2019-2020 NBA Elo Ratings for the remaining playoff teams

I researched this web page belongs to ESPN but somehow the Mainstream ESPN use BPI while 538 uses their own.

 

No that's not ELO - that was the player metric, you have to click on the ELO radio button

 

Strengthwise Clippers.

Chemistrywise Lakers.

 

No there is a radio button above that lets you toggle between RAPTOR and ELO - you were looking at RAPTOR. ELO shows us only having a 33% chance of advancing against the Lakers.

 

33% chance of advancing past the Lakers sounds about right when u consider they’re a good team that will be heavily favored by league officials and the refs

also, we were definitely much better than OKC...that was a 5 game series that got stretched to 7 because of team mistakes and stupidity

no matter how bad we played in that series and how well OKC played, they could never get much separation from us...that should tell u all u need to know

play that series 10 times, and the majority of them would’ve ended with Rockets in 5 or 6 at the most

 

ELO is an old formula used to match chess players of similar skill against each other. Formula is pretty standard - wins result in higher ELO, losses result in lower ELO, adjusted by opponent strength.

Team ELO is a good indicator of how a team is performing in aggregate, but not necessarily accounting for trends over time (e.g. weighting more recent play)

Player ELO is more an indicator of individual parts, but not necessarily how they are fitting together

We measure really well by player ELO and less well by team ELO, but that also includes our somewhat inconsistent regular season play

 

ELO is a historical marker - the fact that the Lakers have a much better record weighs a lot into it which isn't necessarily accurate.

 

This is why I predicted Rockets vs. Celtics in Finals.

Clippers, not Lakers, are the real challenge.