1. Welcome! Please take a few seconds to create your free account to post threads, make some friends, remove a few ads while surfing and much more. ClutchFans has been bringing fans together to talk Houston Sports since 1996. Join us!

Are the Astros going to the world series?

Discussion in 'Houston Astros' started by Air Langhi, Sep 30, 2020.

?

Are we getting to ws?

  1. Yes

    60 vote(s)
    60.6%
  2. NO

    39 vote(s)
    39.4%
  1. Tomstro

    Tomstro Member

    Joined:
    Jun 30, 2016
    Messages:
    25,706
    Likes Received:
    22,766
    i disagree. Easy to sit back and call out people after the fact. Im very happy with the way Carlos is playing. Glad things are working out. You, however, need a life. Going back pages to fish out a post made before the series started just to throw it back at someone. I stand by what I said, and glad it didn’t hurt his play or the team.

    btw, i will continue to post stuff like that so just put me on ignore if it really does bother you, which Im sure it doesn’t.
     
  2. Joe Joe

    Joe Joe Go Stros!
    Supporting Member

    Joined:
    May 3, 1999
    Messages:
    26,305
    Likes Received:
    16,631
    Edit. Memory was incorrect.

    On the FanGraphs article
    Without seeing the data from that article, it is hard to judge. The problem with that type of test is noise. I'd like to see if the test had sufficient samples to detect a statistical difference. Given variability in runs scored per 9, I doubt the test has the power with only 1300 data points to detect a difference.
     
    #102 Joe Joe, Oct 9, 2020
    Last edited: Oct 9, 2020
    RayRay10 likes this.
  3. Joe Joe

    Joe Joe Go Stros!
    Supporting Member

    Joined:
    May 3, 1999
    Messages:
    26,305
    Likes Received:
    16,631
    https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-good-news-about-corey-kluber-on-short-rest/

    From this article, it makes it look like short rest has about a 8 percent decrease in quality. Though, small sample size warning.

    Older article.
    https://blogs.fangraphs.com/giving-a-questionable-start-to-baseballs-best-starter/
    Short-rest group: 4.66 ERA, 5.13 RA
    Other group: 3.99 ERA, 4.30 RA

    Both these probably have not had statistical significance test done on them. Short rest group is probably too small to detect a difference with any high confidence.
     
    #103 Joe Joe, Oct 9, 2020
    Last edited: Oct 9, 2020
    RustyHarden and RayRay10 like this.
  4. Nick

    Nick Member

    Joined:
    Feb 28, 1999
    Messages:
    50,791
    Likes Received:
    17,159
    There are examples on both sides of the spectrum. JV awful last year in game 4 of the ALDS but that Rays team could put runs on anybody in a similar fashion (also JV wasn't as good throughout the rest of the post-season on full rest, and likely had some fatigue set in from the long season).

    Then there are performances like Josh Beckett in game 6 to beat the Yankees with a complete game on 3 days rest.

    Since Cole has never done it, it remains to be seen how his arm will fare.
     
    RustyHarden and RayRay10 like this.
  5. YOLO

    YOLO Member

    Joined:
    Apr 16, 2012
    Messages:
    46,688
    Likes Received:
    44,892
    There's reasons and examples for both sides sure as with anything else. Just saying, I still believe short rest is real. There's enough to tell us it is. All we can do is take into context everything given the situation and go from there.
     
    RustyHarden and RayRay10 like this.
  6. marks0223

    marks0223 2017 and 2022 World Series Champions
    Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2007
    Messages:
    11,867
    Likes Received:
    17,411
    The Astros are following the Rockets 1995 championship formula perfectly so far. From the 6th seed the Rockets had to go though the top 3 seeds in the West and then the #1 seed in the East. Astros have eliminated the 3rd and 2nd seeds and now face the #1 seed and if they advance would most likely face the NL's #1 seed. Don't ever underestimate the heart of a champion.
     
  7. Poloshirtbandit

    Joined:
    May 30, 2003
    Messages:
    5,029
    Likes Received:
    1,104
    But they didn't face Jordan.
     
  8. houseofglass21

    Joined:
    May 11, 2009
    Messages:
    1,741
    Likes Received:
    165
    Not the Rockets fault Jordan got eliminated by Orlando who we beat in the finals anyways.

    Orlando > Bulls
    Rockets > Orlando
    Therefore Rockets also > Bulls
     
    RustyHarden and clos4life like this.
  9. mightybosstone

    Joined:
    Feb 19, 2014
    Messages:
    3,579
    Likes Received:
    6,143
    Anyone starting to feel like they actually might get there again? This team is playing even better baseball than they were in 2019 at this time, the bats are awake, they have just enough arms to win four games, and Dusty seems to be making all the right calls (Josh James excluded).

    I'm trying not to get my hopes up, but it really feels like this could happen.
     
  10. clos4life

    clos4life Member

    Joined:
    Dec 20, 2007
    Messages:
    12,396
    Likes Received:
    14,788
  11. rocketsjudoka

    rocketsjudoka Member

    Joined:
    Jul 24, 2007
    Messages:
    58,167
    Likes Received:
    48,333
    There's going to be plenty of asterisks on this season and plenty more if the Stros win it all. First people are going to say they did play infront of hostile fans. Then they will say it was a shortened season. Then it will be they never faced the Yankees..

    I'm convinced that the Stros will not get their due even if they sweep the next two series.
     
    TWS1986 and Poloshirtbandit like this.
  12. Poloshirtbandit

    Joined:
    May 30, 2003
    Messages:
    5,029
    Likes Received:
    1,104
    Agree. If the Yankees had won it would have been non-stop "28 RINGS!!!!!!"
     
    TWS1986 likes this.
  13. TWS1986

    TWS1986 SPX '05, UH' 19

    Joined:
    May 11, 2020
    Messages:
    4,061
    Likes Received:
    4,242
    I'm sure hoping man. I hope they get there too.
     
  14. Mr.Scarface

    Mr.Scarface Member

    Joined:
    Jul 8, 2003
    Messages:
    13,046
    Likes Received:
    8,347
    It was a nice run to get here. Not going to beat the Rays.
     
  15. King1

    King1 Member

    Joined:
    Feb 19, 2004
    Messages:
    13,275
    Likes Received:
    8,719
    Why do you troll this sub forum? Honest question. It's a Sunday night at 10:30 and you're in here embarrassing yourself. Is your life this pathetic? I feel sorry for you
     
    TWS1986, RustyHarden and marks0223 like this.
  16. marks0223

    marks0223 2017 and 2022 World Series Champions
    Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2007
    Messages:
    11,867
    Likes Received:
    17,411
    Astros could be up 3 games to none in the World Series and have a 7-0 lead in the 9th inning of game 4 and you'd say the Astros would blow it if one runner got on base in the 9th.
     
    YOLO, King1, RustyHarden and 2 others like this.
  17. Mr.Scarface

    Mr.Scarface Member

    Joined:
    Jul 8, 2003
    Messages:
    13,046
    Likes Received:
    8,347
    Call it scare tissue from 40+ years of Houston Fandom.
     
    TWS1986 and Tomstro like this.
  18. Buck Turgidson

    Joined:
    Feb 14, 2002
    Messages:
    100,256
    Likes Received:
    102,327
    "scare tissue" is perfect. You've got that, apparently.
     
  19. Mr.Scarface

    Mr.Scarface Member

    Joined:
    Jul 8, 2003
    Messages:
    13,046
    Likes Received:
    8,347
    Yep...."Scare" Tissue is right. Not a typo.
     
    RustyHarden and Buck Turgidson like this.
  20. TWS1986

    TWS1986 SPX '05, UH' 19

    Joined:
    May 11, 2020
    Messages:
    4,061
    Likes Received:
    4,242
    Lol why are you even here? Out you go.
     

Share This Page