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Latest NBA results used: Apr 4 Western Conference Average Wins Team Wins ==== ==== Lakers 64.7 Nuggets 54.1 Spurs...
Then Hollinger and Basketball Reference are both flawed too. All three simulators have Portland as the second favorite coming out of the West....
Fixed Results Latest NBA results used: Apr 3 Western Conference Average Wins Team Wins ==== ==== Lakers 64.7...
Dang it, I found a bug in my playoff code. I had the winner of the 1-8 play the winner of the 2-7 instead of the winner of the 4-5. I'm...
Latest NBA results used: Apr 3 Western Conference Average Wins Team Wins ==== ==== Lakers 64.7 Nuggets 53.9 Spurs...
Latest NBA results used: Apr 2 Western Conference Average Wins Team Wins ==== ==== Lakers 64.5 Nuggets 53.9 Spurs...
Latest NBA results used: Apr 1 Western Conference Average Wins Team Wins ==== ==== Lakers 64.5 Nuggets 53.6 Spurs...
I start by getting an updated download the game results. Lately, I've been updating these manually, but I won't always have the time to do that....
Latest NBA results used: Mar 31 Western Conference Average Wins Team Wins ==== ==== Lakers 64.2 Nuggets 53.6...
I just checked; my simulator matches Hollinger's exactly in terms of the estimated number of wins for the Western Conference contenders.
There is no way that there is a 50% chance of Scenario 1. By my simulation, the Rockets have only about a 30% of getting exactly the 4th seed let...
In my simulation, I get the following: Rockets 4th and Utah 5th occurs 9.3% of the time Rockets 3rd and Utah 6th occurs 4.0% of the time....
As of tonight, I estimate that we have a 23.1% chance of meeting the Jazz in the first round based on the results of my simulator. See...
I've incorporated some of the suggestions you guys have made. The results are pretty close to Hollingers although I think he weights recent games...
Those are just if we have home court advantage.
The next version will have those.
I used a formula based on relative strength of teams and home court advantage. It is usually within a couple of percent of the one found on...
I've been lurking for a little while here and wanted to contribute, so I wrote a simulator for the rest of the season of the NBA. I wanted to...
This is a huge game. Let's hope the Rockets can get this one.
Thank you for the article. I am hopeful that White can contribute. I was hoping for a big, but maybe we just went for the best available player.
