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NYT Nate Silver Doubles Down: 75% Chance Obama Wins

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by MojoMan, Oct 30, 2012.

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  1. Carl Herrera

    Carl Herrera Member

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    The result of the election so far seem to confirm that:

    (1) the art/science of polling still works, and

    (2) the laws of probability still works.
     
    #441 Carl Herrera, Nov 6, 2012
  2. ItsMyFault

    ItsMyFault Member

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    [​IMG]
     
    #442 ItsMyFault, Nov 6, 2012
  3. Deckard

    Deckard Blade Runner
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    So far, Silver's predictions look pretty damn good. Obama has won this thing. He's taking Florida and Ohio.
     
    #443 Deckard, Nov 6, 2012
  4. pirc1

    pirc1 Member

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    I am guessing he will be called upon to poll for many candidates next election.
     
    #444 pirc1, Nov 6, 2012
  5. Major

    Major Member

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    Silver doesn't poll anything. Everything he does is analytical, and its all public. It's just up to candidates and parties to decide whether they believe it or not.
     
    #445 Major, Nov 6, 2012
  6. pirc1

    pirc1 Member

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    What i mean is they will hire him as a consultant to analyze the data, he will be rich.
     
    #446 pirc1, Nov 6, 2012
  7. TheRealist137

    TheRealist137 Member

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    but what about the FEELING that Romney's gonna win???

    I, for one, thought that was a fool-proof method of prediction.
     
    #447 TheRealist137, Nov 6, 2012
  8. CrazyDave

    CrazyDave Member

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    are we down to 50% yet? Just checkin in.
     
    #448 CrazyDave, Nov 6, 2012
  9. RedRedemption

    RedRedemption Member

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    Especially all that "silent majority" bull**** that Jopat was spatting out.
     
    #449 RedRedemption, Nov 6, 2012
  10. Deckard

    Deckard Blade Runner
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    Someone needs to give Silver a raise!!
     
    #450 Deckard, Nov 6, 2012
  11. pirc1

    pirc1 Member

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    Did he get all 50 right?
     
    #451 pirc1, Nov 6, 2012
  12. Major

    Major Member

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    It looks like he will - including Florida, where the polls showed Romney ahead.
     
    #452 Major, Nov 6, 2012
  13. CometsWin

    CometsWin Breaker Breaker One Nine

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    The silent majority was scared off by the Black Panthers no doubt.
     
    #453 CometsWin, Nov 6, 2012
  14. pirc1

    pirc1 Member

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    Looks like science have a liberal bias after all.
     
    #454 pirc1, Nov 6, 2012
  15. TheRealist137

    TheRealist137 Member

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    jopatmc(left) vs. Nate Silver(right)

    how it went down

    [​IMG]
     
    #455 TheRealist137, Nov 6, 2012
  16. FranchiseBlade

    FranchiseBlade Member
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    Like I said in the other thread, it's a sign of what Republicans have done in politics.

    Regarding Science, History, whatever... When they don't like the reality they ignore it and often times like this try and create their own reality, ignoring facts, math, and science.

    It's sad and makes it hard to work with people like that.
     
    #456 FranchiseBlade, Nov 6, 2012
  17. meh

    meh Member

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    I'm sure that despite all that BS you hear from all the cable news pundits, the candidates themselves know EXACTLY where they're sitting at. The 24hr news media has to create tension and drama when none exist. But candidates and the people around them work with true data and interpret them intelligiently.

    The only reason you never hear about such things is because candidates can't possibly speak of these data publically. Nate Silver can.
     
    #457 meh, Nov 6, 2012
  18. A_3PO

    A_3PO Member

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    jopatmc and other Republicans blasting Nate Silver look like complete idiots. Attacking him publicly only raised his profile. Then he ends up being dead on correct again while under the spotlight.
     
    #458 A_3PO, Nov 6, 2012
  19. Mr. Clutch

    Mr. Clutch Member

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    If he had said 100% Obama, then I would have been impressed.

    75%? who cares.
     
    #459 Mr. Clutch, Nov 6, 2012
  20. Invisible Fan

    Invisible Fan Member

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    He was up to 90% the day before...
     
    #460 Invisible Fan, Nov 6, 2012
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