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Are the Astros going to the world series?

Discussion in 'Houston Astros' started by Air Langhi, Sep 30, 2020.

?

Are we getting to ws?

  1. Yes

    60 vote(s)
    60.6%
  2. NO

    39 vote(s)
    39.4%
  1. Tomstro

    Tomstro Member

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    i disagree. Easy to sit back and call out people after the fact. Im very happy with the way Carlos is playing. Glad things are working out. You, however, need a life. Going back pages to fish out a post made before the series started just to throw it back at someone. I stand by what I said, and glad it didn’t hurt his play or the team.

    btw, i will continue to post stuff like that so just put me on ignore if it really does bother you, which Im sure it doesn’t.
     
  2. Joe Joe

    Joe Joe Go Stros!
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    Edit. Memory was incorrect.

    On the FanGraphs article
    Without seeing the data from that article, it is hard to judge. The problem with that type of test is noise. I'd like to see if the test had sufficient samples to detect a statistical difference. Given variability in runs scored per 9, I doubt the test has the power with only 1300 data points to detect a difference.
     
    #102 Joe Joe, Oct 9, 2020
    Last edited: Oct 9, 2020
    RayRay10 likes this.
  3. Joe Joe

    Joe Joe Go Stros!
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    https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-good-news-about-corey-kluber-on-short-rest/

    From this article, it makes it look like short rest has about a 8 percent decrease in quality. Though, small sample size warning.

    Older article.
    https://blogs.fangraphs.com/giving-a-questionable-start-to-baseballs-best-starter/
    Short-rest group: 4.66 ERA, 5.13 RA
    Other group: 3.99 ERA, 4.30 RA

    Both these probably have not had statistical significance test done on them. Short rest group is probably too small to detect a difference with any high confidence.
     
    #103 Joe Joe, Oct 9, 2020
    Last edited: Oct 9, 2020
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  4. Nick

    Nick Contributing Member

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    There are examples on both sides of the spectrum. JV awful last year in game 4 of the ALDS but that Rays team could put runs on anybody in a similar fashion (also JV wasn't as good throughout the rest of the post-season on full rest, and likely had some fatigue set in from the long season).

    Then there are performances like Josh Beckett in game 6 to beat the Yankees with a complete game on 3 days rest.

    Since Cole has never done it, it remains to be seen how his arm will fare.
     
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  5. YOLO

    YOLO Member

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    There's reasons and examples for both sides sure as with anything else. Just saying, I still believe short rest is real. There's enough to tell us it is. All we can do is take into context everything given the situation and go from there.
     
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  6. marks0223

    marks0223 Astros STILL 2017 Champions
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    The Astros are following the Rockets 1995 championship formula perfectly so far. From the 6th seed the Rockets had to go though the top 3 seeds in the West and then the #1 seed in the East. Astros have eliminated the 3rd and 2nd seeds and now face the #1 seed and if they advance would most likely face the NL's #1 seed. Don't ever underestimate the heart of a champion.
     
  7. Poloshirtbandit

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    But they didn't face Jordan.
     
  8. houseofglass21

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    Not the Rockets fault Jordan got eliminated by Orlando who we beat in the finals anyways.

    Orlando > Bulls
    Rockets > Orlando
    Therefore Rockets also > Bulls
     
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  9. mightybosstone

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    Anyone starting to feel like they actually might get there again? This team is playing even better baseball than they were in 2019 at this time, the bats are awake, they have just enough arms to win four games, and Dusty seems to be making all the right calls (Josh James excluded).

    I'm trying not to get my hopes up, but it really feels like this could happen.
     
  10. clos4life

    clos4life Contributing Member

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  11. rocketsjudoka

    rocketsjudoka Contributing Member

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    There's going to be plenty of asterisks on this season and plenty more if the Stros win it all. First people are going to say they did play infront of hostile fans. Then they will say it was a shortened season. Then it will be they never faced the Yankees..

    I'm convinced that the Stros will not get their due even if they sweep the next two series.
     
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  12. Poloshirtbandit

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    Agree. If the Yankees had won it would have been non-stop "28 RINGS!!!!!!"
     
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  13. TWS1986

    TWS1986 SPX '05
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    I'm sure hoping man. I hope they get there too.
     
  14. Mr.Scarface

    Mr.Scarface Member

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    It was a nice run to get here. Not going to beat the Rays.
     
  15. King1

    King1 Contributing Member

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    Why do you troll this sub forum? Honest question. It's a Sunday night at 10:30 and you're in here embarrassing yourself. Is your life this pathetic? I feel sorry for you
     
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  16. marks0223

    marks0223 Astros STILL 2017 Champions
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    Astros could be up 3 games to none in the World Series and have a 7-0 lead in the 9th inning of game 4 and you'd say the Astros would blow it if one runner got on base in the 9th.
     
    YOLO, King1, RustyHarden and 2 others like this.
  17. Mr.Scarface

    Mr.Scarface Member

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    Call it scare tissue from 40+ years of Houston Fandom.
     
    TWS1986 and Tomstro like this.
  18. Buck Turgidson

    Buck Turgidson Mineshaft Enthusiast

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    "scare tissue" is perfect. You've got that, apparently.
     
  19. Mr.Scarface

    Mr.Scarface Member

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    Yep...."Scare" Tissue is right. Not a typo.
     
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  20. TWS1986

    TWS1986 SPX '05
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    Lol why are you even here? Out you go.
     

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