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STOCK MARKET: Let's talk stocks and investing

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout' started by SWTsig, Jun 2, 2008.

  1. saitou

    saitou J Only Fan

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    @adoo PINS gone down the gutter since the acquisition got called, off where do you see it bottoming?
     
  2. adoo

    adoo Member

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    there was a doji yesterday; it is also near the 62% retracement level. RSI is 33

    in view of these indicators/signals, it's safe to say that we're close to the bottom

    again, let me remind you, im just an amateur
     
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  3. adoo

    adoo Member

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    nflx had an impressive ERS last wk, the price has risen steadily on declining volume,
    think that it is poised for a pullback, sent a scouting mission (sell a 10-pt bearish CALL spread) to test the water

    [​IMG]
    using 11-26 expiration,
    • bto 690 strike CALL, sto 680 strike CALL, for a credit of $4.5, defining my max risk to be $5.5
     
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  4. adoo

    adoo Member

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    indeed

    made new plays on MSFT, whose X-Div date is late wk of Nov, using 11-12- expiration

    [​IMG]
    • a risk reversal w a bias to the upside
      • bto 330 CALL, sto 330 PUT for a credit of $1.82
    • a bullish CALL spread
      • bto 330 CALL, sto 335 Call, net cost of $1.9
     
  5. whag00

    whag00 Member

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    I’m still trying what’s going on with pypl…can’t catch a bid.
     
  6. saitou

    saitou J Only Fan

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    i think pypl down in reaction to V? For payments i got into DLO recently i think worth a DD; very excited for this. If expensive = quality, then this must be great 195 p/e haha.
     
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  7. saitou

    saitou J Only Fan

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    Added some. Down over BTIG analyst downgrade, but the best CRWD analyst (at predicting earnings) i've seen (needham's Alex) just gave it a buy 19 days ago.
     
  8. adoo

    adoo Member

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    crwd has been volatile for me.

    so i only play way OTM cover calls credit spreads (pretty much risk free) and credit spreads which enable me to collect a premium in advance and to define my max risk.

    immediately after i had sold an april 320 cover call 1.5 wk ago, i placed this order

    to close the 320 CALL, and sell to open a Jun 340 CALL

    this order ( a scouting mission) just got filled,

    which tells me people just want to bet on CRWD, even on a down day
    [​IMG]
    they're hoping the CRWD will break thru the upper channel on 6th try




    btw, quietly, APPS is on its 7th attempt trying to break thru the upper trading channel
     
    #17428 adoo, Nov 1, 2021
    Last edited: Nov 1, 2021
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  9. saitou

    saitou J Only Fan

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    APPS earnings is tmr. Excited yet nervous at the same time ha.
     
  10. Sajan

    Sajan Member

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    whoa APPS!
    is it going to tank after earnings?
     
  11. saitou

    saitou J Only Fan

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    Your guess is as good as mine. My take on earnings here. If you holding a lot may be a good idea to trim or sell covered calls on some of the position. I'm happy with my current sizing just holding shares; hopefully it go up...
     
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  12. adoo

    adoo Member

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    1.5 wk ago, when APPS was ~ 88, made this risk reversal play (w a bias to the up side)

    • bto Nov 19 93 CALL, sto Nov 19 88 PUT for a net premium of 35 cents
    earlier today when APPS was 93, i buy back the short leg and sold a 93 strike CALL to morph it into a bullish CALL spread, while collect a net premium of ~$1.3.



    effectively, after netting a premium of ~ $1,65, i have this bullish nov 19 CALL spread working

    long 90 CALL, short 93 CALL, which could yield a max profit of $3​


     
    #17432 adoo, Nov 1, 2021
    Last edited: Nov 1, 2021
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  13. adoo

    adoo Member

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    food for thought,

    what if,
    in its 4 Nov ERs, PINS hints that it'd consider a merger talk ?​
     
  14. saitou

    saitou J Only Fan

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    haha pretty sure it would boom *if* they did; but i have no insight on that. Unless its a special situ like MVIS, i think it's quite unlikely that a big company would talk about it?

    Sold 2 naked Nov puts at the open $45 strike for $3 to add to my shares.
     
  15. saitou

    saitou J Only Fan

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    #17435 saitou, Nov 1, 2021
    Last edited: Nov 1, 2021
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  16. adoo

    adoo Member

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    the bearish CALL spread for the scouting mission has just turned profitable suggesting a possible pullback.


    [​IMG]

    should it come to fruition, TA suggests that it'd fall below the 20 dma,
    • to a level between 621 (38% retracement) and 609 (the high for Sept)
     
    #17436 adoo, Nov 1, 2021
    Last edited: Nov 1, 2021
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  17. CXbby

    CXbby Member

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  18. saitou

    saitou J Only Fan

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  19. saitou

    saitou J Only Fan

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    [​IMG]
    @PWR swing trade? Looks like it has some real RF technology and a fundamental case to be made. Positive outlook in ytd's earnings + announcement of new customer win.

    [​IMG]
    Started position in HIMX. looks simply undervalued (i think over taiwan-china tensions?), and bouncing of the $10 support.
     
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  20. saitou

    saitou J Only Fan

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    GLBE lock-up expiring next monday. Hot ipo which SHOP invested in. Not going to try shorting it, but if it tumbles could be a nice entry for a long HODL position.

    https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/ipos/overview?dealId=1149537-96522

    ---
    A company that i'm looking to go long puts on closer to earnings is PATH. Expecting a weak earnings. Hopefully it runs up on ark hype before that.
     

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