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I am sorry for taking so long to post this. Quite frankly, I was rather depressed after the loss to the Mavericks and it has taken me a few days...
If Houston and SA lose, but Portland wins, we are 4th and win the division.
I am planning to do something similar for the playoffs. I don't expect it to be as "accurate" because I don't have as much data to condition off...
You can see the numbers directly in the total number of wins for each team. The model gives Houston a 47% of winning, Portland a 66% chance of...
By the way, I just checked Hollinger's playoff odds and his is wacky. It has the Lakers and Utah out of the playoffs! Also, Basketball...
Latest NBA results used: Apr 14 Western Conference Average Wins Team Wins ==== ==== Lakers 65.0 Nuggets 54.3...
Here's a quick addendum to the results from last night. The first three columns are whether or not the team wins. The fourth column is the...
Latest NBA results used: Apr 13 Western Conference Average Wins Team Wins ==== ==== Lakers 64.8 Nuggets 54.3...
The simulator currently does not look at active roster; it is rather difficult to get the data in a machine readable format for the next game and...
Latest NBA results used: Apr 12 Western Conference Average Wins Team Wins ==== ==== Lakers 64.8 Nuggets 54.3...
Latest NBA results used: Apr 11 Western Conference Average Wins Team Wins ==== ==== Lakers 64.7 Nuggets 54.3...
Latest NBA results used: Apr 10 Western Conference Average Wins Team Wins ==== ==== Lakers 64.7 Nuggets 54.3...
Latest NBA results used: Apr 9 Western Conference Average Wins Team Wins ==== ==== Lakers 65.2 Nuggets 54.3...
Latest NBA results used: Apr 8 Western Conference Average Wins Team Wins ==== ==== Lakers 64.9 Nuggets 54.5...
It is actually about 15% (look at the last table). The events are dependent so you can't just multiply the probabilities and sum.
Latest NBA results used: Apr 7 Western Conference Average Wins Team Wins ==== ==== Lakers 64.9 Nuggets 54.4 Spurs...
I really hate to do this, but I can't let this one go. Thank you. It was a lot of fun writing this program. Point 1 of the argument: The...
I'm on vacation right now so I don't have a lot of time; otherwise the better half will killl me! I'll try to answer that in more detail later....
Latest NBA results used: Apr 5 Western Conference Average Wins Team Wins ==== ==== Lakers 64.8 Nuggets 54.4 Spurs...
If we beat the Blazers, our numbers look like this (ignoring other results): Western Conference Placement (Percent) Team 1st 2nd...
