LOL... Alabama republican voters had to choose between an ex-college football coach and the disgraced trump attorney general. And it appears staying home won...
The Gary Peters polls worry me. He should be way ahead, but everything from his name to his personality is as boring as can be. I wouldn't be surprised if that race is oddly closer than it should be.
The most recent polls are more than a week old but Greenfield (D) has a 49% - 47% lead over incumbent Ernst (R) in Iowa US Senate race. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/iowa/
So glad that fool Kathaleen Wall lost again. Her ads were so cringe-worthy you'd think they were parodies.
New from Cook Political Report... more details and analysis in the linked newsletter. House Rating Changes: 20 Races Move Towards Democrats President Trump's abysmal polling since the pandemic began is seriously jeopardizing down-ballot GOP fortunes. We may be approaching the point at which dozens of House Republicans will need to decide whether to cut the president loose and run on a "check and balance" message, offering voters insurance against congressional Democrats moving too far left under a potential Biden administration. Trump now trails Joe Biden by nine points in the FiveThirtyEight average, roughly matching Democrats' average lead on the generic congressional ballot and seven points larger than his 2016 popular vote deficit. But because there are plenty of solidly blue urban districts where Trump didn't have much room to fall in the first place, his decline is especially acute in swing suburban districts with lots of college graduates. Republicans began the cycle hoping to pick up 18 seats to win the majority back. Now they're just trying to avoid a repeat of 2008, when they not only lost the presidency but got swamped by Democrats' money and lost even more House seats after losing 30 seats and control two years earlier. For the first time this cycle, Democrats have at least as good a chance at gaining House seats as Republicans on a net basis. This week, we're shifting our ratings in 20 races, all reflecting movement towards Democrats. View our full ratings here. AZ-02: Ann Kirkpatrick (D) - Likely D to Solid D CA-04: Tom McClintock (R) - Solid R to Likely R CA-39: Gil Cisneros (D) - Lean D to Likely D CO-06: Jason Crow (D) - Likely D to Solid D IN-05: OPEN (Brooks) (R) - Lean R to Toss Up KS-02: Steve Watkins (R) - Likely R to Lean R MN-01: Jim Hagedorn (R) - Likely R to Lean R MN-03: Dean Phillips (D) - Likely D to Solid D NE-02: Don Bacon (R) - Lean R to Toss Up NC-08: Richard Hudson (R) - Likely R to Lean R NC-09: Dan Bishop (R) - Solid R to Likely R OH-01: Steve Chabot (R) - Lean R to Toss Up OH-12: Troy Balderson (R) - Solid R to Likely R PA-08: Matt Cartwright (D) - Toss Up to Lean D TX-03: Van Taylor (R) - Solid R to Likely R TX-06: Ron Wright (R) - Solid R to Likely R TX-21: Chip Roy (R) - Lean R to Toss Up TX-25: Roger Williams (R) - Solid R to Likely R VA-10: Jennifer Wexton (D) - Likely D to Solid D WA-03: Jaime Herrera Beutler (R) - Likely R to Lean R https://cookpolitical.com/analysis/...ating-changes-20-races-move-towards-democrats
The more I think about the more I feel that winning the Senate might be more important than winning the Presidency. Consider if Biden wins but the Senate remains in GOP hands McConnell has shown he can block even USSC appointments and stymie everything coming from the House and hamstring the Presidency. If Trump wins the presidency but Democrats win the Senate (unlikely but in the realm of possibility) Trump will be just as hamstrung.
I see your point, but, no, I'd rather vote trump out and take my chances that mconnell and the republican senate will be weakened enough that even if they do maintain a majority, they won't be able to block USSC nominees and cabinet nominees.
You are so right about her, her ads were so embarrassing for normal American people in today’s world.
Yes or no. Trump can completely destroy this country within another a year or two as demonstrated for last three years. Smart Americans should vote both of them out.
MN-01 is an interesting case. It is goes along the south of Minnesota and is a very rural district. Trump won that district overwhelmingly but current Gov. Walz who is a Democrat held it for three terms. The current incumbent Hagedorn is a first time Rep is facing a rematch from 2018 against Dan Feehan. This was a very close race and Feehan is the type of candidate that the DNC looks for in these districts. A moderate and a veteran. I'm surprised that the MN-03 race was even considered likely Dem to start. This was a swing suburban district that had been held for decades by very moderate Republicans. The district went for Clinton and Dean Philips won it convincingly over the incumbent in 2018. As a political nerd it would be interesting to read more about the other races but overall I think the Dems chance of holding the House are excellent.
LOL... Democrats trying to help trump's kris kobach win the primary... what would be the odds that a key red senate seat would turn blue? What’s the matter (with Republicans) in Kansas? Democrats are spending big in the state’s Senate race to help Republican hardliner Kris Kobach. GOP groups aren’t showing the same level of urgency. https://www.nationaljournal.com/s/708545?unlock=KJFPV4L13HEE8RRF
