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The 2020 Baseball Season - Things to Come

Discussion in 'Houston Astros' started by jim1961, Jul 19, 2020.

  1. jim1961

    jim1961 Member

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    Perhaps. But it illustrates an out of the box approach making predicting what they might do in any given situation in the future more difficult. No, its not the next step back 3 pointer, but to me, this aspect of their team makes them just a hair more dangerous.
     
  2. Nick

    Nick Contributing Member

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    Start Framber every game
     
  3. jim1961

    jim1961 Member

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    I foresee some implementation issues with that strategy. :)
     
  4. jim1961

    jim1961 Member

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    If the playoffs were held today, the Astros would make the playoffs virtue being a second place team. But we would have the worst record of any other AL team making the playoffs, including the wildcards (NYY 26-21, Indians 26-21). Which means, if we fall to 3rd place we have to catch one of NYY or the Indians (I dont know the tiebreaker rules). 3 back with 13 to play isn't insurmountable, but with the way we have been playing...

    Houston presently is 1.5 games ahead of Seattle for 2nd place in the division. If Houston stays cold and Seattle is even warm, we miss the playoffs. That simple.
     
    #424 jim1961, Sep 14, 2020
    Last edited: Sep 14, 2020
  5. Joe Joe

    Joe Joe Go Stros!
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    So what you are saying is that the Astros chances to make the playoffs are still about 95%....which is significantly better than when Rosenthal wrote his piece suggesting the Astros were sellers at the deadline.

    in other words....Astros chances to win the World Series are about the same as the Astros chances of missing the playoffs.
     
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  6. jim1961

    jim1961 Member

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    NO, I didn't say that. You and others can put a number to it if you like, but which team plays better over the next 13 is going and the other team is not.

    edit: Seattle does have the tougher schedule. We play them 3 more times. If its close at that point, things could get decided that series.
     
    #426 jim1961, Sep 14, 2020
    Last edited: Sep 14, 2020
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  7. RayRay10

    RayRay10 Houstonian
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    You have a good point, it could happen. One thing that favors the Astros is the remaining schedule:
    -Astros: 7 vs Texas (17-30), 3 vs Arizona (17-31), 3 vs Seattle (21-25)
    -Mariners: 6 vs Oakland (29-17), 3 vs San Diego (31-17), 2 vs San Francisco (23-24), 3 vs Houston (23-24)
     
  8. Joe Joe

    Joe Joe Go Stros!
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    Did you say this "Houston presently is 1.5 games ahead of Seattle for 2nd place in the division."? If so, that is the same as saying, the Astros chances to make the playoffs are still about 95%. I was merely translating pessimist to publicly available odds.
     
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  9. jim1961

    jim1961 Member

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    I am looking forward to the finishing weeks. The last few games haven't mattered since 2016, given we handily were winning our division the last 3 years.

    Yea, I noted the schedule after I posted. I added an edit.

    I do favor us to win out, especially after schedule checking, but its still a race. The A's could falter a bit. They really dont need to scrap for wins to win the division. They are without Chapman. Meanwhile, Seattle has a fighting chance.

    But our team. I just dont know. I would like to think they are poised for a win streak. But I haven't seen much lately to back that up. Its pretty much pure hope. I dont think they fall in the toilet either though. So my best guess is we go 7-6 the rest of the way. Seattle, having 14 games left would have to go 10-4 to better our record, 9-5 to tie it. Unlikely, but not impossible, especially if we lose more than I predicted.
     
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  10. RayRay10

    RayRay10 Houstonian
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    I was looking though the schedule and wanted to know how the Astros have done in California this year...4-18. We're 19-6 when not playing in California.

    Good news: No more games in California during the regular season

    Bad news: AL playoffs are in California
     
  11. Joe Joe

    Joe Joe Go Stros!
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    I think Astros were 1st or second in travel. The Astros record in California is likely a combo of great teams in California plus air travel
     
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  12. RayRay10

    RayRay10 Houstonian
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    2nd to Texas...over 2000 more than Seattle:

    https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/visuals/map
     
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  13. htwnbandit

    htwnbandit Member

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    Man that California record is abysmal...
     
  14. Joe Joe

    Joe Joe Go Stros!
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    I know NBA has been pleasantly surprised with how great their players are with no air travel. Hopefully, this will drive expansion to make more sense geographically.
     
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  15. TWS1986

    TWS1986 SPX '05
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    Good news: WS is on lock my man ;). We'll just build a dome to play in with plenty of air filters.
     
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  16. Joe Joe

    Joe Joe Go Stros!
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    We could just get the players to wear masks the same way they would if we were in a pandemic.
     
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  17. J.R.

    J.R. Contributing Member

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  18. J.R.

    J.R. Contributing Member

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    "If approved, Cohen would be the wealthiest owner in baseball with a net worth of $14.5 billion."

     
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  19. TWS1986

    TWS1986 SPX '05
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  20. marks0223

    marks0223 Astros STILL 2017 Champions
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    A's blew a 5-0 lead to Seattle in game 1 of their double header. Seattle is within 1 game.
     
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