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Unfortunately, the NAM is not a dynamic model, so it isn't worth watching. The major models to pay attention to are the GFDL, HWRF, GFS, UKMET,...
Like I said, it depends on if you are in a surge or flood zone. If you are in the evacuation zone, you need to leave. If not and you are outside...
Morning all. Ike is a weird storm. It saw a rapid intensification phase yesterday in terms of pressure dropping into the 940's, but the wind...
That's really not true. There were thousands of homes with major flood damage and damage from flying debris and tornadoes. Most of the...
It doesn't. The map you see from Weather Underground shows it making landfall as a cat 3 and going down to a TS less than 24 hours after landfall.
You definitely don't need to leave, but boarding up the south and east sides of your house is never a bad idea for a large hurricane. If your...
Here's an animated forecast verification from Weather Underground. http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at200517.asp?feature=verification...
Go to the front page of the Chron. They have a link to one of SciGuy's blog posts about who should evacuate and who shouldn't. Being in Clear...
According to the NHC update, right now, there is an equal chance of this storm hitting anywhere from Corpus to the Texas/Louisiana border. My...
Interestingly enough, Rita was actually FURTHER south and closer to land than Ike and it still made it all the way to Louisiana. Weather patterns...
It's just too early to tell, but it sure is eerie. The way it is going, I wouldn't bet against a landfall east of Galveston.
Look at these two tracks: Rita - 2005 [img] Ike - 2008 [img] I mean, how much closer can you get???
No doubt even though the NHC said in its latest discussion that it thinks that we are starting to see the WNW movement that has been predicted....
Then you haven't watched many hurricane forecasts. You can look at the link I posted earlier that shows all the forecasts for Rita from the time...
I'm just saying it's interesting and not necessarily a coincidence given the fact that steering currents are remarkably similar to 2005.
I read in Masters' blog a couple days ago that conditions are very similar in terms of upper level steering patters. Obviously, the timing of the...
By the way, here is the Rita Graphics Archive that shows all the forecast tracks. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2005/RITA_graphics.shtml
Upper level steering patterns in 2005 are nearly identical to 2008. The high pressure system sitting over the east coast is a common pattern...
The general rule is: Anyone in storm surge zones Anyone in low lying areas prone to flooding After that, north/west of 59 is generally...
Looking back at the historical track for Rita is interesting. Ike is in basically the EXACT same location as Rita was three days prior to...
