

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    Looks like RHP Lupe Chavez retired. He was acquired for Scott Feldman a few years ago and had gotten some notice, but had an odd family situation in Mexico that threw his career into turmoil, and it looks like he is now done for good.

    https://www.milb.com/player/lupe-chavez-660826

    Perusing the GCL/DSL rosters (which I don't think have been updated as there are quite a few DSL guys who have been confirmed as being in the states), here are the guys not on any roster but still show as in "Houston Astros Organization" on milb.com; it's pretty safe to assume they are all injured, although some may have been released without it being announced:

    C: Nathan Perry, Cesar Salazar
    IF: Jake Adams, Jeremy Pena, Deury Carrasco, Zach Biermann, Bryan Arias, Cody Orr
    OF: Carlos Machado, Jordan Brewer, Luis Guerrero
    P: Forrest Whitley, Carson LaRue, Cody Deason, Jairo SOlis, Valente Bellozo, Garrett Gayle, Ryan Gusto, Jairo Lopez, Leovanny Rodriguez, Carmen Benedetti, Shea Barry, Derek West, Peyton Plumlee, Elian Rodriguez, Kevin Dickey, Jervic Chavez

    There are also a bunch of prospects who were confirmed to have signed with Houston that do not show up anywhere in milb.com. These are almost all recent DSL signees whose profiles just haven't been created yet, although Kyle Gruller was a UDFA that once appeared on Corpus' roster, so not sure what happened to him: Juan Santander, Narbe Cruz, Fernando Caldera, Christopher Morales, Richi Gonzalez, Everett Cooper, Luis Perez, Elvis Garcia, Luis Encarnacion, Josue Payano, Denfry De La Cruz, Danyuri Guzman, Eurys Martich, Richel del Rosario, Yamal Encarnacion, Kyle Gruller

    Also, there are 4 prospects who were recently added to the DSL roster that I had not seen anything on before, all pitchers: Jose Andujar, Carlos Hiraldo, Cesar Rojas, Alimber Santa. A quick google search didn't turn up anything of note.

    I believe the GCL/DSL games will start up in June, but a quick search didn't come up with anything concrete.
     
  17. Snake Diggit

    Snake Diggit Member

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  18. Snake Diggit

    Snake Diggit Member

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    Former Astros draftees (2011 to present) active in other systems:

    Springer (1, 2011): Jays MLB
    Adrian Houser (2, 2011): Brewers MLB
    Nick Tropeano (5 ,2011): Giants AAA

    Rio Ruiz (4 ,2012): Orioles MLB
    Brett Phillips (6, 2012): Rays MLB

    Mark Appel (1, 2013): Phillies MLB
    Tony Kemp (5, 2013): A's MLB
    Jake Nottingham (6 ,2013): Brewers MLB
    Jason Martin (8, 2013): Rangers AAA
    Daniel Pinero* (20, 2013): Tigers AAA
    Tyler White (33, 2013): Jays AAA

    Brady Aiken* (1, 2014): Indians AAA
    Derek Fisher (1, 2014): Brewers MLB
    JD Davis (3 ,2014): Mets MLB
    Jacob Nix* (5, 2014): Paders AA
    Jamie Ritchie (13, 2014): Snakes AAA
    Nick Tanielu (14, 2014): Padres AAA
    Ramon Laureano (16, 2014): A's MLB
    Mac Marshall* (21, 2014): Giants AA
    Ryan Thompson (23, 2014): Rays MLB

    Daz Cameron (1, 2015): Tigers AAA
    Tom Eshelman (2, 2015): Orioles AAA
    Trent Thornton (5, 2015): Jays MLB
    Patrick Sandoval (11, 2015): Angels MLB
    Drew Ferguson (19, 2015): Mets AAA
    Cole Sands* (22, 2015): Twins AA
    Kody Clemens* (35, 2015): Tigers AAA
    Luken Baker* (37, 2015): Cards AA

    Jake Rogers (3 ,2016): Tigers AAA
    Tyler Buffett* (7, 2016): Reds Restricted
    Brian Howard* (17, 2016): A's AAA
    Chuckie Robinson (21, 2016): Reds AAA
    Darius Vines* (32, 2016): Braves Rk

    JB Bukauskas (1, 2017): Snakes MLB
    Corbin Martin (2, 2017): Snakes AAA
    Josh Rojas (26, 2017): Snakes MLB
    Cody Bohanek (30, 2017): Mets High A
    Josh Breaux* (36, 2017): Yankees High A
    Trey Cumbie* (38, 2017): Rays Rk

    Seth Beer (1, 2018): Snakes MLB
    Dalton Roach* (21, 2018): Cards AA
    Lyle Lin* (29, 2018): Snakes A
    Ben Gross* (34, 2018): Twins High A

    Peyton Battenfield (9, 2019): Rays High A

    *never signed with Astros.
     
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  19. J.R.

    J.R. Contributing Member

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  20. snowconeman22

    snowconeman22 Member

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    I like your conclusion . But I think you gave yourself a bit of a hidden out with the “everyday lineup” when most of the post is about SS/CF . You do grant the possibility of Bregman moving to SS and one of the minor leaguers taking 3rd. You even said something about Yuli .

    what do you think of the possibility of Tucker moving to CF . And a young guy coming up and playing right ?

    Tucker is just an overall tricky player to evaluate . Sometimes he Actually looks like Ted and makes great catches and sometimes he Looks like a minor leaguer (both offensively and defensively )

    I really got sold on him last year . I hope that wasn’t the peak lol . To me , he might have the highest position player upside on the roster .
     
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