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[2015] Are we actually good this year?

Discussion in 'Houston Astros' started by Butterfingers, Apr 30, 2015.

  1. Buck Turgidson

    Buck Turgidson Mineshaft Enthusiast

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    Stros are 11-2 on the road and 8-8 at home.

    Home/Road Splits

    PA: 549 Home, 518 Road
    BA/OBP/SLG/OPS: H .201/.279/.378/.657, R .278/.348/.487/.835
    BABiP: .234/.326
    K/BB, K-to-BB ratio: 144/53, 2.72; 113/46, 2.46
    2B/3B/HR: 19/1/22; 32/2/20
    RISP: Can't find splits for this, would be *very* interesting
    GIDP: 13/7
    R/G: 3.19; 6.58

    H/R Starts: Keuchel 3/3, McHugh 2/4, Feldman 5/1, Hernandez 2/3, Deduno 2/0, Peacock 1/0, Wojo 1/2
    *So 5 of 16 home games have been started by K&Mc, vs 7 of 13 road games

    IP: 145/113
    ERA: 3.79/3.11
    WHIP: 1.117/1.071 (I was surprised at this)
    BA/OBP/SLG/OPS: .243/.285/.441/.726, .211/.275/.302/.577
    BABiP: .279/.253
    K/BB, SOperBB: 132/32, 4.13 ; 84/33, 2.55
    2B/3B/HR: 26/7/22, 20/3/4
    GIDP: 16/3 (huh)

    Also of note:

    In their 10 losses they've scored 14 runs

    RISP/RBI: Springer 3-22/7 RBI, Valbuena 2-22/3, Carter 3-20/3, Gattis 5-24/14, Castro 1-21/3
     
  2. tellitlikeitis

    tellitlikeitis Canceled
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    <blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p lang="es" dir="ltr">Cover boy Jose Altuve <a href="http://t.co/uDY1SDaWHH">pic.twitter.com/uDY1SDaWHH</a></p>&mdash; Bill Brown (@BrownieTw) <a href="https://twitter.com/BrownieTw/status/598867783489687552">May 14, 2015</a></blockquote>
    <script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
     
  3. Joe Joe

    Joe Joe Go Stros!
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    http://www.hardballtimes.com/the-meaning-of-a-teams-record-in-mid-may/

    It’s too early to know what will happen the rest of the way; as they say, that’s why they play the games. But after 40 or so games, there’s enough information for a pretty accurate cull. There will be a group of teams that has almost no chance of a sniffing October, and there will be a group of teams that are likely to be relevant all year.
     
  4. koldlaser

    koldlaser Member

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    I want to get back to watching the Astros and baseball again but man, everytime I looked at the box score there are hitters from top to bottom (accept Altuve) who is batting around 200. I don't know how they pulling it off. I just need one Bagwell type phenom to get me going into this game again.
     
  5. boozle222

    boozle222 Contributing Member

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    Wat.

    We have power galore and close games with good pitching. I agree, a HOFer would be great, but we have a hell of a product...
     
  6. Baseballa

    Baseballa Member

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    Altuve, Springer, and soon to be Correa all have potential to be the best players the organization has seen since Bagwell/Biggio.

    Or ever, in Correa's case.
     
  7. koldlaser

    koldlaser Member

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    I understand they getting good pitching and timely hitting. But the low batting average has me skeptical and they almost last in the majors. Are they hitting a lot of line drives out or getting good wood on some of this out? Are the pitcher they facing making good overall pitches but our batters are discipline and patient enough to catch that few mistake over the plate? If they were somewhere in the 250's then maybe there's something special going on here.
     
  8. Nick

    Nick Contributing Member

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    Everybody is overlooking their speed... that is the #1 reason the offense does what it does.

    More pressure on the base paths = more pressure on the pitchers = more mistakes = more HR's.

    The batting averages, RISP #'s, and overall lineup construction tends to even out in the long run... but with speed and subsequent power, this team will be dangerous.
     
  9. sealclubber1016

    Supporting Member

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    I'm assuming you're also a Rockets fan. You don't really pay attention to the overall FG%, because we take so many 3's and get so many FT's, the TS% is the real number you look at.

    The Astros are built in a similar model. We get a lot of walks, and hit a lot of home runs, a low batting average is something we are willing to accept. Now a batting average down under .200 is obviously too low even for us, but guys like Carter, Springer, Valbuena, Gattis, and Rasmus could all have good years with an average under .240, as weird as that may sound

    Among the standard statistics, OPS is the number you should be more concerned with. League average is about .705, and all of our starters except Gattis, Carter and Marwin are above league average. On top of that, our peripheral stats suggest we have hit into some tough luck.
     
  10. Zacatecas

    Zacatecas Member

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    Springer is starting to hit his stride!!!!

    I would assume that the game is starting to slow down for him. His OPS is nearing .800 as it sits at .796 as of 5/27/2015.

    His strike out rate is down from last year. And he currently is 4th in walks in the AL for 2015. The home-runs are down, but with his base stealing ability, I like him on the bases keeping the pitchers off balance with a potential steal situation.

    After all the hype of Springer getting to the show, it seems the excitement has simmered. But Springer is starting to make his move, and I think he's going to show the all-star ability pretty soon. This team is going to need Springer to be that special talent we were all hoping for when he was in the minors, and if so the Astros will maintain their momentum going forward.
     
  11. Hey Now!

    Hey Now! Contributing Member

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    It hasn't simmered; he got hurt and was shut down last year. And then he missed another week with a concussion, which came on the heels of a slower-than-expected start (offensively; the guy has been amazing in the field).

    But most of us paying attention last year have already bought stock in Springer; he's terrific.
     
  12. Zacatecas

    Zacatecas Member

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    Don't get me wrong here. I'm very excited about Springer's future. But I get the feeling people aren't as bullish on Springer. Especially after the Wallace, Villar, Krauss, Grossman, Hoe's, etc....... Astros have gotten more than fair dosage of AAAA players, and now a lot of people seem stunted by such disappointment after such high expectations.

    But, from reading message boards and scanning through articles about the Astros, very little is mentioned about Springer. He was off to a slow start, but even then not much beyond his defensive prowess.

    After being touted as a 5 tool player in his minor league career, I read in several places that there is doubt he can hit for average, hence being downgraded to a 4 tool type. The Power, Speed, Defense, Throwing are still there, but it seems that the prospect of not hitting for average coupled with the very high strike outs have dropped him a notch.

    My point is that people need to get more excited about Springer. He's about to start doing real well. In 62 AB's in May he has a .971 OPS..... Not too shabby...


    G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS AVG OBP SLG OPS

    April
    22 85 11 17 5 0 3 11 13 31 8 1 .200 .300 .365 .665

    May
    19 62 11 17 5 0 4 6 16 19 3 0 .274 .423 .548 .971
     
  13. boozle222

    boozle222 Contributing Member

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    Walks up and K's down over the past month? Yes please.
     
  14. kaleidosky

    kaleidosky Your Tweety Bird dance just cost us a run

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    At least for me, I'm not mentioning Springer because I have absolutely zero worry about him. I have super high expectations, and little doubt he'll reach them despite the start. So the excitement remains--I'm just so confident that I don't need to post about him. There are only so many "low BABIP" posts that can go around :)
     
  15. boozle222

    boozle222 Contributing Member

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    It is actually back up to .293. His .647 BAbip for the past 7 games has helped alleviate that concern. His 2014 BAbip was .294 for comparison.
     
  16. kaleidosky

    kaleidosky Your Tweety Bird dance just cost us a run

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    nice. And no coincidence his average is around where it was last year too. With this average and the high OBP this year, we're already in good shape. If he can bring his power up a little more to last year's levels, I'll be super happy. Then the hits/BABIP can continue to climb in future seasons, hopefully approaching his minor league levels
     
  17. rocketpower2

    rocketpower2 Member

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    His .647 BABIP is due to him hitting the crap out of the ball recently. Even has hit a few ropes that have been straight to corner OFs.
     
  18. rocketpower2

    rocketpower2 Member

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    Harris changing eye levels has been the key to his success

    [​IMG]
     
    1 person likes this.
  19. No Worries

    No Worries Contributing Member

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    Harris got Strom-ed.
     
  20. Joe Joe

    Joe Joe Go Stros!
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    Harris is obviously having his best year to date, but I'm still don't understand why he was let go by DBacks. He finished last year with 16 appearances without giving up a run and put up good peripheral stats over the last couple of seasons.
     

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